Primeira Liga Gameweek 21 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 18:00 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
2–2 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 0.71 – 1.30
Tondela
  • João Carvalho 26’
  • Ferro 29’
  • 12’, 16’ Pedro Henryque
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril fight back from two goals down

Estoril entered as clear favourites, yet Tondela led 2–0 after 16 minutes through two Henryque goals. But Carvalho and Ferro scored to rescue a draw for Estoril. Tondela finished with the higher xG (1.30 vs 0.71). On the chances created, Tondela deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Estoril60%
Draw ✓24%
Tondela16%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
2
Model 1.81 · xG 0.71
Tondela goals
2
Model 0.83 · xG 1.30
Total goals
4
Model 2.64 · xG 2.01
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchPedro HenryqueTondela · 2 goals
8.5
  • RefereeMarcio Torres
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 7th · Tondela 17th

Timeline

  1. Pedro Henryque 0–1Assist M. Aïko
    12’
  2. Pedro Henryque 0–2Assist Cicero
    16’
  3. João Carvalho 1–2Assist Pizzi
    26’
  4. Ferro 2–2Assist Pizzi
    29’
  5. Half time · 2–2
  6. ⇄ Jandro OrellanaFor Pizzi
    55’
  7. ⇄ Hugo FélixFor J. Hodge
    65’
  8. ⇄ B. Mbunga KimpiokaFor J. Siebatcheu
    65’
  9. ⇄ A. van der HeideFor Pedro Henryque
    74’
  10. ⇄ PeixinhoFor A. Marqués
    74’
  11. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Pedro Amaral
    83’
  12. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor Ferro
    83’
  13. A. TsounguiYellow card · misses next match
    84’
  14. ⇄ Hélder TavaresFor S. Sithole
    90+1’
  15. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Estoril15 shots · 8 in box, 7 outside
Tondela5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
EstorilTondela
68% Possession 32%
0.71 Expected goals (xG) 1.30
0.90 Expected points (xPts) 1.81
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
8 Shots inside the box 4
7 Shots outside the box 1
660 Passes 307
87% Pass accuracy 76%
5 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Estoril 4-3-3

16.2 Joel Robles(G)
246.3 Pedro Amaral ↓83’ 256.7 F. Bacher 47.9 Ferro ↓83’ 26.7 Ricard Sánchez
127.9 João Carvalho 107.7 J. Holsgrove 216.9 Pizzi AA↓55’
96.5 A. Marqués ↓74’ 997.3 R. Guitane 146.7 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.2
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓83’6.3
  • 25F. Bacher6.7
  • 4Ferro↓83’7.9
  • 2Ricard Sánchez6.7
  • 12João Carvalho7.9
  • 10J. Holsgrove7.7
  • 21PizziA×2↓55’6.9
  • 9A. Marqués↓74’6.5
  • 99R. Guitane7.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.7

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Tsoungui↑83’
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑83’
  • 6Jandro Orellana↑55’6.9
  • 70Peixinho↑74’

Unused: M. Turk, Pedro Carvalho, N. Lominadze, Xeka, K. Edwards

Tondela 4-2-3-1

316.9 Bernardo Fontes(G)
276.3 Rodrigo Conceição 206.2 Brayan Medina 46.3 Christian Marques 26.3 Bebeto
976.9 Cicero A 156.9 S. Sithole ↓90’
906.9 M. Aïko A 106.3 J. Hodge ↓65’ 78.5★ Pedro Henryque ↓74’
296.2 J. Siebatcheu ↓65’
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)6.9
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição6.3
  • 20Brayan Medina6.2
  • 4Christian Marques6.3
  • 2Bebeto6.3
  • 97CiceroA6.9
  • 15S. Sithole↓90’6.9
  • 90M. AïkoA6.9
  • 10J. Hodge↓65’6.3
  • 7Pedro Henryque ★↓74’8.5
  • 29J. Siebatcheu↓65’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 8Hélder Tavares↑90’
  • 26A. van der Heide↑74’
  • 79Hugo Félix↑65’6.5
  • 23B. Mbunga Kimpioka↑65’6.5

Unused: Lucas Cañizares, João Silva, João Afonso, Juan Rodríguez, Tiago Manso

Player stats

Top rated
Pedro HenryqueTondela8.5
2nd
FerroEstoril7.9
3rd
João CarvalhoEstoril7.9

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Pedro Amaral D 83 0 0 1 (1) 1 85% 55 0 1 0/0 2/2 6.3
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 79 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.7
Ferro D 83 1 0 1 (1) 0 91% 56 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
Ricard Sánchez D 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 90% 40 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.7
João Carvalho M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 86% 57 0 0 3/5 0/0 7.9
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 86% 121 3 2 1/1 0/0 7.7
Pizzi M 55 0 2 0 (0) 2 89% 46 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
A. Marqués F 74 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 14 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
R. Guitane M 90 0 0 3 (2) 2 84% 44 3 0 5/10 0/1 7.3
Y. Begraoui F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 83% 29 0 0 1/2 1/1 6.7
A. Tsoungui D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Gonçalo Costa D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Jandro Orellana M 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 27 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
Peixinho F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Tondela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Bernardo Fontes G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 37% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Rodrigo Conceição D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 16 3 1 0/1 1/1 6.3
Brayan Medina D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 25 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.2
Christian Marques D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 40 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Bebeto D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 31 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Cicero M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 75% 36 1 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
S. Sithole M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 29 3 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
M. Aïko M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 63% 16 2 2 4/8 0/1 6.9
J. Hodge M 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 25 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
Pedro Henryque M 74 2 0 3 (3) 0 80% 15 1 0 1/2 0/1 8.5
J. Siebatcheu F 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Hélder Tavares M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. van der Heide F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Hugo Félix M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
B. Mbunga Kimpioka F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.