UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Thu, Mar 19 2026 · 17:45 MCH Arena, Herning
FC Midtjylland
First leg1–0 1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 Pens 0–3 xG 0.67 – 2.03
Nottingham Forest
  • M. Erlić 69’
  • 40’ N. Domínguez
  • 52’ R. Yates
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest beat FC Midtjylland

Nottingham Forest won 2–1 through goals from Domínguez and Yates. FC Midtjylland replied through a Erlić goal. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (2.03 vs 0.67).

FC Midtjylland35%
Draw28%
Nottingham Forest ✓37%

Model vs reality

FC Midtjylland goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 0.67
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.30 · xG 2.03
Total goals
3
Model 2.55 · xG 2.70
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. ÓlafssonFC Midtjylland
8.9
  • RefereeFelix Zwayer
  • CoachesMike Tullberg · —
  • VenueMCH Arena
  • Table before kick-offFC Midtjylland 4th · Nottingham Forest 13th

Timeline

  1. N. Domínguez 0–1Assist N. Milenković
    40’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ D. ŞimşirFor P. Billing
    46’
  4. ⇄ H. LeeFor V. Byskov
    46’
  5. Júnior BrumadoYellow card
    51’
  6. R. Yates 0–2Assist J. McAtee
    52’
  7. ⇄ G. ChoFor Júnior Brumado
    56’
  8. ⇄ N. WilliamsFor D. Ndoye
    61’
  9. ⇄ M. Gibbs-WhiteFor O. Hutchinson
    61’
  10. ⇄ MurilloFor N. Milenković
    61’
  11. M. Erlić 1–2
    69’
  12. D. OsorioYellow card · Tripping
    71’
  13. ⇄ E. AndersonFor J. McAtee
    75’
  14. ⇄ T. AinaFor D. Bakwa
    75’
  15. P. BravoYellow card · Holding
    88’
  16. ⇄ A. GabrielFor O. Diao
    91’
  17. ⇄ I. SangaréFor N. Domínguez
    91’
  18. MurilloYellow card · Elbowing
    94’
  19. M. ErlićYellow card
    102’
  20. ⇄ E. ChilufyaFor D. Osorio
    103’
  21. E. AndersonYellow card
    114’
  22. VAR R. YatesGoal Disallowed - offside
    119’
  23. • M. Gibbs-White
    120+1’
  24. • G. Cho
    120+1’
  25. • I. Sangaré
    120+2’
  26. • D. Şimşir
    120+2’
  27. • N. Williams
    120+3’
  28. • E. Chilufya
    120+3’
  29. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

FC Midtjylland12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham Forest20 shots · 13 in box, 7 outside
FC MidtjyllandNottingham Forest
52% Possession 48%
0.67 Expected goals (xG) 2.03
0.53 Expected points (xPts) 2.27
12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 8
6 Shots off target 9
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 13
5 Shots outside the box 7
497 Passes 468
74% Pass accuracy 76%
4 Corners 11
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
22 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 5
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 4-2-3-1

168.9★ E. Ólafsson(G)
555.5 V. Bak Jensen 226.9 M. Bech 67.2 M. Erlić 46.9 O. Diao ↓91’
196.3 P. Bravo 86.2 P. Billing ↓46’
116.2 D. Osorio ↓103’ 206.2 V. Byskov ↓46’ 216.7 D. Castillo
746.3 Júnior Brumado ↓56’
  • 16E. Ólafsson (G) ★8.9
  • 55V. Bak Jensen5.5
  • 22M. Bech6.9
  • 6M. Erlić7.2
  • 4O. Diao↓91’6.9
  • 19P. Bravo6.3
  • 8P. Billing↓46’6.2
  • 11D. Osorio↓103’6.2
  • 20V. Byskov↓46’6.2
  • 21D. Castillo6.7
  • 74Júnior Brumado↓56’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 3H. Lee↑46’6.7
  • 58D. Şimşir↑46’7.2
  • 10G. Cho↑56’6.9
  • 13A. Gabriel↑91’6.7
  • 14E. Chilufya↑103’6.5

Unused: J. Lössl, M. Ugboh, M. Uhre, Julius Emefile, J. Zé, M. Krüger-Johnsen

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

276.0 S. Ortega(G)
46.9 Morato 317.6 N. Milenković A↓61’ 446.9 Z. Abbott
297.0 D. Bakwa ↓75’ 167.5 N. Domínguez ↓91’ 227.0 R. Yates 146.6 D. Ndoye ↓61’
247.7 J. McAtee A↓75’ 217.0 O. Hutchinson ↓61’
206.3 L. Lucca
  • 27S. Ortega (G)6.0
  • 4Morato6.9
  • 31N. MilenkovićA↓61’7.6
  • 44Z. Abbott6.9
  • 29D. Bakwa↓75’7.0
  • 16N. Domínguez↓91’7.5
  • 22R. Yates7.0
  • 14D. Ndoye↓61’6.6
  • 24J. McAteeA↓75’7.7
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓61’7.0
  • 20L. Lucca6.3

Substitutes used

  • 3N. Williams↑61’6.5
  • 5Murillo↑61’6.2
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↑61’7.2
  • 34T. Aina↑75’7.2
  • 8E. Anderson↑75’7.2
  • 6I. Sangaré↑91’6.3

Unused: M. Sels, Keehan Willows, Justin Hanks, Jimmy Sinclair, Archie Whitehall, Igor Jesus

Player stats

Top rated
E. ÓlafssonFC Midtjylland8.9
2nd
J. McAteeNottingham Forest7.7
3rd
N. MilenkovićNottingham Forest7.6

FC Midtjylland

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Ólafsson G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 74% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.9
V. Bak Jensen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 33 2 3 0/3 1/0 5.5
M. Bech D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 65 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Erlić D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 88% 50 3 4 0/0 0/1 7.2
O. Diao D 91 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 58 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.9
P. Bravo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 52 4 0 1/1 3/0 6.3
P. Billing M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 1 1/2 2/1 6.2
D. Osorio M 103 0 0 1 (0) 0 70% 23 4 0 3/4 5/1 6.2
V. Byskov M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 60% 10 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
D. Castillo M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 65% 31 2 1 2/3 2/5 6.7
Júnior Brumado F 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 1 0 3/3 4/1 6.3
H. Lee D 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 51 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Şimşir M 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 28 1 0 3/8 0/2 7.2
G. Cho F 64 0 0 3 (2) 0 64% 11 1 0 0/1 1/3 6.9
A. Gabriel D 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 16 0 1 1/2 2/1 6.7
E. Chilufya F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Ortega G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 36% 42 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
Morato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 54 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
N. Milenković D 61 0 1 0 (0) 2 82% 22 2 2 0/0 1/4 7.6
Z. Abbott D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 34 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
D. Bakwa F 75 0 0 2 (0) 1 86% 21 2 0 3/4 1/0 7.0
N. Domínguez M 91 1 0 3 (2) 1 69% 48 3 2 0/0 2/1 7.5
R. Yates M 90 1 0 4 (1) 1 82% 44 1 1 0/1 1/3 7.0
D. Ndoye F 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 11 3 1 0/4 1/1 6.6
J. McAtee M 75 0 1 1 (1) 2 89% 27 2 0 1/1 0/2 7.7
O. Hutchinson F 61 0 0 1 (1) 3 73% 22 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.0
L. Lucca F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 88% 26 1 1 1/3 2/1 6.3
N. Williams D 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 11 2 0 0/0 1/2 6.5
Murillo D 59 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 20 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
M. Gibbs-White M 59 0 0 3 (1) 2 100% 18 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
T. Aina D 45 0 0 1 (1) 1 81% 16 1 1 0/0 1/1 7.2
E. Anderson M 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 34 4 0 0/1 1/3 7.2
I. Sangaré M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.