Leeds

7th · Premier League · 10 points · Matches played: 7

11 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 73.2+0.6
World Rank 26th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 10th L90 Strength
Last Manchester UnitedH xG 1.0–0.9 1–1 Next SunderlandA 39%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.
Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Leeds are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. J. Rodon is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Bournemouth.

Premier League · 7 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. Scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest is offset by conceding fewer than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the defensive gap.

Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 5% · Relegation 1%Likely 9th · 53 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Bournemouth · , 23% to win
  • 1 key player outJ. Rodon · 7% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 10 pts vs 9.2 expected+0.8 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Leeds. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Premier LeagueView table →
Position
7th/ 20
Points
101.43 PPG
Played
7
League gap
11pts behind leader
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws4
Losses1

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
91.29 / game
xG 9.55 0.55 fewer goals than expected. vs 9 goals
Goals Against
60.86 / game
xGA 9.53 3.53 fewer conceded than expected. vs 6 conceded
Goal Difference
+3+0.43 / game
xGD +0.02 Goal difference is 2.98 higher than expected. vs +3 GD
Clean Sheets
229% of games

League standings

Premier League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Premier League table, Leeds highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Manchester City 91 7700 +12 21
2– Arsenal 94 7601 +6 18
3– Brighton 83 7511 +18 16
4▲ Chelsea 77 7412 +4 13
5▲ Liverpool 84 7331 +1 12
6▼ Brentford 75 7241 +5 10
7– Leeds 73 7241 +3 10
8▼ Everton 67 7241 +1 10
9▼ Hull City 37 7232 +1 9
10– Ipswich 49 7304 -4 9
11– Newcastle 71 7223 -4 8
12▲ Aston Villa 84 7223 -4 8
13– Manchester United 79 7142 +0 7
14▼ Crystal Palace 64 7214 -8 7
15▲ Bournemouth 77 7133 -4 6
16▲ Tottenham 62 7133 -4 6
17▼ Coventry 51 7205 -8 6
18▲ Fulham 65 7124 -3 5
19▼ Nottingham Forest 70 7124 -4 5
20▼ Sunderland 57 7115 -8 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Leeds league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
124 Aug 2026931
231 Aug 2026842
36 Sep 2026953
414 Sep 2026384
520 Sep 2026595
612 Oct 2026796
719 Oct 20267107

Squad 33 players · this season, all competitions · 2 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
D. Calvert-Lewin4 goals
Most assists
T. Muharemović2 assists
Best rated
T. Muharemović7.10 avg rating
Most minutes
J. Trafford630 min
Key to the model
A. StachCore · weight 2.04
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
J. Trafford 24 7 (7) 630 0 0 6.96 starter
A. Cairns 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Lucas Perri 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Mahady — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Darryl Merveil Ombang — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
E. Ampadu 26 7 (7) 630 0 0 6.95 starter
T. Muharemović 23 7 (7) 630 0 2 7.10 starter
J. Justin 28 7 (7) 619 1 1 6.96 starter
J. Bogle 26 7 (7) 545 1 0 6.63 starter
N. Elvedi 30 6 (5) 502 0 0 6.84 starter
G. Gudmundsson 27 5 (5) 432 0 1 7.06 starter
J. Bijol 27 4 (2) 169 0 0 6.77 starter
J. Rodon injured 28 2 (2) 124 0 0 6.95 starter
M. Bard 25 1 (0) 18 0 0 6.20 depth
S. Byram 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Alfie Cresswell — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Jayden Lienou — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
A. Stach 27 7 (7) 628 1 0 6.96 core
A. Tanaka 28 6 (5) 408 0 1 6.68 rotation
B. Aaronson 25 6 (2) 216 0 0 6.35 starter
H. Wilson 29 5 (1) 164 0 0 6.70 rotation
D. James injured 28 3 (0) 52 0 0 6.60 rotation
S. Longstaff 28 3 (0) 19 0 0 6.47 rotation
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
I. Gruev 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
F. Lane — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
C. Mills — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
O. Pickles — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
D. Calvert-Lewin 29 7 (7) 602 4 0 7.04 starter
N. Okafor 26 7 (6) 448 1 0 6.78 rotation
L. Nmecha 27 6 (0) 90 0 1 6.55 rotation
J. Bahoya 21 2 (0) 4 0 0 6.25 depth
D. Gnonto 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Sunderland: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength10th of 20
73 Elo 1797 · World #26
Current Strength
73 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack10th of 20
69 Scores 1.86 per match against an average top-five side
Defence8th of 20
77 Concedes 1.16 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

64
Form index · 11th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
4.4
Own forecasts
6.7 -0.7
Table7th L90 Strength10th Form11th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D18 OctH · Manchester United1–11.6 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Arsenal1–20.6 xPts
  • D20 SepH · Crystal Palace0–01.9 xPts
  • W14 SepH · Newcastle4–11.7 xPts
  • D5 SepA · Brighton1–10.9 xPts
  • D30 AugH · Brentford1–11.4 xPts
  • W22 AugA · Nottingham Forest1–01.1 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 6/7
Clean sheet 2/7
Conceded 2+ 1/7
Over 2.5 2/7
Both teams scored 5/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

LEELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.29 1.43 9th
Goals conceded 0.86 1.45 3rd
xG 1.36 1.49 14th
xG allowed 1.36 1.50 6th
Scored in 86% 72% 4th
Clean sheets 29% 28% 8th
LEELeagueRank
Shots 12.00 13.71 14th
Shots on target 4.00 4.56 15th
On target share 33% 32% 11th
Box share 65% 64% 8th
Conversion 11% 10% 9th
LEELeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.00 13.77 10th
On target allowed 4.00 4.55 5th
Blocks 5.17 4.33 4th
Save rate 86% 66% 1st
LEELeagueRank
Possession 47% 50% 14th
Passes 385 442 16th
Pass accuracy 78% 82% 17th
LEELeagueRank
Fouls 12.71 11.49 14th
Fouls suffered 11.86 11.49 8th
Yellow cards 1.86 1.96 9th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
LEELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.10 1.54 15th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.34 4th
xG 1.29 1.53 14th
xG allowed 1.65 1.44 15th
Scored in 80% 76% 6th
Clean sheets 30% 29% 5th
LEELeagueRank
Shots 11.50 13.96 18th
Shots on target 3.60 4.69 19th
On target share 31% 33% 14th
Box share 62% 65% 16th
Conversion 10% 11% 14th
LEELeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.90 13.41 15th
On target allowed 4.80 4.43 14th
Blocks 4.89 4.19 6th
Save rate 77% 68% 1st
LEELeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 14th
Passes 376 442 18th
Pass accuracy 78% 83% 19th
LEELeagueRank
Fouls 11.90 11.35 14th
Fouls suffered 11.30 11.46 12th
Yellow cards 1.80 1.96 8th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.50pts per game1-3-0 · 1.5–0.8 goals · 4 games
Away1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 1.0–1.0 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 0-15
16-30
3 2 31-45
3 46-60
3 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 9 9th / 20
GF/G 1.29 9th / 20
xG/G 1.36 14th / 20
G − xG -0.07 9th / 20

Defence

GA 6 3rd / 20
GA/G 0.86 3rd / 20
xGA/G 1.36 6th / 20
xGA − GA +0.50 3rd / 20

Overall

Pts 10 6th / 20
xPts 9.2 14th / 20
PPG 1.43 6th / 20
TR 6.89 7th / 20
GD +3 6th / 20
xGD +0.0 10th / 20
W 2 7th / 20
L 1 2nd / 20

Scorelines

  • 1–1×3
  • 1–0×1
  • 4–1×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
14% 1
43% 2
14% 3
0% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
71%76%
Over 2.5
29%54%
Over 3.5
14%36%
Both scored
71%53%
Clean sheet
29%27%
Failed to score
14%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.