Espanyol vs Levante – 27 Apr 2026

La Liga Gameweek 32 Mon, Apr 27 · 20:00 RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat

Espanyol 14th · 38 pts · 32 played LLDLL

0–0Full time

Levante 19th · 32 pts · 32 played DWLWW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Levante. Espanyol had 4 days of rest, Levante 4.1 and had to travel 295 km.

Away travel295 kmRest days4 · 4.1Matches / 14d1 · 2

Espanyol39%

Draw28%

Levante33%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.24

Espanyol43%

Draw27%

Levante30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.20

Espanyol38%

Draw28%

Levante35%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.28

Espanyol32%

Draw28%

Levante40%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.39

Espanyol40%

Draw26%

Levante34%

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.37

Over 2.5 48% Both score 53% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Cornella de Llobregat)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainMateo Busquets Ferrer

Cards per match 5.8
Penalties per match 0.30
Matches 37

Team strength

Espanyol

Levante

44 L90 StrengthIn forecast 44

44 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

36 AttackIn forecast 55

51 DefenceIn forecast 41

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Espanyol

Attack—

Defense risk—

Levante

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Espanyol

Levante

1.16 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.16

1.53 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.56

1.27 xGVia Att/Def 1.21

1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.55

-0.11 Goals minus xGContext -0.05

78% Scored inContext 66%

25% Clean sheetsContext 22%

12.44 ShotsContext 11.25

4.03 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.55

32% On target shareContext 31%

7.90 Shots in the boxContext 7.13

63% Box shareContext 62%

9% ConversionContext 10%

2.26 OffsidesContext 2.00

12.97 Shots allowedContext 15.59

5.06 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.13

3.42 BlocksContext 4.13

3.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.76

70% Save rateContext 70%

42% PossessionIn forecast 42%

345 PassesContext 344

273 Accurate passesContext 271

79% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.78

13.66 FoulsContext 12.63

12.47 Fouls sufferedContext 12.66

2.34 Yellow cardsContext 2.22

0.06 Red cardsContext 0.09

This league season, per match · 32 and 32 games

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.10 xGVia Att/Def 1.24

1.83 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.54

+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.14

80% Scored inContext 60%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.80 ShotsContext 13.80

3.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.90

29% On target shareContext 28%

6.78 Shots in the boxContext 8.30

57% Box shareContext 59%

9% ConversionContext 8%

2.38 OffsidesContext 1.50

15.30 Shots allowedContext 13.60

6.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.44

3.00 BlocksContext 3.30

4.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57

64% Save rateContext 69%

42% PossessionIn forecast 44%

338 PassesContext 336

267 Accurate passesContext 267

79% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.63 Team ratingContext 6.86

14.40 FoulsContext 13.20

12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 14.20

3.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Espanyol

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km995 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Levante

Rest4.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel295 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Espanyol	Levante
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4La Liga 2025-2026, 23 Apr	4.1La Liga 2025-2026, 23 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	295 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	995 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	6	4.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Espanyol Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Dmitrović(G)

22Carlos Romero 6L. Cabrera 5F. Calero Villa 23O. El Hilali

8Edu Expósito 4Urko González

11Pere Milla 14Ramon Terrats 16C. Ngonge

19Kike García

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Levante Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

13M. Ryan(G)

23Manu Sánchez 2M. Moreno 4Adrián de la Fuente 22J. Toljan

14U. Raghouber

27Paco Cortés 10Pablo Martínez 8Jon Ander Olasagasti 17Víctor García

19Carlos Espí

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Espanyol Absences are shown before kick-off

Levante Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Espanyol+1.2 pp
Draw+0.2 pp
Levante-1.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Espanyol · Home 1.40points per game · 15 home games

W-D-L: 6-3-6
Scored: 1.20
Conceded: 1.40

Levante · Away 0.80points per game · 15 away games

W-D-L: 3-3-9
Scored: 1.07
Conceded: 1.60

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Espanyol	Levante
Rayo Vallecano	L 0–1 AW 1–0 H	D 1–1 AL 0–3 H
Barcelona	L 1–4 AL 0–2 H	L 0–3 AL 2–3 H
Real Betis	D 0–0 AL 1–2 H	D 2–2 H
Getafe	L 1–2 HW 1–0 A	W 1–0 HD 1–1 A
Mallorca	L 1–2 AW 3–2 H	D 1–1 A
Oviedo	D 1–1 HW 2–0 A	W 4–2 HW 2–0 A
Elche	D 2–2 AW 1–0 H	W 3–2 HL 0–2 A
Atletico Madrid	L 2–4 AW 2–1 H	D 0–0 HL 1–3 A
Celta Vigo	D 2–2 HW 1–0 A	L 1–2 H
Villarreal	L 1–4 AL 0–2 H	L 0–1 H
Alaves	L 1–2 HL 1–2 A	W 2–0 HL 1–2 A
Valencia	L 2–3 AD 2–2 H	L 0–2 HL 0–1 A
Girona	L 0–2 HD 0–0 A	D 1–1 HW 4–0 A
Athletic Club	W 2–1 A	L 2–4 AL 0–2 H
Sevilla	W 2–1 H	W 2–0 HW 3–0 A
Real Madrid	L 0–2 A	L 0–2 AL 1–4 H
Osasuna	W 1–0 H	L 0–2 A
Real Sociedad	D 2–2 A	L 0–2 AD 1–1 H
Points	37 of 93 · 1.19 per game	31 of 93 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

1 Espanyol wins2 draws0 Levante wins

Goals per game2.00 – 1.67 Over 2.533% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

11 Jan 2026Levante1–1Espanyol
12 Mar 2022Levante1–1Espanyol
11 Dec 2021Espanyol4–3Levante

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Espanyol	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	1.16	1.16
Conceded per game	1.53	1.56
Match goals	2.69	2.72	2.59
Over 1.5	75%	88%
Over 2.5	53%	41%	48%
Over 3.5	28%	25%
Both teams scored	59%	47%	53%
Clean sheets	25%	22%
Failed to score	22%	34%
Games	32	32

	Espanyol	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	1.10	1.10
Conceded per game	2.20	1.20
Match goals	3.30	2.30	2.59
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	20%	48%
Over 3.5	50%	10%
Both teams scored	80%	30%	53%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	20%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Espanyol	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	4.55	4.14
Corners conceded	4.65	5.76
Match total	9.20	9.90	9.59
Over 8.5	48% 15/31	55% 16/29
Over 9.5	42% 13/31	41% 12/29
Over 10.5	35% 11/31	34% 10/29
Cards
Cards	2.47	2.34
Opponent cards	2.41	2.53
Match total	4.88	4.87	4.54
Over 3.5	69% 22/32	75% 24/32
Over 4.5	59% 19/32	59% 19/32

	Espanyol	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.80
Corners conceded	5.00	5.00
Match total	10.00	9.80	9.59
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	3.30	2.60
Opponent cards	2.30	3.40
Match total	5.60	6.00	4.54
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	90% 9/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	90% 9/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Mateo Busquets Ferrer Spain · 37 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.41league 4.27

Red cards0.38league 0.28

Cards 5+70%league 47%

Fouls24.3league 24.5

Penalties0.30league 0.37

Home wins43%league 49%

Espanyol3 with this referee

Record3-0-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W22 Dec 25A · Athletic Club2–12
W17 Oct 25A · Oviedo2–01
W17 Aug 25H · Atletico Madrid2–13

Levante1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D27 Sep 25A · Getafe1–13

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.