Süper Lig Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 14:00 Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, İstanbul
Fatih Karagümrük
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.99 – 1.15
Kocaelispor
  • D. Fofana 65’
  • 90+3’ B. Petković
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kocaelispor snatch a late draw

Kocaelispor entered as narrow favourites, yet Fatih Karagümrük led 1–0 after 65 minutes through a Fofana goal. But Petković scored to rescue a draw for Kocaelispor. The chances were even, with xG of 0.99 and 1.15.

Fatih Karagümrük31%
Draw ✓27%
Kocaelispor42%

Model vs reality

Fatih Karagümrük goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 0.99
Kocaelispor goals
1
Model 1.46 · xG 1.15
Total goals
2
Model 2.68 · xG 2.14
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. GrbićFatih Karagümrük
7.9
  • RefereeCagdas Altay
  • CoachesM. Liczka · —
  • VenueAtatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
  • Table before kick-offFatih Karagümrük 18th · Kocaelispor 8th

Timeline

  1. B. BaloghYellow card
    22’
  2. ShowYellow card
    35’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. SerginhoYellow card
    50’
  5. D. Fofana 1–0Assist D. Johnson
    65’
  6. ⇄ B. PetkovićFor S. Dursun
    68’
  7. ⇄ R. RivasFor B. Balogh
    72’
  8. ⇄ D. ChurlinovFor Show
    72’
  9. D. JohnsonYellow card · misses next match
    75’
  10. ⇄ Baris KalayciFor D. Johnson
    79’
  11. ⇄ Furkan GedikFor H. Keïta
    85’
  12. ⇄ Anıl Yiğit ÇınarFor B. Özcan
    87’
  13. ⇄ T. KalpakliFor M. Kranevitter
    90’
  14. B. Petković 1–1Assist H. Smolčić
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Fatih Karagümrük8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Kocaelispor16 shots · 7 in box, 9 outside
Fatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
35% Possession 65%
0.99 Expected goals (xG) 1.15
1.23 Expected points (xPts) 1.47
8 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 9
297 Passes 542
81% Pass accuracy 89%
2 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1

137.9★ I. Grbić(G)
336.6 Ç. Kurukalıp 297.0 J. Balkovec 67.0 A. Çankaya 477.0 Ricardo Esgaio
147.0 Marius Tresor Doh 56.7 M. Kranevitter ↓90’
706.5 Serginho 86.5 B. Özcan ↓87’ 117.2 D. Johnson A↓79’
197.2 D. Fofana
  • 13I. Grbić (G) ★7.9
  • 33Ç. Kurukalıp6.6
  • 29J. Balkovec7.0
  • 6A. Çankaya7.0
  • 47Ricardo Esgaio7.0
  • 14Marius Tresor Doh7.0
  • 5M. Kranevitter↓90’6.7
  • 70Serginho6.5
  • 8B. Özcan↓87’6.5
  • 11D. JohnsonA↓79’7.2
  • 19D. Fofana7.2

Substitutes used

  • 94Anıl Yiğit Çınar↑87’
  • 72Baris Kalayci↑79’6.7
  • 20T. Kalpakli↑90’

Unused: Kerem Yandal, Muhammed Kadioglu, N. Ugrekhelidze, Burhan Ersoy, A. Demirol, A. Gray, Ahmet Sivri

Coach: M. Liczka

Kocaelispor 4-3-3

16.5 A. Jovanovic
216.9 M. Haïdara 67.9 H. Smolčić A 57.0 B. Balogh ↓72’ 27.5 A. Dijksteel
106.9 K. Linetty 146.6 Show ↓72’ 87.0 H. Keïta ↓85’
756.9 T. Bingöl 196.2 S. Dursun ↓68’ 76.7 Daniel Agyei
  • 1A. Jovanovic6.5
  • 21M. Haïdara6.9
  • 6H. SmolčićA7.9
  • 5B. Balogh↓72’7.0
  • 2A. Dijksteel7.5
  • 10K. Linetty6.9
  • 14Show↓72’6.6
  • 8H. Keïta↓85’7.0
  • 75T. Bingöl6.9
  • 19S. Dursun↓68’6.2
  • 7Daniel Agyei6.7

Substitutes used

  • 9B. Petković↑68’6.2
  • 17D. Churlinov↑72’6.7
  • 99R. Rivas↑72’6.7
  • 18Furkan Gedik↑85’

Unused: Gökhan Değirmenci, Muharrem Cinan, O. Syrota, T. Serbest, S. Yalcin, J. Nonge Boende

Player stats

Top rated
I. GrbićFatih Karagümrük7.9
2nd
H. SmolčićKocaelispor7.9
3rd
A. DijksteelKocaelispor7.5

Fatih Karagümrük

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Grbić G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 78% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
Ç. Kurukalıp D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 16 3 5 1/2 1/0 6.6
J. Balkovec D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
A. Çankaya D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 36 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
Ricardo Esgaio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 48 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
Marius Tresor Doh M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 24 3 1 0/0 3/0 7.0
M. Kranevitter 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 24 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.7
Serginho M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 69% 16 1 0 5/5 3/3 6.5
B. Özcan M 87 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 16 1 0 0/2 0/2 6.5
D. Johnson M 79 0 1 0 (0) 2 88% 24 0 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
D. Fofana F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 94% 18 0 0 2/7 2/0 7.2
Anıl Yiğit Çınar D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Baris Kalayci F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
T. Kalpakli F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Kocaelispor

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Jovanovic 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Haïdara D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 51 3 0 0/2 1/2 6.9
H. Smolčić D 90 0 1 1 (1) 1 94% 100 4 2 0/1 1/1 7.9
B. Balogh D 72 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 72 2 1 0/0 2/1 7.0
A. Dijksteel D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 63 3 1 0/0 0/1 7.5
K. Linetty M 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 95% 37 2 2 0/0 3/2 6.9
Show M 72 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 33 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
H. Keïta M 85 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 41 4 1 0/1 0/2 7.0
T. Bingöl D 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 78% 36 3 0 0/0 2/1 6.9
S. Dursun F 68 0 0 0 (0) 3 92% 12 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
Daniel Agyei F 90 0 0 3 (0) 0 92% 26 1 0 2/2 0/1 6.7
B. Petković F 22 1 0 0 (0) 0 43% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
D. Churlinov F 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
R. Rivas F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Furkan Gedik F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.