Bundesliga Gameweek 32 Sun, May 3 2026 · 14:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
FC St. Pauli
1–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 0.84 – 2.35
FSV Mainz 05
  • A. Ceesay 87’
  • 6’ P. Tietz
  • 40’ P. Mwene
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FSV Mainz 05 beat FC St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05 entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Tietz and Mwene. FC St. Pauli replied through a Ceesay goal. FSV Mainz 05 finished with the higher xG (2.35 vs 0.84).

FC St. Pauli24%
Draw25%
FSV Mainz 05 ✓51%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.08 · xG 0.84
FSV Mainz 05 goals
2
Model 1.68 · xG 2.35
Total goals
3
Model 2.76 · xG 3.19
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. MweneFSV Mainz 05 · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeTimo Gerach
  • CoachesA. Blessin · —
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 16th · FSV Mainz 05 10th

Timeline

  1. P. Tietz 0–1Assist S. Becker
    6’
  2. P. Mwene 0–2Assist S. Widmer
    40’
  3. Half time · 0–2
  4. ⇄ A. DźwigałaFor L. Ritzka
    46’
  5. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor D. Sinani
    46’
  6. ⇄ A. CeesayFor E. Smith
    65’
  7. ⇄ M. KaarsFor A. Hountondji
    65’
  8. D. BatzYellow card · Delay of game
    68’
  9. ⇄ A. SiebFor S. Becker
    72’
  10. ⇄ D. KohrFor K. Potulski
    76’
  11. ⇄ A. CaciFor S. Widmer
    77’
  12. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor N. Amiri
    84’
  13. ⇄ N. WeiperFor P. Tietz
    84’
  14. ⇄ M. RasmussenFor J. Irvine
    84’
  15. A. Ceesay 1–2Assist M. Kaars
    87’
  16. K. MetsYellow card · Roughing
    88’
  17. C. MetcalfeYellow card · Tripping
    90+1’
  18. A. CeesayYellow card · Tripping
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

FC St. Pauli10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
FSV Mainz 0517 shots · 15 in box, 2 outside
FC St. PauliFSV Mainz 05
51% Possession 49%
0.84 Expected goals (xG) 2.35
0.52 Expected points (xPts) 2.30
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
7 Shots inside the box 15
3 Shots outside the box 2
475 Passes 462
83% Pass accuracy 81%
7 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.68 Team rating 7.01

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

226.2 N. Vasilj(G)
36.6 K. Mets 56.2 H. Wahl 157.5 Tomoya Ando
217.2 L. Ritzka ↓46’ 86.5 E. Smith ↓65’ 76.9 J. Irvine ↓84’ 116.3 Arkadiusz Pyrka
167.0 J. Fujita 106.2 D. Sinani ↓46’
276.2 A. Hountondji ↓65’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)6.2
  • 3K. Mets6.6
  • 5H. Wahl6.2
  • 15Tomoya Ando7.5
  • 21L. Ritzka↓46’7.2
  • 8E. Smith↓65’6.5
  • 7J. Irvine↓84’6.9
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.3
  • 16J. Fujita7.0
  • 10D. Sinani↓46’6.2
  • 27A. Hountondji↓65’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 25A. Dźwigała↑46’7.5
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑46’6.3
  • 20M. Rasmussen↑84’6.7
  • 9A. Ceesay↑65’7.6
  • 19M. KaarsA↑65’6.9

Unused: B. Voll, D. Nemeth, Louis Oppie, T. Hara

Coach: A. Blessin

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

336.7 D. Batz(G)
486.9 K. Potulski ↓76’ 46.9 S. Posch 217.0 D. da Costa
28.3★ P. Mwene 107.2 N. Amiri ↓84’ 67.0 K. Sano 86.3 P. Nebel 307.5 S. Widmer A↓77’
207.2 P. Tietz ↓84’ 236.5 S. Becker A↓72’
  • 33D. Batz (G)6.7
  • 48K. Potulski↓76’6.9
  • 4S. Posch6.9
  • 21D. da Costa7.0
  • 2P. Mwene ★8.3
  • 10N. Amiri↓84’7.2
  • 6K. Sano7.0
  • 8P. Nebel6.3
  • 30S. WidmerA↓77’7.5
  • 20P. Tietz↓84’7.2
  • 23S. BeckerA↓72’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 31D. Kohr↑76’6.7
  • 19A. Caci↑77’6.2
  • 15L. Maloney↑84’6.2
  • 44N. Weiper↑84’6.6
  • 11A. Sieb↑72’6.3

Unused: R. Zentner, N. Veratschnig, S. Bell, Sota Kawasaki

Player stats

Top rated
P. MweneFSV Mainz 058.3
2nd
A. CeesayFC St. Pauli7.6
3rd
Tomoya AndoFC St. Pauli7.5

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Vasilj G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 80% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
K. Mets D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 78 0 2 0/1 1/1 6.6
H. Wahl D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 72 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.2
Tomoya Ando 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 56 2 0 1/1 0/3 7.5
L. Ritzka D 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 14 3 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
E. Smith M 65 0 0 0 (0) 3 74% 42 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Irvine M 84 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 32 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
Arkadiusz Pyrka M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 36 2 1 0/2 0/1 6.3
J. Fujita M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 35 3 0 2/3 1/1 7.0
D. Sinani M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 19 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
A. Hountondji F 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Dźwigała D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 0 2 0/0 1/0 7.5
C. Metcalfe M 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 15 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
M. Rasmussen M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Ceesay F 25 1 0 1 (1) 1 75% 4 0 0 1/2 1/0 7.6
M. Kaars F 25 0 1 1 (1) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 68% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Potulski D 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 40 3 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
S. Posch D 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 83% 63 2 3 0/0 0/0 6.9
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 60 2 2 0/0 0/2 7.0
P. Mwene D 90 1 0 3 (2) 0 73% 26 1 2 0/0 1/0 8.3
N. Amiri M 84 0 0 1 (1) 5 82% 39 1 2 2/2 1/1 7.2
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 55 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
P. Nebel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 41 2 0 1/4 0/1 6.3
S. Widmer D 77 0 1 0 (0) 1 93% 41 2 0 0/1 0/0 7.5
P. Tietz F 84 1 0 3 (1) 1 57% 23 0 0 0/1 1/1 7.2
S. Becker F 72 0 1 1 (1) 2 75% 12 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.5
D. Kohr M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
A. Caci D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Maloney D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. Weiper F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.6
A. Sieb M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.