Primeira Liga Gameweek 11 Sun, Nov 9 2025 · 15:30 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Estrela
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.22 – 1.26
Nacional
  • Sidny Lopes Cabral 63’ (P)
  • 40’ José Gomes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estrela and Nacional share the points

Estrela entered as narrow favourites, yet Nacional led 1–0 at half-time through a Gomes goal. But Cabral scored to rescue a draw for Estrela. Estrela finished with the higher xG (2.22 vs 1.26). On the chances created, Estrela deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Estrela38%
Draw ✓28%
Nacional33%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
1
Model 1.30 · xG 2.22
Nacional goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 1.26
Total goals
2
Model 2.50 · xG 3.48
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchPaulinho BóiaNacional
7.5
  • RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 14th · Nacional 11th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ Bernardo SchappoFor Jefferson Encada
    18’
  2. Guilherme MontóiaYellow card
    22’
  3. Bernardo SchappoYellow card
    26’
  4. José Gomes 0–1Assist Liziero
    40’
  5. Léo SantosYellow card
    45+4’
  6. Half time · 0–1
  7. ⇄ Jovane CabralFor Bernardo Schappo
    46’
  8. ⇄ I. StoicaFor Robinho
    56’
  9. Sidny Lopes Cabral (pen) 1–1
    63’
  10. A. ChernevYellow card
    74’
  11. ⇄ Jorge MeirelesFor Kikas
    84’
  12. ⇄ Martim WattsFor Witi
    85’
  13. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor J. Ramírez
    85’
  14. ⇄ M. NouraniFor Paulinho Bóia
    85’
  15. ⇄ Leandro AntonettiFor A. Marcus
    86’
  16. Martim WattsYellow card
    87’
  17. C. LabidiYellow card
    90+2’
  18. Francisco GonçalvesYellow card
    90+7’
  19. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Estrela14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Nacional17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
EstrelaNacional
62% Possession 38%
2.22 Expected goals (xG) 1.26
1.97 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 11
3 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 12
6 Shots outside the box 5
413 Passes 245
79% Pass accuracy 67%
2 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.72 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Estrela 3-4-3

406.5 Renan Ribeiro(G)
216.3 Guilherme Montóia 796.9 A. Chernev 307.0 Luan Patrick
556.9 Sidny Lopes Cabral 196.9 Paulo Moreira 66.9 Oumar Ngom 176.3 Jefferson Encada ↓18’
86.9 Robinho ↓56’ 986.2 Kikas ↓84’ 996.9 A. Marcus ↓86’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)6.5
  • 21Guilherme Montóia6.3
  • 79A. Chernev6.9
  • 30Luan Patrick7.0
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabral6.9
  • 19Paulo Moreira6.9
  • 6Oumar Ngom6.9
  • 17Jefferson Encada↓18’6.3
  • 8Robinho↓56’6.9
  • 98Kikas↓84’6.2
  • 99A. Marcus↓86’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 14Bernardo Schappo6.2
  • 11Jovane Cabral↑46’7.0
  • 10I. Stoica↑56’6.5
  • 7Leandro Antonetti↑86’
  • 18Jorge Meireles↑84’

Unused: David Grilo, Otávio, A. Sola, Rodrigo Pinho

Nacional 5-4-1

16.7 Kaique(G)
57.2 José Gomes 336.2 Francisco Gonçalves 66.3 Matheus Dias 346.7 Léo Santos 27.0 João Aurélio
117.5★ Paulinho Bóia ↓85’ 156.9 C. Labidi 286.9 Liziero A 76.2 Witi ↓85’
96.2 J. Ramírez ↓85’
  • 1Kaique (G)6.7
  • 5José Gomes7.2
  • 33Francisco Gonçalves6.2
  • 6Matheus Dias6.3
  • 34Léo Santos6.7
  • 2João Aurélio7.0
  • 11Paulinho Bóia ★↓85’7.5
  • 15C. Labidi6.9
  • 28LizieroA6.9
  • 7Witi↓85’6.2
  • 9J. Ramírez↓85’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 30Martim Watts↑85’
  • 19Lucas João↑85’
  • 17M. Nourani↑85’

Unused: Kevyn, Alan Nuñez, Lenny Vallier, André Sousa, Joel Silva, Miguel Baeza

Player stats

Top rated
Paulinho BóiaNacional7.5
2nd
José GomesNacional7.2
3rd
Luan PatrickEstrela7.0

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Renan Ribeiro G 90 0 0 3 sv 1 68% 28 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
Guilherme Montóia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 48 4 0 1/1 2/1 6.3
A. Chernev D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 54 3 0 0/1 1/0 6.9
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 56 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
Sidny Lopes Cabral M 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 74% 19 0 0 2/3 2/1 6.9
Paulo Moreira M 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 77% 22 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.9
Oumar Ngom M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 85% 59 1 1 1/3 0/2 6.9
Jefferson Encada M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Robinho M 56 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 19 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
Kikas F 84 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Marcus F 86 0 0 2 (0) 0 72% 18 0 0 2/2 0/3 6.9
Bernardo Schappo D 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 24 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Jovane Cabral F 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 64% 25 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
I. Stoica F 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
Leandro Antonetti F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Jorge Meireles M 6 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 26% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
José Gomes D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 63% 16 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
Francisco Gonçalves D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 27 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 86% 14 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.3
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 28 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
João Aurélio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 56% 18 1 0 0/1 1/2 7.0
Paulinho Bóia F 85 0 0 4 (1) 2 82% 11 1 0 2/2 0/2 7.5
C. Labidi M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 24 3 2 0/0 1/1 6.9
Liziero M 90 0 1 2 (1) 4 76% 33 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.9
Witi F 85 0 0 1 (0) 1 40% 15 1 1 1/4 3/3 6.2
J. Ramírez F 85 0 0 4 (1) 2 67% 21 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
Martim Watts M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 —
Lucas João F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Nourani M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.