Serie A Gameweek 10 Sun, Nov 2 2025 · 14:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.43 – 1.16
  • 23’ M. Berisha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Berisha goal decides it for Lecce

Fiorentina entered as clear favourites, but Lecce won 1–0 through a Berisha goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.43 and 1.16. On the chances created, Fiorentina deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fiorentina63%
Draw23%
Lecce ✓15%

Model vs reality

Fiorentina goals
0
Model 1.87 · xG 1.43
Lecce goals
1
Model 0.79 · xG 1.16
Total goals
1
Model 2.65 · xG 2.59
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
No
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. BerishaLecce · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeAntonio Rapuano
  • VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
  • Table before kick-offFiorentina 19th · Lecce 16th

Timeline

  1. H. NicolussiYellow card · Roughing
    14’
  2. N. FagioliYellow card · Holding
    15’
  3. M. Berisha 0–1
    23’
  4. Danilo VeigaYellow card · Foul
    41’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ S. SohmFor C. Ndour
    46’
  7. ⇄ A. GuðmundssonFor N. Fagioli
    46’
  8. ⇄ R. MandragoraFor H. Nicolussi
    46’
  9. ⇄ R. PiccoliFor E. Džeko
    59’
  10. M. KeanYellow card · Roughing
    66’
  11. ⇄ S. PierottiFor L. Banda
    73’
  12. ⇄ Y. MalehFor M. Berisha
    76’
  13. ⇄ J. FazziniFor P. Comuzzo
    77’
  14. L. RanieriYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    87’
  15. ⇄ F. CamardaFor N. Štulić
    89’
  16. ⇄ M. KabaFor Tete Morente
    89’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Fiorentina15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
Lecce11 shots · 5 in box, 6 outside
FiorentinaLecce
63% Possession 37%
1.43 Expected goals (xG) 1.16
1.56 Expected points (xPts) 1.18
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 6
460 Passes 273
84% Pass accuracy 68%
4 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Fouls 21
3 Offsides 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

Fiorentina 3-5-2

436.3 David de Gea(G)
67.3 L. Ranieri 156.9 P. Comuzzo ↓77’ 57.3 M. Pongračić
297.0 N. Fortini 446.7 N. Fagioli ↓46’ 146.6 H. Nicolussi ↓46’ 275.3 C. Ndour ↓46’ 27.7 Dodô
96.7 E. Džeko ↓59’ 206.6 M. Kean
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.3
  • 6L. Ranieri7.3
  • 15P. Comuzzo↓77’6.9
  • 5M. Pongračić7.3
  • 29N. Fortini7.0
  • 44N. Fagioli↓46’6.7
  • 14H. Nicolussi↓46’6.6
  • 27C. Ndour↓46’5.3
  • 2Dodô7.7
  • 9E. Džeko↓59’6.7
  • 20M. Kean6.6

Substitutes used

  • 7S. Sohm↑46’6.9
  • 8R. Mandragora↑46’7.2
  • 10A. Guðmundsson↑46’6.2
  • 22J. Fazzini↑77’6.5
  • 91R. Piccoli↑59’6.2

Unused: T. Martinelli, L. Lezzerini, E. Košpo, E. Kouadio, F. Parisi, Pablo Marí, M. Richardson

Lecce 4-2-3-1

307.7 W. Falcone(G)
257.2 A. Gallo 447.5 Tiago Gabriel 47.0 E. Gaspar 176.9 Danilo Veiga
296.9 L. Coulibaly 207.3 Y. Ramadani
196.3 L. Banda ↓73’ 107.9★ M. Berisha ↓76’ 76.7 Tete Morente ↓89’
96.7 N. Štulić ↓89’
  • 30W. Falcone (G)7.7
  • 25A. Gallo7.2
  • 44Tiago Gabriel7.5
  • 4E. Gaspar7.0
  • 17Danilo Veiga6.9
  • 29L. Coulibaly6.9
  • 20Y. Ramadani7.3
  • 19L. Banda↓73’6.3
  • 10M. Berisha ★↓76’7.9
  • 7Tete Morente↓89’6.7
  • 9N. Štulić↓89’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 77M. Kaba↑89’
  • 93Y. Maleh↑76’6.2
  • 22F. Camarda↑89’
  • 50S. Pierotti↑73’6.7

Unused: C. Früchtl, J. Samooja, C. Ndaba, Owen Kouassi, J. Siebert, Álex Sala, Þ. Helgason, R. Sottil, K. N’Dri

Player stats

Top rated
M. BerishaLecce7.9
2nd
DodôFiorentina7.7
3rd
W. FalconeLecce7.7

Fiorentina

Lecce

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.