UEFA Europa League Matchday 4 Thu, Nov 6 2025 · 17:45 MCH Arena, Herning
3–1 Full time · HT 3–0 xG 2.49 – 0.98
  • M. Erlić 34’
  • M. Krüger-Johnsen 35’
  • F. Gluda Djú 41’
  • 81’ (P) R. Hatate
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Midtjylland beat Celtic

FC Midtjylland entered as narrow favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Erlić, Krüger-Johnsen and Djú. Celtic replied through a Hatate goal. FC Midtjylland finished with the higher xG (2.49 vs 0.98).

FC Midtjylland ✓43%
Draw25%
Celtic32%

Model vs reality

FC Midtjylland goals
3
Model 1.61 · xG 2.49
Celtic goals
1
Model 1.35 · xG 0.98
Total goals
4
Model 2.96 · xG 3.47
Score 3–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. Krüger-JohnsenFC Midtjylland · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.2
  • RefereeNenad Minaković
  • CoachesM. Tullberg · —
  • VenueMCH Arena
  • Table before kick-offFC Midtjylland 1st · Celtic 21st

Timeline

  1. L. ScalesYellow card · Elbowing
    13’
  2. M. Erlić 1–0Assist M. Krüger-Johnsen
    34’
  3. M. Krüger-Johnsen 2–0
    35’
  4. F. Gluda Djú 3–0
    41’
  5. Half time · 3–0
  6. ⇄ C. OsmandFor J. Kenny
    46’
  7. ⇄ D. MaedaFor J. Forrest
    46’
  8. ⇄ Júnior BrumadoFor F. Gluda Djú
    59’
  9. ⇄ D. ŞimşirFor M. Krüger-Johnsen
    59’
  10. ⇄ D. CastilloFor D. Osorio
    59’
  11. ⇄ R. HatateFor E. Nygren
    69’
  12. ⇄ V. ByskovFor P. Billing
    71’
  13. ⇄ Paulo BernardoFor A. Engels
    75’
  14. ⇄ M. BalikwishaFor S. Tounekti
    75’
  15. R. Hatate (pen) 3–1
    81’
  16. ⇄ O. DiaoFor M. Erlić
    85’
  17. Paulo BernardoYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  18. D. MaedaYellow card · Tripping
    90+5’
  19. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

FC Midtjylland23 shots · 17 in box, 6 outside
Celtic5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
FC MidtjyllandCeltic
60% Possession 40%
2.49 Expected goals (xG) 0.98
2.28 Expected points (xPts) 0.55
23 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
17 Shots inside the box 3
6 Shots outside the box 2
424 Passes 293
83% Pass accuracy 70%
4 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 4-2-3-1

167.0 E. Ólafsson(G)
226.9 M. Bech 67.0 M. Erlić ↓85’ 36.5 H. Lee 436.9 M. Mbabu
87.3 P. Billing ↓71’ 196.6 P. Bravo
419.2★ M. Krüger-Johnsen A↓59’ 106.3 G. Cho 117.7 D. Osorio ↓59’
77.7 F. Gluda Djú ↓59’
  • 16E. Ólafsson (G)7.0
  • 22M. Bech6.9
  • 6M. Erlić↓85’7.0
  • 3H. Lee6.5
  • 43M. Mbabu6.9
  • 8P. Billing↓71’7.3
  • 19P. Bravo6.6
  • 41M. Krüger-Johnsen ★A↓59’9.2
  • 10G. Cho6.3
  • 11D. Osorio↓59’7.7
  • 7F. Gluda Djú↓59’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 58D. Şimşir↑59’7.2
  • 21D. Castillo↑59’6.3
  • 74Júnior Brumado↑59’6.3
  • 20V. Byskov↑71’6.7
  • 4O. Diao↑85’6.3

Unused: J. Lössl, M. Ugboh, V. Bak Jensen, Paulinho, Dani Silva, Alamara Djabi, F. Etim

Coach: M. Tullberg

Celtic 4-2-3-1

17.9 K. Schmeichel(G)
636.2 K. Tierney 56.3 L. Scales 67.2 A. Trusty 566.6 A. Ralston
426.2 C. McGregor 276.5 A. Engels ↓75’
236.7 S. Tounekti ↓75’ 86.2 E. Nygren ↓69’ 496.3 J. Forrest ↓46’
246.2 J. Kenny ↓46’
  • 1K. Schmeichel (G)7.9
  • 63K. Tierney6.2
  • 5L. Scales6.3
  • 6A. Trusty7.2
  • 56A. Ralston6.6
  • 42C. McGregor6.2
  • 27A. Engels↓75’6.5
  • 23S. Tounekti↓75’6.7
  • 8E. Nygren↓69’6.2
  • 49J. Forrest↓46’6.3
  • 24J. Kenny↓46’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 38D. Maeda↑46’6.6
  • 19C. Osmand↑46’6.6
  • 41R. Hatate↑69’7.0
  • 28Paulo Bernardo↑75’6.3
  • 10M. Balikwisha↑75’6.7

Unused: V. Sinisalo, R. Doohan, D. Murray, M. Saracchi, L. McCowan, C. Donovan, H. Yang

Player stats

Top rated
M. Krüger-JohnsenFC Midtjylland9.2
2nd
K. SchmeichelCeltic7.9
3rd
D. OsorioFC Midtjylland7.7

FC Midtjylland

Celtic

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.