UEFA Europa League Matchday 1 Wed, Sep 24 2025 · 17:45 MCH Arena, Herning
FC Midtjylland
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.56 – 0.91
Sturm Graz
  • O. Christensen 7’ (OG)
  • O. Diao 89’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Midtjylland beat Sturm Graz

FC Midtjylland entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Diao and an own goal. FC Midtjylland won despite the lower xG; Sturm Graz created the better chances (0.91 vs 0.56). On the chances created, Sturm Graz deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC Midtjylland ✓51%
Draw25%
Sturm Graz24%

Model vs reality

FC Midtjylland goals
2
Model 1.71 · xG 0.56
Sturm Graz goals
0
Model 1.10 · xG 0.91
Total goals
2
Model 2.81 · xG 1.47
Score 2–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. DiaoFC Midtjylland · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeOrel Grinfeeld
  • CoachesM. Tullberg · —
  • VenueMCH Arena

Timeline

  1. Júnior BrumadoYellow card · Foul
    3’
  2. O. Christensen (own goal) 1–0Assist F. Gluda Djú
    7’
  3. VAR F. Gluda DjúGoal confirmed
    8’
  4. F. Gluda DjúYellow card · Foul
    24’
  5. P. BillingYellow card · Foul
    45’
  6. M. MaloneYellow card · Foul
    45+3’
  7. Half time · 1–0
  8. ⇄ J. HödlFor F. Rózga
    46’
  9. ⇄ L. GrgićFor M. Malone
    59’
  10. ⇄ D. ŞimşirFor G. Cho
    60’
  11. ⇄ A. GabrielFor M. Mbabu
    69’
  12. ⇄ E. ChilufyaFor Júnior Brumado
    69’
  13. E. AiwuYellow card · Foul
    71’
  14. ⇄ S. HierländerFor T. Oermann
    73’
  15. ⇄ B. BeganovićFor S. Jatta
    73’
  16. ⇄ J. BeckFor T. Chukwuani
    84’
  17. ⇄ V. ByskovFor F. Gluda Djú
    88’
  18. O. Diao 2–0Assist D. Şimşir
    89’
  19. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

FC Midtjylland7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Sturm Graz11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
FC MidtjyllandSturm Graz
53% Possession 47%
0.56 Expected goals (xG) 0.91
1.01 Expected points (xPts) 1.63
7 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
1 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 4
396 Passes 354
80% Pass accuracy 74%
4 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
16 Fouls 16
5 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.40

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 4-3-1-2

167.3 E. Ólafsson(G)
227.3 M. Bech 37.3 H. Lee 48.2★ O. Diao 437.5 M. Mbabu ↓69’
217.7 D. Castillo 197.5 P. Bravo 87.0 P. Billing
107.0 G. Cho ↓60’
76.9 F. Gluda Djú A↓88’ 746.2 Júnior Brumado ↓69’
  • 16E. Ólafsson (G)7.3
  • 22M. Bech7.3
  • 3H. Lee7.3
  • 4O. Diao ★8.2
  • 43M. Mbabu↓69’7.5
  • 21D. Castillo7.7
  • 19P. Bravo7.5
  • 8P. Billing7.0
  • 10G. Cho↓60’7.0
  • 7F. Gluda DjúA↓88’6.9
  • 74Júnior Brumado↓69’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 13A. Gabriel↑69’6.7
  • 14E. Chilufya↑69’6.3
  • 20V. Byskov↑88’
  • 58D. ŞimşirA↑60’6.9

Unused: J. Lössl, M. Ugboh, Paulinho, B. Konteh Krubally, V. Bak Jensen, F. Etim

Coach: M. Tullberg

Sturm Graz 4-2-3-1

15.9 O. Christensen(G)
177.2 E. Karić 246.3 D. Lavalée 475.6 E. Aiwu 56.3 T. Oermann ↓73’
216.6 T. Chukwuani ↓84’ 46.9 J. Gorenc Stankovič
8 F. Rózga ↓46’ 206.2 S. Jatta ↓73’ 196.2 T. Horvat
776.6 M. Malone ↓59’
  • 1O. Christensen (G)5.9
  • 17E. Karić7.2
  • 24D. Lavalée6.3
  • 47E. Aiwu5.6
  • 5T. Oermann↓73’6.3
  • 21T. Chukwuani↓84’6.6
  • 4J. Gorenc Stankovič6.9
  • 8F. Rózga↓46’
  • 20S. Jatta↓73’6.2
  • 19T. Horvat6.2
  • 77M. Malone↓59’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 22J. Beck↑84’6.3
  • 25S. Hierländer↑73’6.7
  • 26B. Beganović↑73’6.2
  • 38L. Grgić↑59’6.2
  • 43J. Hödl↑46’6.9

Unused: M. Bignetti, J. Mitchell, G. Haider, N. Geyrhofer

Player stats

Top rated
O. DiaoFC Midtjylland8.2
2nd
D. CastilloFC Midtjylland7.7
3rd
M. MbabuFC Midtjylland7.5

FC Midtjylland

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Ólafsson G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 73% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
M. Bech D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 50 1 2 0/0 3/0 7.3
H. Lee D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 57 0 3 0/0 1/2 7.3
O. Diao D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 87% 53 2 0 0/0 1/2 8.2
M. Mbabu D 69 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 39 3 2 0/2 1/1 7.5
D. Castillo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 37 2 2 2/2 2/4 7.7
P. Bravo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 29 5 3 1/1 3/0 7.5
P. Billing M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 82% 38 4 1 0/0 4/0 7.0
G. Cho F 60 0 0 1 (1) 1 56% 16 0 0 1/1 0/2 7.0
F. Gluda Djú F 88 0 1 1 (1) 0 58% 12 0 0 4/6 1/2 6.9
Júnior Brumado F 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 53% 17 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.2
A. Gabriel D 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Chilufya F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.3
V. Byskov M 2 0 0 1 (1) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
D. Şimşir M 30 0 1 0 (0) 1 75% 12 0 1 1/2 0/1 6.9

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Christensen G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 65% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
E. Karić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 48 5 1 0/1 1/1 7.2
D. Lavalée D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 45 1 3 1/1 2/1 6.3
E. Aiwu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 41 0 2 0/1 4/0 5.6
T. Oermann D 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 57% 14 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Chukwuani M 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 93% 45 1 0 0/0 3/1 6.6
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 52 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
F. Rózga M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. Jatta F 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 7 1 1 0/1 1/2 6.2
T. Horvat M 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 52% 29 2 0 1/3 1/2 6.2
M. Malone F 59 0 0 2 (1) 0 63% 8 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.6
J. Beck M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Hierländer M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
B. Beganović F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
L. Grgić F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
J. Hödl M 44 0 0 2 (1) 0 83% 12 4 0 1/3 0/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.