Lecce

12th · Serie A · 9 points · Matches played: 7

10 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 28.0+4.8
World Rank 243rd Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 17th L90 Strength
Last UdineseA xG 3.3–0.3 3–0 Next JuventusH 26%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.
Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Lecce rely on a mid-table attack, but their defence is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. I. Ilić is out, and The toughest of the next 4 matches is the trip to Torino.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 40% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. They play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 14%Likely 14th · 42 projected points
  • Next 4: about 5 of 12 points Toughest at Torino · , 25% to win
  • 1 key player outI. Ilić · 10% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 7.4 expected+1.6 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Lecce. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Serie AView table →
Position
12th/ 20
Points
91.29 PPG
Played
7
League gap
10pts behind leader
42.9%Win %
Wins3
Draws0
Losses4

Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
91.29 / game
xG 8.99 0.01 more goals than expected. vs 9 goals
Goals Against
121.71 / game
xGA 11.85 0.85 fewer conceded than expected. vs 11 conceded
Goal Difference
-3-0.43 / game
xGD -2.86 Goal difference is 0.86 higher than expected. vs -2 GD
Clean Sheets
229% of games

League standings

Serie A · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Serie A table, Lecce highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Inter 84 7610 +12 19
2– Lazio 62 7610 +10 19
3– AS Roma 74 7520 +13 17
4▲ AC Milan 66 7430 +7 15
5▲ Como 67 7421 +5 14
6▲ Frosinone 30 7412 +4 13
7▼ Cagliari 33 7412 -1 13
8▼ Juventus 67 7322 +1 11
9▼ Napoli 63 7313 +3 10
10▲ Torino 39 7313 +1 10
11▼ Atalanta 59 7304 -1 9
12▲ Lecce 28 7304 -3 9
13▼ Sassuolo 33 7223 -2 8
14▲ Monza 18 7214 -2 7
15▼ Bologna 47 7124 -4 5
16▼ Udinese 32 7115 -7 4
17– Genoa 29 7115 -8 4
18▲ Fiorentina 39 7115 -9 4
19▼ Parma 28 7115 -9 4
20– Venezia 15 7106 -10 3

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Lecce league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
124 Aug 2026331
231 Aug 20261332
37 Sep 20261433
414 Sep 20261264
520 Sep 20261265
612 Oct 20261366
719 Oct 20261297

Squad 31 players · this season, all competitions · 1 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
L. Coulibaly2 goals
Most assists
Danilo Veiga2 assists
Best rated
W. Falcone7.39 avg rating
Most minutes
W. Falcone630 min
Key to the model
W. FalconeStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
W. Falcone 31 7 (7) 630 0 0 7.39 starter
C. Lupo — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
P. Penev 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
Danilo Veiga 24 7 (7) 630 0 2 6.83 starter
A. Gallo 26 6 (6) 496 0 1 6.72 starter
J. Siebert 24 7 (5) 482 1 0 6.80 starter
E. Gaspar 29 5 (5) 426 1 0 6.89 rotation
Tiago Gabriel 21 6 (5) 422 2 1 7.14 starter
C. Ndaba 26 2 (1) 134 0 0 6.60 rotation
G. Jean 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
E. Larsen — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Ubani — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
L. Coulibaly 30 7 (7) 581 2 1 7.03 starter
Y. Maleh 28 7 (4) 413 0 0 6.42 rotation
Oumar Ngom 22 7 (4) 395 0 0 6.63 rotation
I. Ilić 25 5 (4) 256 0 2 6.68 starter
Olaf Gorter 21 2 (2) 107 1 0 6.75 depth
M. Kaba 24 3 (0) 74 0 0 6.58 rotation
O. Gandelman 26 2 (0) 11 0 0 6.17 rotation
M. Berisha 22 1 (0) 8 0 0 6.31 rotation
S. Fofana 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Niko Kovač 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
L. Banda 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
S. Pierotti 25 7 (5) 453 0 0 6.41 starter
K. N’Dri 25 7 (3) 306 1 0 6.73 rotation
N. Štulić injured 25 5 (3) 262 0 0 6.43 rotation
A. Fatah 22 6 (2) 247 1 0 6.82 rotation
J. Monteiro 27 5 (3) 229 0 0 6.57 starter
W. Geubbels 25 4 (3) 226 0 0 6.08 rotation
Paco Esteban — 4 (1) 142 0 0 6.41 rotation
Hjalte Laerke — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Juventus: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Serie A · 20 clubs

L90 Strength17th of 20
28 Elo 1504 · World #243
Current Strength
28 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack13th of 20
36 Scores 1.35 per match against an average top-five side
Defence16th of 20
30 Concedes 1.87 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Inter: attack 91, defence 73, L90 Strength 84 Lazio: attack 53, defence 63, L90 Strength 62 AS Roma: attack 72, defence 75, L90 Strength 74 AC Milan: attack 72, defence 69, L90 Strength 66 Como: attack 72, defence 67, L90 Strength 67 Frosinone: attack 41, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Cagliari: attack 31, defence 31, L90 Strength 33 Juventus: attack 57, defence 76, L90 Strength 67 Napoli: attack 61, defence 70, L90 Strength 63 Torino: attack 39, defence 47, L90 Strength 39 Atalanta: attack 48, defence 45, L90 Strength 59 Lecce: attack 36, defence 30, L90 Strength 28 Sassuolo: attack 41, defence 32, L90 Strength 33 Monza: attack 34, defence 26, L90 Strength 18 Bologna: attack 35, defence 48, L90 Strength 47 Udinese: attack 22, defence 18, L90 Strength 32 Genoa: attack 23, defence 44, L90 Strength 29 Fiorentina: attack 42, defence 34, L90 Strength 39 Parma: attack 20, defence 33, L90 Strength 28 Venezia: attack 21, defence 14, L90 Strength 15
Every Serie A club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

35
Form index · 12th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
7.7
Own forecasts
5.3 +0.7
Table12th L90 Strength17th Form12th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctA · Udinese3–00.9 xPts
  • L11 OctH · Bologna1–21.1 xPts
  • L20 SepA · AC Milan0–30.5 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Monza3–21.7 xPts
  • L7 SepA · Cagliari0–11.1 xPts
  • L31 AugH · AS Roma0–40.7 xPts
  • W23 AugA · Venezia2–01.4 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 4/7
Clean sheet 2/7
Conceded 2+ 4/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Both teams scored 2/7

Playing style vs Serie A average

LECLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.29 1.47 11th
Goals conceded 1.71 1.48 14th
xG 1.50 1.47 9th
xG allowed 1.98 1.48 17th
Scored in 57% 78% 16th
Clean sheets 29% 21% 6th
LECLeagueRank
Shots 11.14 14.36 16th
Shots on target 4.71 4.90 10th
On target share 42% 34% 2nd
Box share 64% 64% 11th
Conversion 12% 10% 7th
LECLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.86 14.48 10th
On target allowed 6.43 4.92 17th
Blocks 2.83 3.76 14th
Save rate 69% 70% 11th
LECLeagueRank
Possession 40% 50% 20th
Passes 346 459 19th
Pass accuracy 78% 85% 19th
LECLeagueRank
Fouls 12.86 10.66 19th
Fouls suffered 9.14 10.73 15th
Yellow cards 1.86 1.64 12th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
LECLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.30 1.45 11th
Goals conceded 1.50 1.50 8th
xG 1.32 1.45 11th
xG allowed 1.81 1.46 15th
Scored in 60% 75% 15th
Clean sheets 30% 21% 5th
LECLeagueRank
Shots 10.40 13.78 18th
Shots on target 4.50 4.77 14th
On target share 43% 34% 1st
Box share 68% 64% 6th
Conversion 13% 10% 6th
LECLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.80 14.16 9th
On target allowed 5.50 4.83 15th
Blocks 2.67 3.64 17th
Save rate 69% 70% 9th
LECLeagueRank
Possession 37% 50% 20th
Passes 312 453 20th
Pass accuracy 77% 85% 19th
LECLeagueRank
Fouls 12.10 10.85 16th
Fouls suffered 9.50 10.97 15th
Yellow cards 2.00 1.63 17th
Red cards 0.00 0.04 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.00pts per game1-0-2 · 1.3–2.7 goals · 3 games
Away1.50pts per game2-0-2 · 1.2–1.0 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

3 2 0-15
1 5 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
1 4 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 9 12th / 20
GF/G 1.29 12th / 20
xG/G 1.50 9th / 20
G − xG -0.21 16th / 20

Defence

GA 12 13th / 20
GA/G 1.71 13th / 20
xGA/G 1.98 17th / 20
xGA − GA +0.27 7th / 20

Overall

Pts 9 11th / 20
xPts 7.4 18th / 20
PPG 1.29 11th / 20
TR 6.78 11th / 20
GD -3 14th / 20
xGD -3.4 14th / 20
W 3 8th / 20
L 4 12th / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–0×1
  • 0–4×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 0–3×1
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
14% 1
14% 2
43% 3
14% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
86%84%
Over 2.5
71%60%
Over 3.5
29%30%
Both scored
29%57%
Clean sheet
29%22%
Failed to score
43%22%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.