Bundesliga Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 24 2025 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.89 – 1.17
1.FC Köln
  • P. Nebel 60’
  • 90’ M. Bülter
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bülter’s late goal settles it for 1.FC Köln

FSV Mainz 05 entered as favourites, but 1.FC Köln won 1–0 through a Bülter goal. FSV Mainz 05 played with ten men from the 60th minute after Nebel was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 0.89 and 1.17. On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FSV Mainz 0559%
Draw22%
1.FC Köln ✓19%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
0
Model 2.02 · xG 0.89
1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.05 · xG 1.17
Total goals
1
Model 3.07 · xG 2.06
Score 0–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. Bülter1.FC Köln · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • VenueMEWA ARENA

Timeline

  1. ⇄ N. WeiperFor B. Hollerbach
    15’
  2. K. LundYellow card · Holding
    27’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. P. NebelRed card · Holding
    60’
  5. B. HenriksenYellow card
    62’
  6. ⇄ S. BellFor A. Hanche-Olsen
    65’
  7. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor N. Amiri
    65’
  8. ⇄ S. WidmerFor A. Caci
    65’
  9. ⇄ S. El MalaFor T. Krauß
    67’
  10. ⇄ R. AcheFor K. Lund
    67’
  11. ⇄ C. ÖzkacarFor J. Thielmann
    67’
  12. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor S. Sebulonsen
    74’
  13. ⇄ F. KainzFor Í. Jóhannesson
    80’
  14. Joel SchmiedYellow card · Roughing
    81’
  15. M. Bülter 0–1Assist G. Waldschmidt
    90’
  16. ⇄ A. SiebFor D. Kohr
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0517 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
1.FC Köln12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
FSV Mainz 051.FC Köln
50% Possession 50%
0.89 Expected goals (xG) 1.17
1.13 Expected points (xPts) 1.57
17 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 8
12 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 4
372 Passes 393
78% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-4-2-1

277.2 R. Zentner(G)
317.3 D. Kohr ↓90’ 256.9 A. Hanche-Olsen ↓65’ 217.0 D. da Costa
27.0 P. Mwene 106.9 N. Amiri ↓65’ 67.3 K. Sano 196.9 A. Caci ↓65’
76.7 J. Lee 85.9 P. Nebel
176.3 B. Hollerbach ↓15’
  • 27R. Zentner (G)7.2
  • 31D. Kohr↓90’7.3
  • 25A. Hanche-Olsen↓65’6.9
  • 21D. da Costa7.0
  • 2P. Mwene7.0
  • 10N. Amiri↓65’6.9
  • 6K. Sano7.3
  • 19A. Caci↓65’6.9
  • 7J. Lee6.7
  • 8P. Nebel5.9
  • 17B. Hollerbach↓15’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 44N. Weiper↑15’6.5
  • 16S. Bell↑65’6.7
  • 15L. Maloney↑65’6.5
  • 30S. Widmer↑65’6.5
  • 11A. Sieb↑90’

Unused: L. Rieß, M. Leitsch, A. Nordin, B. Bobzien

1.FC Köln 3-4-2-1

17.5 M. Schwäbe(G)
57.2 T. Krauß ↓67’ 47.2 T. Hübers 26.2 Joel Schmied
326.3 K. Lund ↓67’ 66.9 E. Martel 186.7 Í. Jóhannesson ↓80’ 286.6 S. Sebulonsen ↓74’
167.2 J. Kamiński 296.2 J. Thielmann ↓67’
307.7★ M. Bülter
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)7.5
  • 5T. Krauß↓67’7.2
  • 4T. Hübers7.2
  • 2Joel Schmied6.2
  • 32K. Lund↓67’6.3
  • 6E. Martel6.9
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓80’6.7
  • 28S. Sebulonsen↓74’6.6
  • 16J. Kamiński7.2
  • 29J. Thielmann↓67’6.2
  • 30M. Bülter ★7.7

Substitutes used

  • 39C. Özkacar↑67’7.2
  • 13S. El Mala↑67’6.3
  • 9R. Ache↑67’6.3
  • 7G. WaldschmidtA↑74’7.0
  • 11F. Kainz↑80’6.9

Unused: R. Zieler, J. Gazibegović, R. van den Berg, D. Huseinbašić

Player stats

Top rated
M. Bülter1.FC Köln7.7
2nd
M. Schwäbe1.FC Köln7.5
3rd
D. KohrFSV Mainz 057.3

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Zentner G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 83% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
D. Kohr M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 87% 47 4 0 0/1 0/2 7.3
A. Hanche-Olsen D 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 38 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 75% 44 0 0 2/2 1/1 7.0
P. Mwene D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 89% 18 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
N. Amiri M 65 0 0 2 (1) 0 86% 43 0 1 0/1 1/1 6.9
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 31 0 1 1/1 0/2 7.3
A. Caci D 65 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 22 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Lee M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 34 2 0 0/1 0/1 6.7
P. Nebel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 20 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.9
B. Hollerbach F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
N. Weiper F 75 0 0 1 (1) 1 76% 17 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.5
S. Bell D 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 43% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Maloney D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
S. Widmer D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 42% 12 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
A. Sieb M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 55% 38 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
T. Krauß M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 48 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
T. Hübers D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 41 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
Joel Schmied D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
K. Lund D 67 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 29 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
E. Martel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 48 1 2 1/1 1/1 6.9
Í. Jóhannesson M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
S. Sebulonsen D 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 16 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
J. Kamiński M 90 0 0 3 (1) 4 86% 36 0 0 1/1 1/1 7.2
J. Thielmann M 67 0 0 2 (0) 0 54% 13 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
M. Bülter F 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 75% 24 1 1 1/2 2/1 7.7
C. Özkacar D 23 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 28 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
S. El Mala F 23 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
R. Ache F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
G. Waldschmidt F 16 0 1 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
F. Kainz M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.