Bundesliga Gameweek 30 Fri, Apr 17 2026 · 19:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.70 – 1.25
  • K. Mets 69’
  • 86’ (P) G. Waldschmidt
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

1.FC Köln snatch a late draw

1.FC Köln entered as favourites, yet FC St. Pauli led 1–0 after 69 minutes through a Mets goal. But Waldschmidt scored to rescue a draw for 1.FC Köln. FC St. Pauli finished with the higher xG (1.70 vs 1.25).

FC St. Pauli27%
Draw ✓25%
1.FC Köln47%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 1.70
1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 1.25
Total goals
2
Model 2.88 · xG 2.95
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. Schwäbe1.FC Köln
8.6
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • CoachesA. Blessin · —
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 16th · 1.FC Köln 13th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ L. MainaFor J. Thielmann
    46’
  3. ⇄ M. BülterFor R. Ache
    51’
  4. ⇄ E. SaliakasFor L. Ritzka
    65’
  5. K. Mets 1–0Assist H. Wahl
    69’
  6. ⇄ K. LundFor A. Castro-Montes
    70’
  7. A. HountondjiYellow card · Roughing
    71’
  8. Tomoya AndoYellow card · Holding
    76’
  9. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor A. Hountondji
    77’
  10. ⇄ Felipe Marlon ChávezFor S. Sebulonsen
    79’
  11. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor Í. Jóhannesson
    79’
  12. G. Waldschmidt (pen) 1–1
    86’
  13. M. Pereira LageYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    87’
  14. S. El MalaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    87’
  15. ⇄ M. KaarsFor M. Pereira Lage
    87’
  16. D. SinaniYellow card · Roughing
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

FC St. Pauli12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
1.FC Köln10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
FC St. Pauli1.FC Köln
49% Possession 51%
1.70 Expected goals (xG) 1.25
1.68 Expected points (xPts) 1.08
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
4 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 4
405 Passes 440
80% Pass accuracy 82%
8 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Fouls 2
3 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.48 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

226.2 N. Vasilj(G)
36.2 K. Mets 56.3 H. Wahl A 156.7 Tomoya Ando
216.3 L. Ritzka ↓65’ 76.9 J. Irvine 206.7 M. Rasmussen 116.3 Arkadiusz Pyrka
286.6 M. Pereira Lage ↓87’ 106.6 D. Sinani
276.6 A. Hountondji ↓77’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)6.2
  • 3K. Mets6.2
  • 5H. WahlA6.3
  • 15Tomoya Ando6.7
  • 21L. Ritzka↓65’6.3
  • 7J. Irvine6.9
  • 20M. Rasmussen6.7
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.3
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓87’6.6
  • 10D. Sinani6.6
  • 27A. Hountondji↓77’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 2E. Saliakas↑65’6.3
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑77’6.2
  • 19M. Kaars↑87’6.3

Unused: B. Voll, Louis Oppie, A. Dźwigała, D. Nemeth, T. Hara, A. Ceesay

Coach: A. Blessin

1.FC Köln 4-4-2

18.6★ M. Schwäbe(G)
176.3 A. Castro-Montes ↓70’ 397.3 C. Özkacar 226.3 J. Simpson-Pusey 286.3 S. Sebulonsen ↓79’
166.9 J. Kamiński 66.9 E. Martel 187.2 Í. Jóhannesson ↓79’ 296.7 J. Thielmann ↓46’
136.3 S. El Mala 96.2 R. Ache ↓51’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G) ★8.6
  • 17A. Castro-Montes↓70’6.3
  • 39C. Özkacar7.3
  • 22J. Simpson-Pusey6.3
  • 28S. Sebulonsen↓79’6.3
  • 16J. Kamiński6.9
  • 6E. Martel6.9
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓79’7.2
  • 29J. Thielmann↓46’6.7
  • 13S. El Mala6.3
  • 9R. Ache↓51’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 37L. Maina↑46’6.7
  • 30M. Bülter↑51’7.3
  • 32K. Lund↑70’6.6
  • 27Felipe Marlon Chávez↑79’6.7
  • 7G. Waldschmidt↑79’7.2

Unused: R. Zieler, Joel Schmied, R. van den Berg, T. Krauß

Player stats

Top rated
M. Schwäbe1.FC Köln8.6
2nd
C. Özkacar1.FC Köln7.3
3rd
M. Bülter1.FC Köln7.3

FC St. Pauli

1.FC Köln

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.