Feyenoord vs Como – 14 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 Wed, Oct 14 · 17:45 Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam

Feyenoord 33rd · 0 pts · 1 played L

3–2Full time

Como 6th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Feyenoord were slight favourites.

Como were the stronger side on L90 Strength (66 vs 58). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Feyenoord. Feyenoord were without T. Watanabe and J. Bos. Feyenoord had 4 days of rest, Como 3.3 and had to travel 758 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel758 kmRest days4 · 3.3Matches / 14d1 · 1

Feyenoord44%

Draw23%

Como34%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.58

Feyenoord39%

Draw26%

Como35%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.29

Feyenoord44%

Draw23%

Como33%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.53

Feyenoord36%

Draw23%

Como42%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.77

Feyenoord44%

Draw23%

Como33%

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.50

Over 2.5 66% Both score 66% Likeliest score 1–1

Pre-match forecast. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Rotterdam)

17°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 10 km/h
Humidity 67%

Referee · LithuaniaDonatas Rumsas

Cards per match 4.2
Penalties per match 0.16
Matches 31

Team strength

Feyenoord

Como

58 L90 StrengthIn forecast 66

59 Current StrengthIn forecast 65

76 AttackIn forecast 72

61 DefenceIn forecast 67

86 Form indexContext 72

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Feyenoord

Attack−30%

Defense risk+52%

Como

Attack−13%

Defense risk+29%

Both teams face a less favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.

Playing style

Feyenoord

Como

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80

2.80 xGVia Att/Def 1.96

0.94 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.25

+0.20 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

100% Scored inContext 80%

50% Clean sheetsContext 30%

19.60 ShotsContext 19.70

7.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.30

37% On target shareContext 32%

13.40 Shots in the boxContext 13.00

68% Box shareContext 67%

15% ConversionContext 10%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.86

10.90 Shots allowedContext 11.60

3.56 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.80

2.78 BlocksContext 2.33

2.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.22

66% Save rateContext 74%

52% PossessionIn forecast 63%

470 PassesContext 558

406 Accurate passesContext 498

86% Pass accuracyContext 89%

7.11 Team ratingContext 7.04

9.60 FoulsContext 9.10

11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 10.90

0.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Feyenoord WLWWW

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 86 · 12 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · +4.2 vs expected

W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts
L9 SepA · Barcelona1–50.3 xPts
W5 SepA · NEC Nijmegen3–11.4 xPts

Como WWWLD

Rest3.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel758 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load14%Low

Form 72 · 10 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · +0.6 vs expected

D11 OctH · AS Roma0–01.4 xPts
L20 SepA · Frosinone0–22.1 xPts
W14 SepH · Parma2–12.4 xPts
W10 SepH · RB Leipzig4–11.7 xPts
W4 SepA · Genoa4–11.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Feyenoord	Como
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 14
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4Eredivisie 2026-2027, 10 Oct	3.3Serie A 2026-2027, 11 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	758 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	3.1	3.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Feyenoord Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1T. Ernst(G)

16Javi López 35Mika Màrmol 6J. St. Juste 26G. Read

28O. Targhalline 34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël

10L. Valente 19Nacho Ferri 23A. Hadj Moussa

+9 more reported missing outside this XI

Como Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

97Robert Sánchez(G)

3Álex Valle 99T. Chalobah 4Jacobo Ramón 28I. Smolčić

5M. Perrone 6Luis Milla

16Kaiki 20M. Baturina 11Assane Diao

10N. Paz

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Feyenoord Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.06 goals

Attack line −4.9% · Defence line −22.8% of weighted minutes

DEF T. Watanabe Starter 7.00 Def −11.5%
DEF J. Bos Starter 7.03 Def −7.1%
MID J. Moder Rotation 6.84 Att −2.0% Def −1.4%
DEF G. Smal Rotation 6.79 Def −2.0%
ATT Gonçalo Borges Rotation 6.85 Att −2.2%
DEF B. Nieuwkoop Rotation 6.61 Def −0.7%

+2 more with impact, 1 without recent minutes (no impact): T. Beelen

Como Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.01 goals

Attack line −10.9% · Defence line −1.5% of weighted minutes

MID M. Caqueret Rotation 6.74 Att −3.3% Def −1.5%
ATT M. Kean Rotation 6.68 Att −5.4%
ATT J. Addai Rotation 6.91 Att −2.3%

4 without recent minutes (no impact): E. Goldaniga, W. Kambwala, A. Lahdo, M. Vigorito

Total impact vs full squads

Feyenoord-0.9 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Como+1.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Feyenoord · Home No home games yet this season.

Como · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Feyenoord	Como	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	4.00
Conceded per game	5.00	1.00
Match goals	6.00	5.00	3.38
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	66%
Over 3.5	100%	100%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	66%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Feyenoord	Como	Forecast
Scored per game	3.00	1.90
Conceded per game	1.20	0.80
Match goals	4.20	2.70	3.38
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	50%	66%
Over 3.5	70%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	66%
Clean sheets	50%	30%
Failed to score	0%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Feyenoord	Como	League
Corners
Corners won	1.00	1.00
Corners conceded	4.00	5.00
Match total	5.00	6.00	9.31
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	1.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.00	3.00
Match total	2.00	5.00	3.88
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1

	Feyenoord	Como	League
Corners
Corners won	6.10	7.30
Corners conceded	3.70	3.50
Match total	9.80	10.80	9.31
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	0.80	1.40
Opponent cards	1.30	2.50
Match total	2.10	3.90	3.88
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	0% 0/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Donatas Rumsas Lithuania · 31 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.97league 3.67

Red cards0.19league 0.19

Cards 5+39%league 37%

Fouls24.3league 22.7

Penalties0.16league 0.22

Home wins42%league 59%

Feyenoord1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 1 Reds1

L6 Nov 24H · Red Bull Salzburg1–32

Como

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.