Bundesliga Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 16:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.72 – 2.04
  • D. Sinani 24’
  • 65’, 78’ I. Matanović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

SC Freiburg come from behind to beat FC St. Pauli

SC Freiburg entered as narrow favourites, yet FC St. Pauli led 1–0 at half-time through a Sinani goal. But Matanović struck twice to turn it around for SC Freiburg, who won 2–1. SC Freiburg finished with the higher xG (2.04 vs 0.72).

FC St. Pauli31%
Draw28%
SC Freiburg ✓41%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 0.72
SC Freiburg goals
2
Model 1.35 · xG 2.04
Total goals
3
Model 2.49 · xG 2.76
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. MatanovićSC Freiburg · 2 goals
8.6
  • RefereeFlorian Badstubner
  • CoachesA. Blessin · —
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 16th · SC Freiburg 8th

Timeline

  1. Tomoya AndoYellow card · Tripping
    14’
  2. D. Sinani 1–0Assist Tomoya Ando
    24’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ Cyriaque IriéFor J. Beste
    46’
  5. ⇄ P. LienhartFor B. Ogbus
    46’
  6. I. Matanović 1–1
    65’
  7. ⇄ Louis OppieFor L. Ritzka
    68’
  8. ⇄ D. ScherhantFor V. Grifo
    69’
  9. VAR Cyriaque IriéGoal Disallowed - offside
    74’
  10. I. Matanović 1–2
    78’
  11. ⇄ A. HountondjiFor M. Pereira Lage
    84’
  12. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor M. Rasmussen
    84’
  13. ⇄ L. HölerFor I. Matanović
    86’
  14. ⇄ M. KaarsFor Tomoya Ando
    89’
  15. ⇄ P. OsterhageFor J. Manzambi
    89’
  16. Y. SuzukiYellow card · Foul
    90+8’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

FC St. Pauli10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
SC Freiburg15 shots · 13 in box, 2 outside
FC St. PauliSC Freiburg
49% Possession 51%
0.72 Expected goals (xG) 2.04
0.56 Expected points (xPts) 2.24
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
4 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Shots inside the box 13
5 Shots outside the box 2
421 Passes 445
80% Pass accuracy 86%
3 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 5
5 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

227.3 N. Vasilj(G)
156.7 Tomoya Ando A↓89’ 86.5 E. Smith 56.6 H. Wahl
216.9 L. Ritzka ↓68’ 76.9 J. Irvine 206.9 M. Rasmussen ↓84’ 116.3 Arkadiusz Pyrka
286.7 M. Pereira Lage ↓84’ 166.5 J. Fujita
107.3 D. Sinani
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)7.3
  • 15Tomoya AndoA↓89’6.7
  • 8E. Smith6.5
  • 5H. Wahl6.6
  • 21L. Ritzka↓68’6.9
  • 7J. Irvine6.9
  • 20M. Rasmussen↓84’6.9
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.3
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓84’6.7
  • 16J. Fujita6.5
  • 10D. Sinani7.3

Substitutes used

  • 23Louis Oppie↑68’6.7
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑84’6.7
  • 19M. Kaars↑89’
  • 27A. Hountondji↑84’6.5

Unused: B. Voll, A. Dźwigała, D. Nemeth, A. Ceesay, T. Hara

Coach: A. Blessin

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

17.7 N. Atubolu(G)
336.3 J. Makengo 436.2 B. Ogbus ↓46’ 286.7 M. Ginter 296.2 P. Treu
447.3 J. Manzambi ↓89’ 86.3 M. Eggestein
326.6 V. Grifo ↓69’ 146.9 Y. Suzuki 196.5 J. Beste ↓46’
318.6★ I. Matanović ↓86’
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)7.7
  • 33J. Makengo6.3
  • 43B. Ogbus↓46’6.2
  • 28M. Ginter6.7
  • 29P. Treu6.2
  • 44J. Manzambi↓89’7.3
  • 8M. Eggestein6.3
  • 32V. Grifo↓69’6.6
  • 14Y. Suzuki6.9
  • 19J. Beste↓46’6.5
  • 31I. Matanović ★↓86’8.6

Substitutes used

  • 3P. Lienhart↑46’7.5
  • 22Cyriaque Irié↑46’6.9
  • 6P. Osterhage↑89’
  • 7D. Scherhant↑69’6.7
  • 9L. Höler↑86’6.3

Unused: F. Müller, C. Günter, L. Kübler, N. Höfler

Player stats

Top rated
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg8.6
2nd
N. AtuboluSC Freiburg7.7
3rd
P. LienhartSC Freiburg7.5

FC St. Pauli

SC Freiburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.