Eredivisie Gameweek 17 Sun, Dec 20 · 13:30 Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Feyenoord 1st · 23 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Twente 5th · 17 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel168 kmRest days7 · 6.9Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Feyenoord—%
Draw—%
Twente—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Rotterdam)

Forecast from 5 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Feyenoord and Twente. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

FeyenoordTwente
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
59 Current StrengthIn forecast 45
76 AttackIn forecast 41
61 DefenceIn forecast 49
92 Form indexContext 58
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Feyenoord

Attack—
Defense risk—

Twente

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FeyenoordTwente
3.44 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.89
1.11 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.11
2.90 xGVia Att/Def 1.63
1.05 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.74
+0.54 Goals minus xGContext +0.26
100% Scored inContext 89%
44% Clean sheetsContext 22%
21.33 ShotsContext 20.56
8.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00
39% On target shareContext 34%
15.00 Shots in the boxContext 13.44
70% Box shareContext 65%
16% ConversionContext 9%
1.83 OffsidesContext 1.57
11.11 Shots allowedContext 11.11
3.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.89
3.25 BlocksContext 4.57
2.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.67
71% Save rateContext 69%
54% PossessionIn forecast 58%
490 PassesContext 535
428 Accurate passesContext 462
87% Pass accuracyContext 86%
7.22 Team ratingContext 6.97
8.78 FoulsContext 11.33
12.22 Fouls sufferedContext 8.44
1.22 Yellow cardsContext 0.78
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
3.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90
1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
2.42 xGVia Att/Def 1.63
1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.74
+0.98 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
100% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
18.70 ShotsContext 20.56
7.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00
40% On target shareContext 34%
12.80 Shots in the boxContext 13.44
68% Box shareContext 65%
18% ConversionContext 9%
2.71 OffsidesContext 1.57
12.50 Shots allowedContext 11.11
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.89
3.67 BlocksContext 4.57
2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.67
62% Save rateContext 69%
50% PossessionIn forecast 58%
473 PassesContext 535
410 Accurate passesContext 462
87% Pass accuracyContext 86%
7.06 Team ratingContext 6.97
10.20 FoulsContext 11.33
12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 8.44
1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Feyenoord
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,979 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
  • W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
  • W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
  • W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts
Twente
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel168 km100 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 58 · 10 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +0.4 vs expected
  • L18 OctH · Utrecht1–22.1 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Fortuna Sittard1–11.9 xPts
  • W20 SepH · PSV Eindhoven3–21.0 xPts
  • W12 SepH · ADO Den Haag2–02.4 xPts
  • W9 SepH · Telstar1–02.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Feyenoord Twente
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 13 Dec6.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 13 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km168 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,979 km100 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 51 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one2119.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct
1T. Ernst(G)
35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read
34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël
27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa
19Nacho Ferri
Twente Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Utrecht (H) 1–2, 18 Oct
16J. Drommel(G)
29A. Adelgaard 4Ruud Nijstad 3R. Pröpper 28B. van Rooij
8D. Weidmann 6R. Zerrouki
27S. Ørjasæter 14K. Hlynsson 11D. Rots
9W. Weghorst

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Feyenoord Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Twente Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Feyenoord · Home 2.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-2-0
Scored
2.75
Conceded
1.00
Twente · Away 1.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-2-1
Scored
1.75
Conceded
1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentFeyenoordTwente
Telstar W 4–3 A W 1–0 H
Utrecht W 5–0 H L 1–2 H
PEC Zwolle W 7–0 A W 3–1 H
ADO Den Haag D 2–2 H W 2–0 H
Cambuur W 5–2 A W 4–1 A
Points13 of 15 · 2.60 per game12 of 15 · 2.40 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Feyenoord wins2 draws2 Twente wins
Goals per game1.67 – 1.33 Over 2.550% Both scored67% Clean sheets17% · 33%
  • 1 Mar 2026Twente2–0Feyenoord
  • 21 Dec 2025Feyenoord1–1Twente
  • 16 Mar 2025Twente2–6Feyenoord
  • 6 Oct 2024Feyenoord2–1Twente
  • 28 Jan 2024Feyenoord0–0Twente
  • 29 Oct 2023Twente2–1Feyenoord

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

FeyenoordTwenteForecast
Scored per game 3.441.89
Conceded per game 1.111.11
Match goals 4.563.00
Over 1.5 89%78%
Over 2.5 78%56%
Over 3.5 78%44%
Both teams scored 56%67%
Clean sheets 44%22%
Failed to score 0%11%
Games99
FeyenoordTwenteForecast
Scored per game 3.401.90
Conceded per game 1.701.20
Match goals 5.103.10
Over 1.5 100%80%
Over 2.5 90%60%
Over 3.5 90%50%
Both teams scored 70%70%
Clean sheets 30%20%
Failed to score 0%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

FeyenoordTwenteLeague
Corners
Corners won6.227.22
Corners conceded4.113.89
Match total10.3311.1110.39
Over 8.567% 6/9100% 9/9
Over 9.567% 6/978% 7/9
Over 10.567% 6/967% 6/9
Cards
Cards1.220.78
Opponent cards1.441.56
Match total2.662.342.77
Over 3.544% 4/922% 2/9
Over 4.511% 1/90% 0/9
FeyenoordTwenteLeague
Corners
Corners won5.207.22
Corners conceded3.703.89
Match total8.9011.1110.39
Over 8.550% 5/10100% 9/9
Over 9.550% 5/1078% 7/9
Over 10.550% 5/1067% 6/9
Cards
Cards1.301.00
Opponent cards1.401.60
Match total2.702.602.77
Over 3.540% 4/1030% 3/10
Over 4.520% 2/1010% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Feyenoord9 games · scored 31 · conceded 10
4 1 0-15
5 1 16-30
8 1 31-45
5 2 46-60
7 3 61-75
2 2 76-90
Twente9 games · scored 17 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
3 5 16-30
3 31-45
2 2 46-60
4 1 61-75
3 1 76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 34 · conceded 17
4 2 0-15
6 3 16-30
7 1 31-45
6 3 46-60
7 3 61-75
4 5 76-90
Twente10 games · scored 19 · conceded 12
2 1 0-15
3 6 16-30
3 31-45
2 3 46-60
4 1 61-75
5 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Telstar Willem II Dec 1819:00 Excelsior AZ Alkmaar Dec 1915:30 Fortuna Sittard Sparta Rotterdam Dec 1917:45 Utrecht Heerenveen Dec 1920:00 NEC Nijmegen ADO Den Haag Dec 2011:15 Feyenoord Twente Dec 2013:30 Cambuur Groningen Dec 2013:30 GO Ahead Eagles Ajax Dec 2015:45 PSV Eindhoven PEC Zwolle Dec 2019:00