Primeira Liga Gameweek 14 Mon, Dec 15 2025 · 20:45 Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
FC Porto
3–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.86 – 0.18
Estrela
  • Samu Omorodion 17’ (P), 73’
  • Francisco Moura 63’
  • 60’ A. Marcus
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Porto beat Estrela

FC Porto entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Omorodion and Moura. Estrela replied through a Marcus goal. FC Porto finished with the higher xG (2.86 vs 0.18).

FC Porto ✓80%
Draw14%
Estrela6%

Model vs reality

FC Porto goals
3
Model 2.65 · xG 2.86
Estrela goals
1
Model 0.64 · xG 0.18
Total goals
4
Model 3.29 · xG 3.04
Score 3–1
7%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 64%
Both scored
Yes
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchSamu OmorodionFC Porto · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeMiguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
  • VenueEstádio Do Dragão
  • Table before kick-offFC Porto 1st · Estrela 14th

Timeline

  1. Samu Omorodion (pen) 1–0
    17’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. Bernardo SchappoYellow card · Roughing
    48’
  4. J. BednarekYellow card
    53’
  5. A. Marcus 1–1Assist Sidny Lopes Cabral
    60’
  6. ⇄ Jovane CabralFor Kikas
    61’
  7. ⇄ Jefferson EncadaFor I. Stoica
    61’
  8. Francisco Moura 2–1
    63’
  9. ⇄ P. RosarioFor A. Varela
    65’
  10. ⇄ William GomesFor Pepê
    65’
  11. Renan RibeiroYellow card · Roughing
    65’
  12. A. MarcusYellow card · Roughing
    65’
  13. Samu Omorodion 3–1
    73’
  14. ⇄ Martim FernandesFor Alberto Baio
    75’
  15. ⇄ Gabri VeigaFor Rodrigo Mora
    76’
  16. ⇄ J. GastaoFor Paulo Moreira
    76’
  17. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor A. Marcus
    76’
  18. ⇄ D. GülFor Samu Omorodion
    82’
  19. ⇄ Jorge MeirelesFor Sidny Lopes Cabral
    84’
  20. Jovane CabralYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  21. OtávioYellow card · Roughing
    90+2’
  22. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

FC Porto20 shots · 17 in box, 3 outside
Estrela6 shots · 2 in box, 4 outside
FC PortoEstrela
66% Possession 34%
2.86 Expected goals (xG) 0.18
2.81 Expected points (xPts) 0.11
20 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
6 Shots off target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
17 Shots inside the box 2
3 Shots outside the box 4
549 Passes 291
87% Pass accuracy 75%
4 Corners 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

FC Porto 4-3-3

996.3 Diogo Costa(G)
748.0 Francisco Moura 47.2 J. Kiwior 57.3 J. Bednarek 207.5 Alberto Baio ↓75’
867.5 Rodrigo Mora ↓76’ 226.5 A. Varela ↓65’ 87.2 V. Froholdt
176.2 Borja Sainz 98.3★ Samu Omorodion ↓82’ 117.2 Pepê ↓65’
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)6.3
  • 74Francisco Moura8.0
  • 4J. Kiwior7.2
  • 5J. Bednarek7.3
  • 20Alberto Baio↓75’7.5
  • 86Rodrigo Mora↓76’7.5
  • 22A. Varela↓65’6.5
  • 8V. Froholdt7.2
  • 17Borja Sainz6.2
  • 9Samu Omorodion ★↓82’8.3
  • 11Pepê↓65’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 13P. Rosario↑65’6.6
  • 7William Gomes↑65’6.2
  • 52Martim Fernandes↑75’6.6
  • 10Gabri Veiga↑76’6.2
  • 27D. Gül↑82’6.7

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, D. Prpić, S. Eustaquio, Ángel Alarcón

Estrela 3-4-3

407.0 Renan Ribeiro(G)
836.0 Otávio 146.5 Bernardo Schappo 307.2 Luan Patrick
106.2 I. Stoica ↓61’ 66.2 Oumar Ngom 196.2 Paulo Moreira ↓76’ 557.0 Sidny Lopes Cabral A↓84’
636.7 A. Sola 986.5 Kikas ↓61’ 997.3 A. Marcus ↓76’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)7.0
  • 83Otávio6.0
  • 14Bernardo Schappo6.5
  • 30Luan Patrick7.2
  • 10I. Stoica↓61’6.2
  • 6Oumar Ngom6.2
  • 19Paulo Moreira↓76’6.2
  • 55Sidny Lopes CabralA↓84’7.0
  • 63A. Sola6.7
  • 98Kikas↓61’6.5
  • 99A. Marcus↓76’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 17Jefferson Encada↑61’6.6
  • 11Jovane Cabral↑61’6.5
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑76’6.7
  • 89J. Gastao↑76’6.2
  • 18Jorge Meireles↑84’

Unused: David Grilo, A. Chernev, Robinho

Player stats

Top rated
Samu OmorodionFC Porto8.3
2nd
Francisco MouraFC Porto8.0
3rd
Alberto BaioFC Porto7.5

FC Porto

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Diogo Costa G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 67% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Francisco Moura D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 90% 41 0 1 1/1 1/1 8.0
J. Kiwior D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 111 0 7 0/0 1/0 7.2
J. Bednarek D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 99% 92 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
Alberto Baio D 75 0 0 0 (0) 3 81% 43 3 4 1/2 1/1 7.5
Rodrigo Mora M 76 0 0 1 (1) 2 94% 35 2 0 1/4 1/0 7.5
A. Varela M 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 46 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
V. Froholdt M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 34 4 1 1/1 0/1 7.2
Borja Sainz F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 71% 17 0 1 0/2 3/4 6.2
Samu Omorodion F 82 2 0 5 (3) 1 82% 22 1 0 2/6 0/3 8.3
Pepê F 65 0 0 1 (1) 0 68% 31 6 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
P. Rosario M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 18 1 3 0/0 0/1 6.6
William Gomes F 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 10 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.2
Martim Fernandes D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 20% 5 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Gabri Veiga M 14 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 4 2 2 0/1 0/2 6.2
D. Gül F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Renan Ribeiro G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 64% 25 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.0
Otávio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 35 2 0 0/2 2/2 6.0
Bernardo Schappo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 42 6 2 0/3 5/0 6.5
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 38 3 1 1/1 1/0 7.2
I. Stoica F 61 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 9 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.2
Oumar Ngom M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 40 2 3 0/1 0/0 6.2
Paulo Moreira M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
Sidny Lopes Cabral M 84 0 1 0 (0) 1 72% 18 3 2 0/0 1/3 7.0
A. Sola M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 25 1 5 1/2 1/1 6.7
Kikas F 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.5
A. Marcus F 76 1 0 1 (1) 1 56% 9 0 0 1/2 0/1 7.3
Jefferson Encada M 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 9 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.6
Jovane Cabral F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 2/2 2/0 6.5
Rodrigo Pinho F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Gastao F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
Jorge Meireles M 6 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 1/1 0/1 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.