Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 20:00 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
First leg1–2 1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.64 – 1.69
  • N. Naujoks 74’ (P)
  • 38’ L. Brouwers
  • 67’ J. van Overeem
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Heerenveen beat Excelsior

Heerenveen won 2–1 through goals from Brouwers and van Overeem. Excelsior replied through a Naujoks goal. Heerenveen won despite the lower xG; Excelsior created the better chances (2.64 vs 1.69). On the chances created, Excelsior deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Excelsior37%
Draw27%
Heerenveen ✓36%

Model vs reality

Excelsior goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 2.64
Heerenveen goals
2
Model 1.39 · xG 1.69
Total goals
3
Model 2.80 · xG 4.33
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. YegoianExcelsior
7.9
  • RefereeDanny Makkelie
  • VenueVan Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Table before kick-offExcelsior 15th · Heerenveen 10th

Timeline

  1. L. Brouwers 0–1Assist L. Nordås
    38’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ D. VenteFor L. Nordås
    65’
  4. J. van Overeem 0–2
    67’
  5. ⇄ M. JonathansFor Simon Janssen
    72’
  6. ⇄ Jerolldino BergraafFor L. Hartjes
    72’
  7. N. Naujoks (pen) 1–2
    74’
  8. ⇄ H. PetrovFor V. Zagaritis
    75’
  9. H. PetrovYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  10. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor M. Jonathans
    81’
  11. ⇄ N. HoplandFor J. Trenskow
    86’
  12. N. NaujoksYellow card · Tripping
    89’
  13. ⇄ S. WłodarczykFor I. Yegoian
    90’
  14. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Excelsior20 shots · 18 in box, 2 outside
Heerenveen10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
ExcelsiorHeerenveen
51% Possession 49%
2.64 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
1.92 Expected points (xPts) 0.89
20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 3
10 Blocked shots 2
18 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 3
391 Passes 391
74% Pass accuracy 76%
6 Corners 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.81

Line-ups

Excelsior 4-3-3

16.9 S. van Gassel(G)
155.3 Simon Janssen ↓72’ 36.2 R. Meissen 46.6 C. Widell 26.9 Ilias Bronkhorst
207.0 L. Hartjes ↓72’ 147.7 L. Schouten 237.9★ I. Yegoian ↓90’
117.0 G. de Regt 106.9 N. Naujoks 307.3 D. Sanches Fernandes
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)6.9
  • 15Simon Janssen↓72’5.3
  • 3R. Meissen6.2
  • 4C. Widell6.6
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.9
  • 20L. Hartjes↓72’7.0
  • 14L. Schouten7.7
  • 23I. Yegoian ★↓90’7.9
  • 11G. de Regt7.0
  • 10N. Naujoks6.9
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes7.3

Substitutes used

  • 26M. Jonathans6.3
  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↑72’6.3
  • 9S. Włodarczyk↑90’
  • 29M. van Duinen↑81’6.3

Unused: Tijmen Holla, Giuliano Cairo, A. Carlén, M. Tielemans

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

226.9 B. Klaverboer(G)
197.2 V. Zagaritis ↓75’ 36.9 M. Willemsen 46.9 S. Kersten 457.2 O. Braude
66.9 J. van Overeem 87.3 L. Brouwers
76.0 M. Rivera 106.5 R. Meerveld 206.9 J. Trenskow ↓86’
186.3 L. Nordås A↓65’
  • 22B. Klaverboer (G)6.9
  • 19V. Zagaritis↓75’7.2
  • 3M. Willemsen6.9
  • 4S. Kersten6.9
  • 45O. Braude7.2
  • 6J. van Overeem6.9
  • 8L. Brouwers7.3
  • 7M. Rivera6.0
  • 10R. Meerveld6.5
  • 20J. Trenskow↓86’6.9
  • 18L. NordåsA↓65’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 9D. Vente↑65’6.3
  • 28H. Petrov↑75’6.7
  • 17N. Hopland↑86’6.7

Unused: N. Bakker, A. Noppert, Ingmar Mulder, M. Egbring, Eser Gürbüz, L. Oyen, N. Courtens, I. Ahmed

Player stats

Top rated
I. YegoianExcelsior7.9
2nd
L. SchoutenExcelsior7.7
3rd
D. Sanches FernandesExcelsior7.3

Excelsior

Heerenveen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.