Primeira Liga Gameweek 25 Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 20:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.50 – 1.47
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for Estoril or Casa Pia

Estoril entered as favourites, but neither side found a way through. Casa Pia finished with the higher xG (1.47 vs 0.50). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Estoril54%
Draw ✓25%
Casa Pia21%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
0
Model 1.72 · xG 0.50
Casa Pia goals
0
Model 0.98 · xG 1.47
Total goals
0
Model 2.70 · xG 1.97
Score 0–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. ContéCasa Pia
7.9
  • RefereeBruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 8th · Casa Pia 13th

Timeline

  1. KalyYellow card
    18’
  2. Oluwakorede OsundinaYellow card
    35’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ Dailon LivramentoFor Oluwakorede Osundina
    46’
  5. Ricard SánchezYellow card
    50’
  6. ⇄ Pedro RosasFor A. Conté
    69’
  7. ⇄ XekaFor Jandro Orellana
    69’
  8. ⇄ Kevin PrietoFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    76’
  9. ⇄ I. MohamedFor S. Pérez
    77’
  10. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Pedro Carvalho
    83’
  11. ⇄ João MarquesFor J. Livolant
    86’
  12. J. HolsgroveYellow card
    90’
  13. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

Estoril9 shots · 2 in box, 7 outside
Casa Pia9 shots · 3 in box, 6 outside
EstorilCasa Pia
64% Possession 36%
0.50 Expected goals (xG) 1.47
0.64 Expected points (xPts) 2.10
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Shots inside the box 3
7 Shots outside the box 6
525 Passes 285
88% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Estoril 4-3-3

16.7 Joel Robles(G)
26.7 Ricard Sánchez 256.9 F. Bacher 47.3 Ferro 226.9 Pedro Carvalho ↓83’
107.3 J. Holsgrove 56.9 A. Tsoungui 66.9 Jandro Orellana ↓69’
96.2 A. Marqués 996.9 R. Guitane 146.3 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.7
  • 2Ricard Sánchez6.7
  • 25F. Bacher6.9
  • 4Ferro7.3
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓83’6.9
  • 10J. Holsgrove7.3
  • 5A. Tsoungui6.9
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓69’6.9
  • 9A. Marqués6.2
  • 99R. Guitane6.9
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.3

Substitutes used

  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑83’
  • 8Xeka↑69’6.9

Unused: M. Turk, Longin Bimai, Jan Montes, Pizzi, N. Lominadze, K. Edwards, Peixinho

Casa Pia 3-4-3

16.9 P. Sequeira(G)
186.9 André Geraldes 36.7 Kaly 47.2 João Goulart
57.9★ A. Conté ↓69’ 426.3 S. Pérez ↓77’ 86.9 Rafael Brito 726.9 Gaizka Larrazabal ↓76’
136.2 Oluwakorede Osundina ↓46’ 905.2 Cassiano 296.3 J. Livolant ↓86’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.9
  • 18André Geraldes6.9
  • 3Kaly6.7
  • 4João Goulart7.2
  • 5A. Conté ★↓69’7.9
  • 42S. Pérez↓77’6.3
  • 8Rafael Brito6.9
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal↓76’6.9
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↓46’6.2
  • 90Cassiano5.2
  • 29J. Livolant↓86’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10Dailon Livramento↑46’6.7
  • 19Kevin Prieto↑76’6.6
  • 75Pedro Rosas↑69’6.7
  • 24I. Mohamed↑77’6.9
  • 11João Marques↑86’

Unused: Ivan Mandić, José Fonte, Claudio, Tiago Morais

Player stats

Top rated
A. ContéCasa Pia7.9
2nd
FerroEstoril7.3
3rd
J. HolsgroveEstoril7.3

Estoril

Casa Pia

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.