SC Freiburg

3rd · Bundesliga · 13 points · Matches played: 6

1 point behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 64.3+4.5
World Rank 41st Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 6th L90 Strength
Last Bayer LeverkusenA xG 0.9–1.6 1–2 Next Bayern MünchenH 16%

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Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

SC Freiburg lean on a top-third defence, with a mid-table attack behind it. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. Y. Suzuki and J. Beste are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Bayern München.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are clinical in front of goal (16% of shots scored), and allow very few chances (9 shots a game against). Home is where they earn their points: 3.0 per game there against 1.3 away.

  • Top 4 42% · Relegation 0%Likely 5th · 56 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest vs Bayern München · , 16% to win
  • 2 key players outY. Suzuki, J. Beste · 12% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 13 pts vs 9.7 expected+3.3 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for SC Freiburg. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
BundesligaView table →
Position
3rd/ 18
Points
132.17 PPG
Played
6
League gap
1pts behind leader
66.7%Win %
Wins4
Draws1
Losses1

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
152.50 / game
xG 11.23 3.77 more goals than expected. vs 15 goals
Goals Against
61.00 / game
xGA 5.63 0.37 more conceded than expected. vs 6 conceded
Goal Difference
+9+1.50 / game
xGD +5.60 Goal difference is 3.40 higher than expected. vs +9 GD
Clean Sheets
233% of games

League standings

Bundesliga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Bundesliga table, SC Freiburg highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1▲ Bayern München 94 6420 +17 14
2– Borussia Dortmund 81 6420 +7 14
3▼ SC Freiburg 64 6411 +9 13
4– Bayer Leverkusen 79 6411 +7 13
5▲ FSV Mainz 05 55 6312 +4 10
6▲ SV Elversberg 42 6312 +1 10
7▼ RB Leipzig 68 6303 +5 9
8▼ Werder Bremen 43 6231 +0 9
9▲ Hamburger SV 40 6303 -9 9
10▼ FC Augsburg 50 6222 +4 8
11▲ Eintracht Frankfurt 48 6222 -6 8
12▼ 1.FC Köln 34 6213 -3 7
13▼ VfB Stuttgart 68 6204 -2 6
14▲ 1899 Hoffenheim 49 6204 -3 6
15▼ FC Schalke 04 46 6123 -3 5
16▼ SC Paderborn 07 38 6123 -4 5
17▼ Union Berlin 39 6123 -12 5
18– Borussia Mönchengladbach 36 6006 -12 0

18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
SC Freiburg league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
130 Aug 2026231
26 Sep 2026262
313 Sep 2026193
420 Sep 20263104
511 Oct 20261135
618 Oct 20263136

Squad 29 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
Y. Suzuki4 goals
Suspended
Most assists
M. Ginter3 assists
Best rated
I. Matanović7.43 avg rating
Most minutes
M. Backhaus540 min
Key to the model
M. BackhausStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
M. Backhaus 22 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.74 starter
J. Huth 32 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
F. Müller 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
M. Ginter 32 6 (6) 540 0 3 7.36 starter
J. Makengo 25 6 (6) 540 0 2 7.03 rotation
P. Lienhart 30 6 (6) 519 0 0 7.18 starter
P. Treu 25 6 (5) 430 0 1 6.78 starter
J. Beste injured 27 6 (6) 419 0 1 7.01 starter
L. Kübler 34 6 (1) 145 0 0 6.72 rotation
M. Rosenfelder 23 1 (0) 21 0 0 6.20 rotation
B. Yılmaz injured 21 1 (0) 8 0 0 6.70 depth
C. Günter 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
A. Jung 34 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
B. Ogbus 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Midfielders
M. Eggestein 29 6 (6) 540 3 0 7.16 starter
Y. Engelhardt 25 6 (6) 498 2 0 6.81 starter
Y. Suzuki suspended 24 5 (5) 413 4 0 7.38 starter
V. Grifo 33 5 (0) 66 0 1 6.74 rotation
P. Osterhage 26 1 (0) 13 0 0 6.13 rotation
N. Höfler 36 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Billal Mohamed — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Rouven Tarnutzer — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Yamamoto 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
I. Matanović 23 6 (6) 479 3 1 7.43 starter
D. Scherhant 23 6 (6) 474 2 2 7.19 rotation
Keisuke Goto 21 6 (1) 123 1 0 6.52 rotation
L. Höler 32 5 (0) 86 0 0 6.53 rotation
Cyriaque Irié 21 4 (0) 86 0 0 6.53 rotation
Mateo Zelic — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Bayern München: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength6th of 18
64 Elo 1734 · World #41
Current Strength
64 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack8th of 18
63 Scores 1.75 per match against an average top-five side
Defence4th of 18
73 Concedes 1.22 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed

78
Form index · 3rd of 18 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
6.5
Own forecasts
7.8 +2.2
Table3rd L90 Strength6th Form3rd

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L18 OctA · Bayer Leverkusen1–20.8 xPts
  • W11 OctH · FC Schalke 042–12.0 xPts
  • D19 SepA · Eintracht Frankfurt2–21.5 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Borussia Mönchengladbach5–02.1 xPts
  • W5 SepA · SC Paderborn 071–01.5 xPts
  • W30 AugH · Werder Bremen4–12.0 xPts

Trends last 6, all competitions

Scored 6/6
Clean sheet 2/6
Conceded 2+ 2/6
Over 2.5 5/6
Both teams scored 4/6

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

FRELeagueRank
Goals scored 2.50 1.84 5th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.84 3rd
xG 1.87 1.75 7th
xG allowed 0.94 1.75 3rd
Scored in 100% 76% 1st
Clean sheets 33% 24% 4th
FRELeagueRank
Shots 16.00 15.55 8th
Shots on target 5.33 5.77 11th
On target share 33% 35% 12th
Box share 63% 68% 14th
Conversion 16% 12% 3rd
FRELeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.17 15.55 2nd
On target allowed 3.00 5.71 2nd
Blocks 3.33 4.49 14th
Save rate 64% 66% 9th
FRELeagueRank
Possession 53% 50% 6th
Passes 465 455 8th
Pass accuracy 84% 81% 6th
FRELeagueRank
Fouls 9.50 11.43 2nd
Fouls suffered 14.17 11.44 1st
Yellow cards 1.67 1.71 9th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
FRELeagueRank
Goals scored 2.40 1.84 2nd
Goals conceded 1.40 1.74 6th
xG 1.52 1.71 11th
xG allowed 1.17 1.62 3rd
Scored in 90% 80% 2nd
Clean sheets 20% 24% 10th
FRELeagueRank
Shots 13.50 14.87 12th
Shots on target 5.00 5.55 12th
On target share 37% 36% 8th
Box share 64% 67% 12th
Conversion 18% 12% 2nd
FRELeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.00 14.13 2nd
On target allowed 4.00 5.23 2nd
Blocks 3.80 4.08 10th
Save rate 60% 66% 14th
FRELeagueRank
Possession 53% 51% 8th
Passes 445 455 10th
Pass accuracy 84% 82% 6th
FRELeagueRank
Fouls 10.80 10.89 8th
Fouls suffered 13.10 10.68 1st
Yellow cards 1.30 1.70 5th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game3-0-0 · 3.7–0.7 goals · 3 games
Away1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 1.3–1.3 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 46-60
61-75
4 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 15 5th / 18
GF/G 2.50 5th / 18
xG/G 1.87 7th / 18
G − xG +0.63 1st / 18

Defence

GA 6 3rd / 18
GA/G 1.00 3rd / 18
xGA/G 0.94 3rd / 18
xGA − GA -0.06 8th / 18

Overall

Pts 13 3rd / 18
xPts 9.7 4th / 18
PPG 2.17 3rd / 18
TR 7.06 3rd / 18
GD +9 2nd / 18
xGD +5.6 3rd / 18
W 4 1st / 18
L 1 3rd / 18

Scorelines

  • 4–1×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 5–0×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
17% 1
0% 2
33% 3
17% 4
33% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
83%81%
Over 2.5
83%74%
Over 3.5
50%56%
Both scored
67%59%
Clean sheet
33%24%
Failed to score
0%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.