Premier League Gameweek 23 Mon, Jan 26 2026 · 20:00 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.70 – 1.38
  • T. Barry 76’
  • 28’ J. Justin
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Everton and Leeds share the points

Everton entered as narrow favourites, yet Leeds led 1–0 at half-time through a Justin goal. But Barry scored to rescue a draw for Everton. Leeds finished with the higher xG (1.38 vs 0.70). On the chances created, Leeds deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Everton45%
Draw ✓26%
Leeds30%

Model vs reality

Everton goals
1
Model 1.61 · xG 0.70
Leeds goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 1.38
Total goals
2
Model 2.89 · xG 2.08
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. BarryEverton · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereeSimon Hooper
  • VenueHill Dickinson Stadium
  • Table before kick-offEverton 11th · Leeds 16th

Timeline

  1. J. Justin 0–1Assist A. Stach
    28’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ K. Dewsbury-HallFor D. McNeil
    46’
  4. ⇄ J. BranthwaiteFor H. Armstrong
    46’
  5. A. StachYellow card · Foul
    54’
  6. I. GruevYellow card · Foul
    56’
  7. ⇄ A. TanakaFor I. Gruev
    66’
  8. ⇄ T. DiblingFor N. Patterson
    71’
  9. T. Barry 1–1Assist I. Gueye
    76’
  10. ⇄ N. OkaforFor B. Aaronson
    85’
  11. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor A. Stach
    85’
  12. ⇄ F. BuonanotteFor S. Bornauw
    85’
  13. ⇄ BetoFor T. Barry
    89’
  14. F. BuonanotteYellow card · Time wasting
    90’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Everton10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Leeds14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
EvertonLeeds
58% Possession 42%
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
0.85 Expected points (xPts) 1.88
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 10
4 Shots outside the box 4
542 Passes 394
83% Pass accuracy 77%
4 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Everton 4-2-3-1

16.9 J. Pickford(G)
166.7 V. Mykolenko 157.2 J. O'Brien 67.5 J. Tarkowski 26.9 N. Patterson ↓71’
377.5 J. Garner 276.9 I. Gueye A
106.7 I. Ndiaye 456.7 H. Armstrong ↓46’ 76.3 D. McNeil ↓46’
117.6★ T. Barry ↓89’
  • 1J. Pickford (G)6.9
  • 16V. Mykolenko6.7
  • 15J. O'Brien7.2
  • 6J. Tarkowski7.5
  • 2N. Patterson↓71’6.9
  • 37J. Garner7.5
  • 27I. GueyeA6.9
  • 10I. Ndiaye6.7
  • 45H. Armstrong↓46’6.7
  • 7D. McNeil↓46’6.3
  • 11T. Barry ★↓89’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 22K. Dewsbury-Hall↑46’6.3
  • 9Beto↑89’
  • 20T. Dibling↑71’6.3
  • 32J. Branthwaite↑46’7.2

Unused: M. Travers, C. Alcaraz, A. Aznou, S. Coleman, M. Röhl

Leeds 3-4-2-1

267.3 K. Darlow(G)
57.2 P. Struijk 237.0 S. Bornauw ↓85’ 66.6 J. Rodon
247.6 J. Justin 446.5 I. Gruev ↓66’ 47.3 E. Ampadu 26.6 J. Bogle
116.9 B. Aaronson ↓85’ 187.3 A. Stach A↓85’
95.3 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 26K. Darlow (G)7.3
  • 5P. Struijk7.2
  • 23S. Bornauw↓85’7.0
  • 6J. Rodon6.6
  • 24J. Justin7.6
  • 44I. Gruev↓66’6.5
  • 4E. Ampadu7.3
  • 2J. Bogle6.6
  • 11B. Aaronson↓85’6.9
  • 18A. StachA↓85’7.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin5.3

Substitutes used

  • 19N. Okafor↑85’6.9
  • 8S. Longstaff↑85’6.5
  • 22A. Tanaka↑66’6.7
  • 40F. Buonanotte↑85’6.3

Unused: Lucas Perri, S. Byram, L. Nmecha, J. Piroe, D. Gnonto

Player stats

Top rated
T. BarryEverton7.6
2nd
J. JustinLeeds7.6
3rd
J. TarkowskiEverton7.5

Everton

Leeds

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.