Bundesliga Gameweek 34 Sat, May 16 2026 · 14:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
1–3 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.52 – 3.40
  • A. Ceesay 57’
  • 37’ K. Koulierakis
  • 64’ (OG) N. Vasilj
  • 80’ D. Pejčinović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfL Wolfsburg beat FC St. Pauli

VfL Wolfsburg entered as narrow favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Koulierakis, Pejčinović and an own goal. FC St. Pauli replied through a Ceesay goal. VfL Wolfsburg finished with the higher xG (3.40 vs 1.52).

FC St. Pauli34%
Draw27%
VfL Wolfsburg ✓39%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.31 · xG 1.52
VfL Wolfsburg goals
3
Model 1.41 · xG 3.40
Total goals
4
Model 2.72 · xG 4.92
Score 1–3
4%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. VasiljFC St. Pauli
8.3
  • RefereeDaniel Siebert
  • CoachesA. Blessin · Dieter Hecking
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 18th · VfL Wolfsburg 16th

Timeline

  1. Vinicius SouzaYellow card
    18’
  2. A. DaghimYellow card · Tripping
    33’
  3. K. Koulierakis 0–1Assist C. Eriksen
    37’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ A. CeesayFor A. Hountondji
    46’
  6. A. Ceesay 1–1Assist C. Metcalfe
    57’
  7. N. Vasilj (own goal) 1–2
    64’
  8. ⇄ Y. GerhardtFor M. Svanberg
    67’
  9. ✕ C. EriksenMissed penalty
    77’
  10. ⇄ R. JonesFor A. Dźwigała
    77’
  11. D. Pejčinović 1–3
    80’
  12. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor A. Daghim
    88’
  13. A. CeesayYellow card · Roughing
    88’
  14. ⇄ T. HaraFor J. Irvine
    90+2’
  15. ⇄ M. RasmussenFor C. Metcalfe
    90+2’
  16. K. ShiogaiYellow card · Delay of game
    90+4’
  17. J. FujitaYellow card · Roughing
    90+5’
  18. ⇄ M. AmouraFor D. Pejčinović
    90+6’
  19. ⇄ L. MajerFor C. Eriksen
    90+6’
  20. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

FC St. Pauli11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
VfL Wolfsburg18 shots · 16 in box, 2 outside
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
43% Possession 57%
1.52 Expected goals (xG) 3.40
0.54 Expected points (xPts) 2.33
11 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 10
5 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 16
4 Shots outside the box 2
322 Passes 433
71% Pass accuracy 78%
8 Corners 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2

228.3★ N. Vasilj(G)
156.9 Tomoya Ando 55.9 H. Wahl 256.7 A. Dźwigała ↓77’
236.0 Louis Oppie 166.6 J. Fujita 76.5 J. Irvine ↓90’ 116.6 Arkadiusz Pyrka
247.2 C. Metcalfe A↓90’
275.9 A. Hountondji ↓46’ 197.2 M. Kaars
  • 22N. Vasilj (G) ★8.3
  • 15Tomoya Ando6.9
  • 5H. Wahl5.9
  • 25A. Dźwigała↓77’6.7
  • 23Louis Oppie6.0
  • 16J. Fujita6.6
  • 7J. Irvine↓90’6.5
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.6
  • 24C. MetcalfeA↓90’7.2
  • 27A. Hountondji↓46’5.9
  • 19M. Kaars7.2

Substitutes used

  • 9A. Ceesay↑46’7.3
  • 20M. Rasmussen↑90’
  • 18T. Hara↑90’
  • 26R. Jones↑77’6.9

Unused: B. Voll, L. Ritzka, K. Mets, F. Stevens, D. Sinani

Coach: A. Blessin

VfL Wolfsburg 3-1-4-2

16.6 K. Grabara(G)
47.9 K. Koulierakis 37.0 D. Vavro 67.2 J. Belocian
56.2 Vinicius Souza
216.3 J. Mæhle 246.9 C. Eriksen A↓90’ 326.9 M. Svanberg ↓67’ 266.9 S. Kumbedi
176.6 D. Pejčinović ↓90’ 117.0 A. Daghim ↓88’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)6.6
  • 4K. Koulierakis7.9
  • 3D. Vavro7.0
  • 6J. Belocian7.2
  • 5Vinicius Souza6.2
  • 21J. Mæhle6.3
  • 24C. EriksenA↓90’6.9
  • 32M. Svanberg↓67’6.9
  • 26S. Kumbedi6.9
  • 17D. Pejčinović↓90’6.6
  • 11A. Daghim↓88’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Majer↑90’
  • 31Y. Gerhardt↑67’6.9
  • 7K. Shiogai↑88’
  • 9M. Amoura↑90’

Unused: P. Pervan, A. Zehnter, M. Jenz, J. Lindstrøm, K. Paredes

Coach: Dieter Hecking

Player stats

Top rated
N. VasiljFC St. Pauli8.3
2nd
K. KoulierakisVfL Wolfsburg7.9
3rd
A. CeesayFC St. Pauli7.3

FC St. Pauli

VfL Wolfsburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.