Primeira Liga Gameweek 25 Sun, Mar 8 2026 · 15:30 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.22 – 1.86
  • Jovane Cabral 54’
  • A. Marcus 67’
  • 14’ (P) Murilo
  • 69’ Santi García
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estrela and GIL Vicente share the points

GIL Vicente entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Murilo goal. But Cabral and Marcus scored to rescue a draw for Estrela. GIL Vicente finished with the higher xG (1.86 vs 1.22). On the chances created, GIL Vicente deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Estrela22%
Draw ✓26%
GIL Vicente51%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
2
Model 0.95 · xG 1.22
GIL Vicente goals
2
Model 1.58 · xG 1.86
Total goals
4
Model 2.54 · xG 3.08
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJovane CabralEstrela · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeLuís Godinho
  • CoachesJoao Nuno · —
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 12th · GIL Vicente 5th

Timeline

  1. Murilo (pen) 0–1
    14’
  2. MuriloYellow card
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ G. DoueFor A. Sola
    46’
  5. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Luan Patrick
    46’
  6. Paulo MoreiraYellow card
    48’
  7. Jovane Cabral 1–1Assist Paulo Moreira
    54’
  8. ⇄ Martin FernándezFor Agustín Moreira
    56’
  9. ⇄ T. MoustierFor I. Stoica
    65’
  10. F. CáseresYellow card
    66’
  11. A. Marcus 2–1
    67’
  12. Santi García 2–2Assist Héctor Hernández
    69’
  13. ⇄ B. BrahimiFor A. Marcus
    77’
  14. ⇄ Zé CarlosFor F. Cáseres
    78’
  15. ⇄ Gustavo VarelaFor Héctor Hernández
    78’
  16. ⇄ OtávioFor M. Scholze
    79’
  17. ⇄ EspigaresFor Santi García
    90+4’
  18. ⇄ R. RodriguesFor Murilo
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Estrela9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
GIL Vicente18 shots · 10 in box, 8 outside
EstrelaGIL Vicente
48% Possession 52%
1.22 Expected goals (xG) 1.86
0.98 Expected points (xPts) 1.80
9 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Shots inside the box 10
3 Shots outside the box 8
369 Passes 386
83% Pass accuracy 84%
0 Corners 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 17
7 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

Estrela 4-2-3-1

406.9 Renan Ribeiro(G)
246.2 B. Langa 46.9 S. Leković 306.9 Luan Patrick ↓46’ 217.3 M. Scholze ↓79’
66.5 Kevin Höög Jansson 636.7 A. Sola ↓46’
117.9★ Jovane Cabral 196.3 Paulo Moreira A 996.6 A. Marcus ↓77’
107.2 I. Stoica ↓65’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)6.9
  • 24B. Langa6.2
  • 4S. Leković6.9
  • 30Luan Patrick↓46’6.9
  • 21M. Scholze↓79’7.3
  • 6Kevin Höög Jansson6.5
  • 63A. Sola↓46’6.7
  • 11Jovane Cabral ★7.9
  • 19Paulo MoreiraA6.3
  • 99A. Marcus↓77’6.6
  • 10I. Stoica↓65’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 39G. Doue↑46’6.9
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑46’6.7
  • 28T. Moustier↑65’6.5
  • 26B. Brahimi↑77’6.3
  • 83Otávio↑79’6.6

Unused: Dudu, Yahya Kalley, Robinho, Jorge Meireles

Coach: Joao Nuno

GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1

306.6 Lucão(G)
35.7 G. Konan 396.2 Jonathan Buatu 46.3 M. Elimbi 206.0 Hevertton Santos
106.6 Luís Esteves 56.9 F. Cáseres ↓78’
276.2 Agustín Moreira ↓56’ 957.6 Santi García ↓90’ 776.6 Murilo ↓90’
237.3 Héctor Hernández A↓78’
  • 30Lucão (G)6.6
  • 3G. Konan5.7
  • 39Jonathan Buatu6.2
  • 4M. Elimbi6.3
  • 20Hevertton Santos6.0
  • 10Luís Esteves6.6
  • 5F. Cáseres↓78’6.9
  • 27Agustín Moreira↓56’6.2
  • 95Santi García↓90’7.6
  • 77Murilo↓90’6.6
  • 23Héctor HernándezA↓78’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 32Martin Fernández↑56’6.3
  • 6Zé Carlos↑78’7.0
  • 89Gustavo Varela↑78’6.3
  • 48Espigares↑90’
  • 80R. Rodrigues↑90’

Unused: Daniel Figueira, Zé Carlos, Weverson, Sergio Bermejo

Player stats

Top rated
Jovane CabralEstrela7.9
2nd
Santi GarcíaGIL Vicente7.6
3rd
M. ScholzeEstrela7.3

Estrela

GIL Vicente

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.