Serie A Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 11 2026 · 14:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.44 – 1.80
  • P. Comuzzo 66’
  • P. Vanoli 45+2’
  • 90’ C. Nkunku
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan snatch a late draw

AC Milan entered as narrow favourites, yet Fiorentina led 1–0 after 66 minutes through a Comuzzo goal. But Nkunku scored to rescue a draw for AC Milan. Fiorentina played with ten men from the 45th minute after Vanoli was sent off. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (1.80 vs 1.44).

Fiorentina27%
Draw ✓27%
AC Milan46%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
1
Model 1.07 · xG 1.44
AC Milan goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 1.80
Total goals
2
Model 2.54 · xG 3.24
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDodôFiorentina
7.9
  • RefereeDavide Massa
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 18th · AC Milan 2nd

Timeline

  1. M. KeanYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    31’
  2. P. VanoliYellow card
    45+2’
  3. P. VanoliSecond yellow
    45+2’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. P. EstupiñánYellow card · Holding
    53’
  6. ⇄ D. BartesaghiFor P. Estupiñán
    60’
  7. ⇄ Rafael LeãoFor N. Füllkrug
    60’
  8. ⇄ A. RabiotFor A. Jashari
    60’
  9. ⇄ Y. FofanaFor R. Loftus-Cheek
    63’
  10. ⇄ M. BrescianiniFor R. Mandragora
    65’
  11. P. Comuzzo 1–0Assist A. Guðmundsson
    66’
  12. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor S. Pavlović
    74’
  13. N. FagioliYellow card · Tripping
    80’
  14. ⇄ M. SolomonFor A. Guðmundsson
    82’
  15. ⇄ N. FortiniFor F. Parisi
    83’
  16. ⇄ L. RanieriFor R. Gosens
    83’
  17. A. RabiotYellow card · Holding
    84’
  18. C. Nkunku 1–1Assist Y. Fofana
    90’
  19. ⇄ S. SohmFor C. Ndour
    90+1’
  20. Y. FofanaYellow card · Roughing
    90+4’
  21. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Fiorentina20 shots · 16 in box, 4 outside
AC Milan13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
FiorentinaAC Milan
52% Possession 48%
1.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.80
1.16 Expected points (xPts) 1.61
20 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 7
7 Blocked shots 3
16 Shots inside the box 9
4 Shots outside the box 4
430 Passes 402
90% Pass accuracy 86%
7 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
6.98 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Fiorentina 4-3-3

436.5 David de Gea(G)
217.0 R. Gosens ↓83’ 56.6 M. Pongračić 157.3 P. Comuzzo 27.9★ Dodô
276.7 C. Ndour ↓90’ 447.0 N. Fagioli 86.7 R. Mandragora ↓65’
107.5 A. Guðmundsson A↓82’ 206.6 M. Kean 657.2 F. Parisi ↓83’
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.5
  • 21R. Gosens↓83’7.0
  • 5M. Pongračić6.6
  • 15P. Comuzzo7.3
  • 2Dodô ★7.9
  • 27C. Ndour↓90’6.7
  • 44N. Fagioli7.0
  • 8R. Mandragora↓65’6.7
  • 10A. GuðmundssonA↓82’7.5
  • 20M. Kean6.6
  • 65F. Parisi↓83’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 4M. Brescianini↑65’6.5
  • 6L. Ranieri↑83’6.3
  • 29N. Fortini↑83’6.3
  • 19M. Solomon↑82’6.7
  • 7S. Sohm↑90’

Unused: O. Christensen, L. Lezzerini, E. Košpo, E. Kouadio, H. Nicolussi, R. Piccoli, J. Fazzini

AC Milan 3-5-2

167.9 M. Maignan(G)
316.3 S. Pavlović ↓74’ 466.9 M. Gabbia 56.7 K. De Winter
26.2 P. Estupiñán ↓60’ 306.7 A. Jashari ↓60’ 46.9 S. Ricci 86.2 R. Loftus-Cheek ↓63’ 567.9 A. Saelemaekers
117.3 C. Pulišić 96.5 N. Füllkrug ↓60’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)7.9
  • 31S. Pavlović↓74’6.3
  • 46M. Gabbia6.9
  • 5K. De Winter6.7
  • 2P. Estupiñán↓60’6.2
  • 30A. Jashari↓60’6.7
  • 4S. Ricci6.9
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↓63’6.2
  • 56A. Saelemaekers7.9
  • 11C. Pulišić7.3
  • 9N. Füllkrug↓60’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 33D. Bartesaghi↑60’6.7
  • 12A. Rabiot↑60’6.3
  • 10Rafael Leão↑60’6.7
  • 19Y. FofanaA↑63’6.7
  • 18C. Nkunku↑74’7.7

Unused: L. Torriani, M. Duțu, D. Odogu, Z. Athekame, L. Modrić

Player stats

Top rated
DodôFiorentina7.9
2nd
M. MaignanAC Milan7.9
3rd
A. SaelemaekersAC Milan7.9

Fiorentina

AC Milan

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.