Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 11:15 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Excelsior
First leg2–1 2–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 0.70 – 0.63
Ajax
  • M. Jonathans 74’
  • A. Zagré 79’
  • 21’, 40’ M. Godts
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Excelsior fight back from two goals down

Ajax entered as favourites and led 2–0 at half-time through two Godts goals. But Jonathans and Zagré scored to rescue a draw for Excelsior. The chances were even, with xG of 0.70 and 0.63.

Excelsior20%
Draw ✓23%
Ajax56%

Model vs reality

Excelsior goals
2
Model 1.06 · xG 0.70
Ajax goals
2
Model 1.90 · xG 0.63
Total goals
4
Model 2.95 · xG 1.33
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. GodtsAjax · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeMarc Nagtegaal
  • VenueVan Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Table before kick-offExcelsior 13th · Ajax 4th

Timeline

  1. M. Godts 0–1Assist Rayane Bounida
    21’
  2. M. Godts 0–2Assist K. Dolberg
    40’
  3. Half time · 0–2
  4. ⇄ G. de RegtFor E. Hansson
    62’
  5. ⇄ M. JonathansFor D. Sanches Fernandes
    63’
  6. ⇄ L. SchoutenFor Jerolldino Bergraaf
    63’
  7. ⇄ W. WeghorstFor K. Dolberg
    67’
  8. ⇄ O. EdvardsenFor Rayane Bounida
    67’
  9. L. SchoutenYellow card · Holding
    70’
  10. M. Jonathans 1–2Assist G. de Regt
    74’
  11. A. Zagré 2–2Assist G. de Regt
    79’
  12. ⇄ T. TomiyasuFor J. Mokio
    80’
  13. ⇄ Jinairo JohnsonFor Sean Steur
    80’
  14. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor L. Hartjes
    89’
  15. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Excelsior9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
Ajax9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
ExcelsiorAjax
48% Possession 52%
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
1.37 Expected points (xPts) 1.24
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 3
420 Passes 466
80% Pass accuracy 81%
4 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.48 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Excelsior 4-1-4-1

15.3 S. van Gassel(G)
127.2 A. Zagré 37.0 R. Meissen 46.5 C. Widell 26.7 Ilias Bronkhorst
206.3 L. Hartjes ↓89’
76.2 E. Hansson ↓62’ 105.9 N. Naujoks 236.7 I. Yegoian 306.5 D. Sanches Fernandes ↓63’
336.2 Jerolldino Bergraaf ↓63’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)5.3
  • 12A. Zagré7.2
  • 3R. Meissen7.0
  • 4C. Widell6.5
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.7
  • 20L. Hartjes↓89’6.3
  • 7E. Hansson↓62’6.2
  • 10N. Naujoks5.9
  • 23I. Yegoian6.7
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes↓63’6.5
  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↓63’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 11G. de RegtA×2↑62’7.3
  • 14L. Schouten↑63’6.5
  • 26M. Jonathans↑63’7.6
  • 29M. van Duinen↑89’

Unused: C. Raatsie, S. Henderikx, Simon Janssen, C. Nadje, Nolan Martens, A. Carlén

Ajax 4-3-3

15.9 V. Jaroš(G)
246.3 J. Mokio ↓80’ 156.9 Y. Baas 376.9 J. Šutalo 35.9 A. Gaaei
486.5 Sean Steur ↓80’ 67.2 Y. Regeer 186.6 D. Klaassen
119.2★ M. Godts 96.9 K. Dolberg A↓67’ 437.5 Rayane Bounida A↓67’
  • 1V. Jaroš (G)5.9
  • 24J. Mokio↓80’6.3
  • 15Y. Baas6.9
  • 37J. Šutalo6.9
  • 3A. Gaaei5.9
  • 48Sean Steur↓80’6.5
  • 6Y. Regeer7.2
  • 18D. Klaassen6.6
  • 11M. Godts ★9.2
  • 9K. DolbergA↓67’6.9
  • 43Rayane BounidaA↓67’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 32T. Tomiyasu↑80’6.7
  • 57Jinairo Johnson↑80’6.3
  • 17O. Edvardsen↑67’6.5
  • 25W. Weghorst↑67’6.5

Unused: P. Reverson, Jesse Joeri Heerkens, G. Alders, A. Bouwman, Abdellah Ouazane, Tijn Peters, S. Berghuis

Player stats

Top rated
M. GodtsAjax9.2
2nd
M. JonathansExcelsior7.6
3rd
Rayane BounidaAjax7.5

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. van Gassel G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 43% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.3
A. Zagré D 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 83% 48 0 1 1/3 0/0 7.2
R. Meissen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 59 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
C. Widell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 52 2 2 1/1 2/0 6.5
Ilias Bronkhorst D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 45 3 0 0/2 1/2 6.7
L. Hartjes M 89 0 0 1 (0) 1 97% 38 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.3
E. Hansson F 62 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.2
N. Naujoks M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 24 0 2 0/0 2/0 5.9
I. Yegoian M 90 0 0 3 (0) 1 95% 38 1 3 2/3 0/0 6.7
D. Sanches Fernandes F 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 16 1 0 2/3 2/1 6.5
Jerolldino Bergraaf F 63 0 0 1 (1) 1 50% 12 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
G. de Regt F 28 0 2 0 (0) 2 82% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
L. Schouten M 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 0 3 0/0 1/0 6.5
M. Jonathans M 27 1 0 1 (1) 0 86% 7 0 0 2/3 0/1 7.6
M. van Duinen F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 —

Ajax

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
V. Jaroš G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 50% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
J. Mokio D 80 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 52 5 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
Y. Baas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 83 1 0 1/1 0/2 6.9
J. Šutalo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 57 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
A. Gaaei D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 25 1 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Sean Steur M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 43 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Y. Regeer M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 45 3 2 0/0 0/2 7.2
D. Klaassen M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 39 2 0 1/2 2/0 6.6
M. Godts F 90 2 0 5 (3) 1 78% 36 0 0 2/6 3/2 9.2
K. Dolberg F 67 0 1 0 (0) 1 63% 8 0 0 1/3 0/2 6.9
Rayane Bounida M 67 0 1 1 (0) 3 80% 15 1 1 2/2 0/1 7.5
T. Tomiyasu D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Jinairo Johnson D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
O. Edvardsen F 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
W. Weghorst F 23 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.