Primeira Liga Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 30 2025 · 20:30 Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
FC Porto
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.48 – 1.11
Estoril
  • William Gomes 8’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Gomes goal decides it for FC Porto

FC Porto entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Gomes goal. FC Porto finished with the higher xG (1.48 vs 1.11). On the chances created, Estoril deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC Porto ✓71%
Draw18%
Estoril10%

Model vs reality

FC Porto goals
1
Model 2.27 · xG 1.48
Estoril goals
0
Model 0.75 · xG 1.11
Total goals
1
Model 3.02 · xG 2.59
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. KiwiorFC Porto
7.7
  • RefereeAndre Filipe Domingues Narciso
  • VenueEstádio Do Dragão
  • Table before kick-offFC Porto 2nd · Estoril 10th

Timeline

  1. William Gomes 1–0
    8’
  2. J. HolsgroveYellow card
    12’
  3. Ricard SánchezYellow card · Roughing
    38’
  4. Francisco MouraYellow card · Roughing
    42’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ Z. SanusiFor Francisco Moura
    46’
  7. Joel RoblesYellow card · Delay of game
    53’
  8. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Pedro Amaral
    56’
  9. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Ricard Sánchez
    56’
  10. ⇄ Martim FernandesFor Alberto Baio
    59’
  11. ⇄ Gabri VeigaFor Rodrigo Mora
    59’
  12. ⇄ FerroFor Jandro Orellana
    66’
  13. ⇄ L. de JongFor Samu Omorodion
    68’
  14. ⇄ A. MarquésFor André Lacximicant
    75’
  15. ⇄ S. EustaquioFor Borja Sainz
    82’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

FC Porto12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Estoril11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
FC PortoEstoril
48% Possession 52%
1.48 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
1.63 Expected points (xPts) 1.11
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 4
435 Passes 462
84% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.01 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

FC Porto 4-3-3

996.6 Diogo Costa(G)
746.7 Francisco Moura ↓46’ 47.7★ J. Kiwior 57.3 J. Bednarek 207.0 Alberto Baio ↓59’
867.2 Rodrigo Mora ↓59’ 136.9 P. Rosario 86.6 V. Froholdt
176.9 Borja Sainz ↓82’ 97.0 Samu Omorodion ↓68’ 77.5 William Gomes
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)6.6
  • 74Francisco Moura↓46’6.7
  • 4J. Kiwior ★7.7
  • 5J. Bednarek7.3
  • 20Alberto Baio↓59’7.0
  • 86Rodrigo Mora↓59’7.2
  • 13P. Rosario6.9
  • 8V. Froholdt6.6
  • 17Borja Sainz↓82’6.9
  • 9Samu Omorodion↓68’7.0
  • 7William Gomes7.5

Substitutes used

  • 12Z. Sanusi↑46’6.9
  • 52Martim Fernandes↑59’7.2
  • 10Gabri Veiga↑59’6.5
  • 6S. Eustaquio↑82’6.3
  • 26L. de Jong↑68’6.5

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, D. Prpić, Ángel Alarcón, Pepê

Estoril 4-3-3

17.0 Joel Robles(G)
246.5 Pedro Amaral ↓56’ 257.5 F. Bacher 446.9 K. Boma 26.5 Ricard Sánchez ↓56’
126.2 João Carvalho 106.3 J. Holsgrove 66.6 Jandro Orellana ↓66’
196.5 André Lacximicant ↓75’ 145.9 Y. Begraoui 997.5 R. Guitane
  • 1Joel Robles (G)7.0
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓56’6.5
  • 25F. Bacher7.5
  • 44K. Boma6.9
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓56’6.5
  • 12João Carvalho6.2
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.3
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓66’6.6
  • 19André Lacximicant↓75’6.5
  • 14Y. Begraoui5.9
  • 99R. Guitane7.5

Substitutes used

  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑56’6.9
  • 4Ferro↑66’6.7
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑56’6.9
  • 9A. Marqués↑75’6.2

Unused: M. Turk, Tiago Parente, Pizzi, Patrick de Paula, Tiago Brito

Player stats

Top rated
J. KiwiorFC Porto7.7
2nd
William GomesFC Porto7.5
3rd
F. BacherEstoril7.5

FC Porto

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Diogo Costa G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 68% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Francisco Moura D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 27 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.7
J. Kiwior D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 87 5 0 0/1 0/0 7.7
J. Bednarek D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 97% 59 1 5 0/0 0/1 7.3
Alberto Baio D 59 0 0 0 (0) 2 67% 21 4 0 0/0 4/0 7.0
Rodrigo Mora M 59 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 24 4 1 0/1 1/0 7.2
P. Rosario M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 38 4 3 0/0 0/0 6.9
V. Froholdt M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 27 2 2 0/1 0/3 6.6
Borja Sainz F 82 0 0 1 (1) 1 95% 21 1 1 0/2 3/2 6.9
Samu Omorodion F 68 0 0 2 (2) 0 80% 10 1 0 3/6 3/2 7.0
William Gomes F 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 55% 20 0 1 1/1 1/0 7.5
Z. Sanusi D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 24 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
Martim Fernandes D 31 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 16 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
Gabri Veiga M 31 0 0 1 (1) 2 92% 13 1 1 1/3 0/0 6.5
S. Eustaquio M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. de Jong F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.5

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 58% 24 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
Pedro Amaral D 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 0 1 0/0 0/3 6.5
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 52 3 2 1/1 2/1 7.5
K. Boma D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 45 2 1 0/0 1/3 6.9
Ricard Sánchez D 56 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 18 1 0 0/1 1/3 6.5
João Carvalho M 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 88% 57 2 1 0/3 0/0 6.2
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 84 1 1 0/3 1/0 6.3
Jandro Orellana M 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 31 3 1 0/1 1/1 6.6
André Lacximicant F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Y. Begraoui F 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 61% 18 0 1 0/3 2/1 5.9
R. Guitane M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 80% 51 2 0 6/7 0/1 7.5
Pedro Carvalho D 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
Ferro D 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
Gonçalo Costa D 34 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 15 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Marqués F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.