UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00 MCH Arena, Herning
2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.41 – 0.76
  • D. Şimşir 49’
  • V. Bak Jensen 74’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Midtjylland beat Dinamo Zagreb

FC Midtjylland entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Şimşir and Jensen. FC Midtjylland finished with the higher xG (1.41 vs 0.76). On the chances created, Dinamo Zagreb deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC Midtjylland ✓47%
Draw25%
Dinamo Zagreb27%

Model vs reality

FC Midtjylland goals
2
Model 1.68 · xG 1.41
Dinamo Zagreb goals
0
Model 1.23 · xG 0.76
Total goals
2
Model 2.91 · xG 2.17
Score 2–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. ŞimşirFC Midtjylland · 1 goal
9.3
  • RefereeElcin Masiyev
  • CoachesM. Tullberg · Mario Kovačević
  • VenueMCH Arena
  • Table before kick-offFC Midtjylland 4th · Dinamo Zagreb 20th

Timeline

  1. C. VarelaYellow card · Foul
    5’
  2. M. ErlićYellow card · Roughing
    37’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ A. HoxhaFor G. Vidović
    46’
  5. ⇄ M. BakrarFor C. Varela
    46’
  6. D. Şimşir 1–0Assist D. Osorio
    49’
  7. D. OsorioYellow card
    59’
  8. ⇄ M. ZajcFor M. Soldo
    60’
  9. ⇄ D. BeljoFor S. Kulenović
    60’
  10. ⇄ E. ChilufyaFor D. Osorio
    62’
  11. ⇄ M. VinlöfFor S. McKenna
    69’
  12. V. Bak Jensen 2–0Assist V. Byskov
    74’
  13. ⇄ P. BravoFor Júnior Brumado
    79’
  14. ⇄ H. LeeFor M. Erlić
    79’
  15. ⇄ M. MbabuFor D. Şimşir
    90+1’
  16. ⇄ Dani SilvaFor V. Byskov
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

FC Midtjylland9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Dinamo Zagreb9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
FC MidtjyllandDinamo Zagreb
62% Possession 38%
1.41 Expected goals (xG) 0.76
1.85 Expected points (xPts) 0.88
9 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 4
2 Shots outside the box 5
382 Passes 240
78% Pass accuracy 60%
5 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
17 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.30 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 3-4-2-1

167.2 E. Ólafsson(G)
227.0 M. Bech 67.3 M. Erlić ↓79’ 47.0 O. Diao
557.9 V. Bak Jensen 207.7 V. Byskov A↓90’ 216.9 D. Castillo 116.9 D. Osorio A↓62’
589.3★ D. Şimşir ↓90’ 106.3 G. Cho
746.9 Júnior Brumado ↓79’
  • 16E. Ólafsson (G)7.2
  • 22M. Bech7.0
  • 6M. Erlić↓79’7.3
  • 4O. Diao7.0
  • 55V. Bak Jensen7.9
  • 20V. ByskovA↓90’7.7
  • 21D. Castillo6.9
  • 11D. OsorioA↓62’6.9
  • 58D. Şimşir ★↓90’9.3
  • 10G. Cho6.3
  • 74Júnior Brumado↓79’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 14E. Chilufya↑62’6.3
  • 3H. Lee↑79’
  • 43M. Mbabu↑90’
  • 19P. Bravo↑79’
  • 80Dani Silva↑90’

Unused: J. Lössl, M. Ugboh, Alamara Djabi, Malik Pimpong

Coach: M. Tullberg

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-4-1

337.2 I. Nevistić(G)
36.7 B. Goda 266.3 S. McKenna ↓69’ 366.3 Sergi Domínguez 155.9 N. Galešić
276.9 J. Mišić
106.3 G. Vidović ↓46’ 76.6 L. Stojković 146.7 M. Soldo ↓60’ 236.5 C. Varela ↓46’
176.0 S. Kulenović ↓60’
  • 33I. Nevistić (G)7.2
  • 3B. Goda6.7
  • 26S. McKenna↓69’6.3
  • 36Sergi Domínguez6.3
  • 15N. Galešić5.9
  • 27J. Mišić6.9
  • 10G. Vidović↓46’6.3
  • 7L. Stojković6.6
  • 14M. Soldo↓60’6.7
  • 23C. Varela↓46’6.5
  • 17S. Kulenović↓60’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 11A. Hoxha↑46’6.6
  • 71M. Bakrar↑46’6.6
  • 8M. Zajc↑60’6.9
  • 9D. Beljo↑60’6.3
  • 22M. Vinlöf↑69’6.2

Unused: A. Rajić, Moris Valinčić, K. Théophile-Catherine, N. Mikić, Gonzalo Villar, R. Mudražija, F. Topić

Coach: Mario Kovačević

Player stats

Top rated
D. ŞimşirFC Midtjylland9.3
2nd
V. Bak JensenFC Midtjylland7.9
3rd
V. ByskovFC Midtjylland7.7

FC Midtjylland

Dinamo Zagreb

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.