Eyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Besiktas were slight favourites.
Besiktas were the stronger side on L90 Strength (39 vs 16). Eyüpspor had 7.1 days of rest, Besiktas 7 and had to travel 0 km.
Away travel0 kmRest days7.1 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Eyüpspor27%
Draw26%
Besiktas47%
Eyüpspor27%
Draw26%
Besiktas46%
Eyüpspor27%
Draw26%
Besiktas47%
Eyüpspor21%
Draw24%
Besiktas55%
Eyüpspor27%
Draw26%
Besiktas47%
Over 2.5 54%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (İstanbul)
No weather data yet
RefereeYasin Kol
- Cards per match 5.6
- Penalties per match 0.30
- Matches 30
Team strength
Eyüpspor
Besiktas
16
L90 StrengthIn forecast
39
13
Current StrengthIn forecast
50
9
AttackIn forecast
60
10
DefenceIn forecast
48
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisBesiktas
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
EyüpsporBesiktas
0.61
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.72
1.39
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.22
1.00
xGVia Att/Def
1.88
1.47
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.00
-0.39
Goals minus xGContext
-0.16
44%
Scored inContext
89%
17%
Clean sheetsContext
28%
10.89
ShotsContext
15.61
3.71
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.94
32%
On target shareContext
38%
6.76
Shots in the boxContext
10.61
59%
Box shareContext
70%
6%
ConversionContext
11%
2.61
OffsidesContext
2.40
13.06
Shots allowedContext
12.33
4.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
4.19
BlocksContext
3.24
3.44
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
72%
Save rateContext
73%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
373
PassesContext
416
303
Accurate passesContext
344
81%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.88
11.89
FoulsContext
12.56
14.78
Fouls sufferedContext
11.11
2.28
Yellow cardsContext
2.33
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.17
0.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
1.40
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
1.15
xGVia Att/Def
1.88
1.42
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.01
-0.45
Goals minus xGContext
-0.08
50%
Scored inContext
100%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
11.00
ShotsContext
17.10
4.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.50
38%
On target shareContext
38%
7.78
Shots in the boxContext
10.80
64%
Box shareContext
67%
6%
ConversionContext
11%
2.30
OffsidesContext
2.14
12.40
Shots allowedContext
14.70
4.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.00
3.89
BlocksContext
4.00
3.22
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.89
71%
Save rateContext
80%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
377
PassesContext
411
306
Accurate passesContext
339
81%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.78
Team ratingContext
6.97
12.50
FoulsContext
11.50
13.90
Fouls sufferedContext
11.70
2.10
Yellow cardsContext
2.30
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eyüpspor
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Besiktas
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eyüpspor |
Besiktas |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 19 Jan | 7Süper Lig 2025-2026, 19 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 0 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 926 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4.8 | 5 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eyüpspor
Confirmed XI
24J. Yılmaz(G)
77C. Meraş
5E. Ortakaya
68J. Onguéné
17Talha Ülvan
23L. Pintor
28T. İlter
55B. Gezek
26Metehan Altunbaş
19U. Bozok
20M. Łęgowski
Besiktas
Confirmed XI
30E. Destanoğlu(G)
33R. Yılmaz
53E. Topçu
35Tiago Djaló
22T. Bulut
17K. Yılmaz
26Jota Silva
10O. Kökçü
18V. Černý
7M. Rashica
19E. Touré
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eyüpspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Besiktas
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eyüpspor+0.0 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- Besiktas+0.1 pp
Home / Away this season
Eyüpspor · Home
1.00points per game · 9 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-3-4
- Scored
- 0.78
- Conceded
- 1.44
Besiktas · Away
1.67points per game · 9 away games
- W-D-L
- 4-3-2
- Scored
- 1.78
- Conceded
- 1.22
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Eyüpspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | D 1–1 AL 1–4 H | W 2–0 A |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–3 H | L 2–3 H |
| Rizespor | L 0–3 A | W 1–0 H |
| Kayserispor | D 1–1 H | W 1–0 HW 4–0 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 2–1 A | D 2–2 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | D 1–1 H | W 2–0 A |
| Samsunspor | L 0–1 A | D 1–1 H |
| Antalyaspor | L 0–1 H | W 3–1 A |
| Trabzonspor | L 0–2 A | D 3–3 A |
| Kasimpasa | W 2–0 H | D 1–1 A |
| Kocaelispor | L 0–1 A | W 3–1 H |
| Goztepe | D 0–0 H | L 0–3 A |
| Genclerbirligi | L 0–1 A | L 1–2 H |
| Galatasaray | L 0–2 H | D 1–1 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | D 0–0 A | W 2–1 H |
| Alanyaspor | W 2–1 H | L 0–2 A |
| Points | 14 of 51 · 0.82 per game | 29 of 51 · 1.71 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings
0 Eyüpspor wins0 draws3 Besiktas wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.33
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 17 Aug 2025Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor
- 21 Feb 2025Eyüpspor1–3Besiktas
- 22 Sep 2024Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eyüpspor | Besiktas | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.61 | 1.72 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.39 | 1.22 | |
| Match goals | 2.00 | 2.94 | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 61% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 28% | |
| Failed to score | 56% | 11% | |
| Games | 18 | 18 |
| Eyüpspor | Besiktas | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.70 | 1.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.40 | 1.10 | |
| Match goals | 2.10 | 2.90 | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eyüpspor | Besiktas | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.38 | 5.59 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.38 | 4.71 | |
| Match total | 9.76 | 10.30 | 9.43 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 9/16 | 71% 12/17 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 7/16 | 53% 9/17 | |
| Over 10.5 | 31% 5/16 | 41% 7/17 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.11 | 2.78 | |
| Match total | 4.44 | 5.28 | 4.64 |
| Over 3.5 | 61% 11/18 | 83% 15/18 | |
| Over 4.5 | 44% 8/18 | 56% 10/18 | |
| Eyüpspor | Besiktas | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.33 | 4.89 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.67 | 5.22 | |
| Match total | 10.00 | 10.11 | 9.43 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 22% 2/9 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 4.10 | 5.20 | 4.64 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Yasin Kol 30 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.17league 4.39
Red cards0.43league 0.24
Cards 5+63%league 45%
Fouls27.1league 25.7
Penalties0.30league 0.25
Home wins37%league 36%
Eyüpspor5 with this referee
Record2-2-1
Cards · opp.3.2 · 3.2
Pens for · against1 · 1
Reds1
- D6 Dec 25H · Kayserispor1–13
- L9 Nov 25A · Samsunspor0–13
- D16 Mar 25A · Goztepe1–16
- W19 Jan 25H · Alanyaspor3–01
- W3 Nov 24H · Hatayspor2–03
Besiktas3 with this referee
Record2-1-0
Cards · opp.4.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
Reds1
- D4 Oct 25A · Galatasaray1–15
- W4 May 25A · Fenerbahce1–03
- W29 Mar 25H · Galatasaray2–14
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eyüpspor18 games · scored 11 · conceded 25
3
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
10
76-90
Besiktas18 games · scored 31 · conceded 22
7
2
0-15
6
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
5
6
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 7 · conceded 14
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
6
76-90
Besiktas10 games · scored 18 · conceded 11
3
1
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
