Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Dec 20 2025 · 17:45 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.71 – 1.18
  • N. Naujoks 20’
  • I. Yegoian 78’
  • 48’ R. Thomas
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Excelsior beat PEC Zwolle

Excelsior entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Naujoks and Yegoian. PEC Zwolle replied through a Thomas goal. Excelsior finished with the higher xG (1.71 vs 1.18). On the chances created, PEC Zwolle deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Excelsior ✓39%
Draw27%
PEC Zwolle34%

Model vs reality

Excelsior goals
2
Model 1.40 · xG 1.71
PEC Zwolle goals
1
Model 1.31 · xG 1.18
Total goals
3
Model 2.71 · xG 2.89
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. YegoianExcelsior · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeSander van der Eijk
  • VenueVan Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Table before kick-offExcelsior 14th · PEC Zwolle 11th

Timeline

  1. N. Naujoks 1–0Assist D. Sanches Fernandes
    20’
  2. ⇄ J. FaberskiFor T. Gooijer
    35’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ D. MbayoFor K. de Rooij
    46’
  5. R. Thomas 1–1Assist S. Floranus
    48’
  6. R. ThomasYellow card · Foul
    63’
  7. ⇄ S. WłodarczykFor Jerolldino Bergraaf
    64’
  8. ⇄ N. FichtingerFor T. Oosting
    70’
  9. ⇄ L. SchoutenFor L. Hartjes
    72’
  10. A. ZagréYellow card · Holding
    76’
  11. I. Yegoian 2–1Assist S. Włodarczyk
    78’
  12. ⇄ G. ReizigerFor S. Graves
    82’
  13. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor D. Sanches Fernandes
    87’
  14. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Excelsior13 shots · 11 in box, 2 outside
PEC Zwolle9 shots · 9 in box
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
49% Possession 51%
1.71 Expected goals (xG) 1.18
1.73 Expected points (xPts) 1.03
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 0
448 Passes 475
80% Pass accuracy 81%
3 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

Excelsior 4-2-3-1

17.3 S. van Gassel(G)
126.3 A. Zagré 36.9 R. Meissen 47.2 C. Widell 26.6 Ilias Bronkhorst
206.6 L. Hartjes ↓72’ 238.3★ I. Yegoian
117.0 G. de Regt 107.0 N. Naujoks 307.9 D. Sanches Fernandes A↓87’
336.5 Jerolldino Bergraaf ↓64’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)7.3
  • 12A. Zagré6.3
  • 3R. Meissen6.9
  • 4C. Widell7.2
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.6
  • 20L. Hartjes↓72’6.6
  • 23I. Yegoian ★8.3
  • 11G. de Regt7.0
  • 10N. Naujoks7.0
  • 30D. Sanches FernandesA↓87’7.9
  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↓64’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 9S. WłodarczykA↑64’6.7
  • 14L. Schouten↑72’6.7
  • 29M. van Duinen↑87’

Unused: C. Raatsie, S. Henderikx, Simon Janssen, Yoon Do-Yong, N. El Hamdaoui, A. Carlén

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

166.0 T. de Graaff(G)
26.3 S. Floranus A 46.7 A. MacNulty 286.2 S. Graves ↓82’ 66.5 T. Gooijer ↓35’
86.2 Z. Buurmeester 308.0 R. Thomas
226.9 K. de Rooij ↓46’ 256.2 T. Oosting ↓70’ 76.6 S. Shoretire
106.2 Koen Kostons
  • 16T. de Graaff (G)6.0
  • 2S. FloranusA6.3
  • 4A. MacNulty6.7
  • 28S. Graves↓82’6.2
  • 6T. Gooijer↓35’6.5
  • 8Z. Buurmeester6.2
  • 30R. Thomas8.0
  • 22K. de Rooij↓46’6.9
  • 25T. Oosting↓70’6.2
  • 7S. Shoretire6.6
  • 10Koen Kostons6.2

Substitutes used

  • 19J. Faberski↑35’6.9
  • 11D. Mbayo↑46’6.6
  • 34N. Fichtinger↑70’6.2
  • 20G. Reiziger↑82’6.5

Unused: Len Bakker, D. Verduin, D. Ruward, D. van der Haar, G. Rahajaän, J. Pereira da Gama, T. Buitink

Player stats

Top rated
I. YegoianExcelsior8.3
2nd
R. ThomasPEC Zwolle8.0
3rd
D. Sanches FernandesExcelsior7.9

Excelsior

PEC Zwolle

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.