FCSB vs BSC Young Boys – 2 Oct 2025

UEFA Europa League Matchday 2 Thu, Oct 2 · 17:45 Arena Naţională, Bucureşti

FCSB 13th · 3 pts · 1 played W

0–2Full time

BSC Young Boys 36th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Absences weigh more on FCSB. FCSB had 7 days of rest, BSC Young Boys 6.9 and had to travel 1,465 km.

Away travel1,465 kmRest days7 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

FCSB40%

Draw26%

BSC Young Boys33%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.33

FCSB42%

Draw27%

BSC Young Boys31%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.23

FCSB41%

Draw27%

BSC Young Boys32%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.26

FCSB33%

Draw26%

BSC Young Boys41%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.49

FCSB41%

Draw27%

BSC Young Boys33%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.29

Over 2.5 53% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Bucureşti)

No weather data yet

Referee · SwedenMohammed Al-Hakim

Cards per match 3.3
Penalties per match 0.21
Matches 19

Team strength

FCSB

BSC Young Boys

38 L90 StrengthIn forecast 41

33 Current StrengthIn forecast 42

36 AttackIn forecast 45

33 DefenceIn forecast 36

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

FCSB

Attack—

Defense risk—

BSC Young Boys

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FCSB

BSC Young Boys

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.70

— xGVia Att/Def 0.72

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.32

— Goals minus xGContext +0.08

80% Scored inContext 60%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

9.00 ShotsContext 10.20

4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.30

50% On target shareContext 23%

— Shots in the boxContext 6.38

— Box shareContext 60%

17% ConversionContext 8%

1.00 OffsidesContext 2.29

17.50 Shots allowedContext 17.00

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.56

6.00 BlocksContext 5.89

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.78

67% Save rateContext 58%

44% PossessionIn forecast 45%

— PassesContext 369

— Accurate passesContext 299

— Pass accuracyContext 81%

— Team ratingContext 6.61

11.25 FoulsContext 15.10

11.75 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

FCSB

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km3,389 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

BSC Young Boys

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,465 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	FCSB	BSC Young Boys
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 25 Sep	6.9UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 25 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,465 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	3,389 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	21	21.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

FCSB Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

32Ș. Târnovanu(G)

28A. Pantea 17M. Popescu 30S. Ngezana 2V. Crețu

18M. Edjouma 42B. Alhassan

93M. Thiam 37O. Popescu 11D. Miculescu

7D. Alibec

+8 more reported missing outside this XI

BSC Young Boys Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1M. Keller(G)

3J. Hadjam 23L. Benito 30S. Lauper 17S. Janko

77J. Monteiro 6E. Fernandes 45R. Raveloson 39D. Males

37A. Gigović 29C. Bedia

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

FCSB Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.08 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

BSC Young Boys Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

FCSB-1.0 pp
Draw-0.4 pp
BSC Young Boys+1.4 pp

Home / Away this season

FCSB · Home No home games yet this season.

BSC Young Boys · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	FCSB	BSC Young Boys	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.00
Conceded per game	0.00	4.00
Match goals	1.00	5.00	2.81
Over 1.5	0%	100%
Over 2.5	0%	100%	53%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	0%	100%	57%
Clean sheets	100%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	FCSB	BSC Young Boys	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.00
Conceded per game	0.00	4.00
Match goals	1.00	5.00	2.81
Over 1.5	0%	100%
Over 2.5	0%	100%	53%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	0%	100%	57%
Clean sheets	100%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	FCSB	BSC Young Boys	League
Corners
Corners won	1.00	9.00
Corners conceded	7.00	4.00
Match total	8.00	13.00	9.28
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	5.00	1.00
Opponent cards	1.00	0.00
Match total	6.00	1.00	4.50
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1

	FCSB	BSC Young Boys	League
Corners
Corners won	2.50	5.11
Corners conceded	4.00	6.89
Match total	6.50	12.00	9.28
Over 8.5	0% 0/4	89% 8/9
Over 9.5	0% 0/4	89% 8/9
Over 10.5	0% 0/4	89% 8/9
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.50
Opponent cards	2.30	1.00
Match total	4.40	3.50	4.50
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Mohammed Al-Hakim Sweden · 19 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.16league 4.39

Red cards0.16league 0.11

Cards 5+21%league 56%

Fouls23.3league 26.3

Penalties0.21league 0.22

Home wins53%league 39%

FCSB

No previous matches with this referee.

BSC Young Boys

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.