Bundesliga Gameweek 30 Sat, Apr 17 · 14:30 Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt am Main
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel198 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Eintracht Frankfurt—%
Draw—%
Borussia Mönchengladbach—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)

Forecast from 2 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Mönchengladbach
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 36
54 AttackIn forecast 34
37 DefenceIn forecast 21
52 Form indexContext 7
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—
Defense risk—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Mönchengladbach
1.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33
2.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.33
1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.40
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.49
-0.10 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
83% Scored inContext 67%
17% Clean sheetsContext 0%
14.67 ShotsContext 15.17
5.83 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.40
40% On target shareContext 30%
11.50 Shots in the boxContext 9.83
78% Box shareContext 64%
11% ConversionContext 9%
2.00 OffsidesContext 3.00
17.50 Shots allowedContext 18.17
7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 8.83
5.00 BlocksContext 3.20
4.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.50
67% Save rateContext 62%
51% PossessionIn forecast 48%
436 PassesContext 404
353 Accurate passesContext 328
81% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.86 Team ratingContext 6.46
10.33 FoulsContext 14.83
13.17 Fouls sufferedContext 10.17
2.33 Yellow cardsContext 2.83
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
1.60 xGVia Att/Def 1.26
1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.04
+0.00 Goals minus xGContext +0.14
90% Scored inContext 70%
10% Clean sheetsContext 30%
14.10 ShotsContext 13.50
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44
41% On target shareContext 30%
9.60 Shots in the boxContext 8.80
68% Box shareContext 65%
11% ConversionContext 10%
2.22 OffsidesContext 2.78
15.70 Shots allowedContext 15.10
6.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.10
4.44 BlocksContext 2.88
4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.80
66% Save rateContext 68%
53% PossessionIn forecast 50%
449 PassesContext 432
370 Accurate passesContext 356
82% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.78 Team ratingContext 6.63
10.80 FoulsContext 12.60
12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.40
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.90
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km659 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 52 · 7 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · 1.FC Köln1–01.8 xPts
  • L10 OctA · RB Leipzig0–60.8 xPts
  • D19 SepH · SC Freiburg2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · FSV Mainz 053–10.9 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FC Augsburg1–41.5 xPts
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel198 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 7 · 0 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · -6.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctH · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.5 xPts
  • L11 OctA · 1.FC Köln1–21.1 xPts
  • L19 SepH · FSV Mainz 053–41.3 xPts
  • L12 SepA · SC Freiburg0–50.7 xPts
  • L5 SepH · SV Elversberg3–41.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eintracht Frankfurt Borussia Mönchengladbach
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 10 Apr7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 10 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km198 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways659 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1.FC Köln (H) 1–0, 16 Oct
1N. Atubolu(G)
26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 34P. Collins
8F. Chaïbi 27M. Götze 25R. Onyedika 20R. Doan
11Y. Ebnoutalib 9J. Burkardt
Borussia Mönchengladbach Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 1–2, 18 Oct
1M. Nicolas(G)
26L. Ullrich 2F. Chiarodia 4K. Diks 16P. Sander
36W. Mohya 10F. Neuhaus 47Z. Uno 29J. Scally
3I. Lidberg 38A. Bolin

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eintracht Frankfurt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Borussia Mönchengladbach Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Eintracht Frankfurt · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.00
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-0-3
Scored
0.33
Conceded
3.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

6 Eintracht Frankfurt wins4 draws0 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
Goals per game2.30 – 1.20 Over 2.550% Both scored80% Clean sheets20% · 0%
  • 14 Feb 2026Eintracht Frankfurt3–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 27 Sep 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach4–6Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 8 Feb 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 21 Sep 2024Eintracht Frankfurt2–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 11 May 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 20 Dec 2023Eintracht Frankfurt2–1Borussia Mönchengladbach

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Eintracht Frankfurt6 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
5 3 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 5 76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach6 games · scored 8 · conceded 20
2 1 0-15
6 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 61-75
1 7 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 16 · conceded 24
6 4 0-15
16-30
2 7 31-45
2 6 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 5 76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
3 1 0-15
1 7 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
4 61-75
5 7 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.