Bundesliga Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.55 – 1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
  • P. Nebel 6’, 89’
  • 20’ N. Brown
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nebel’s late goal settles it for FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through two Nebel goals. Eintracht Frankfurt replied through a Brown goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.55 and 1.26. On the chances created, Eintracht Frankfurt deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FSV Mainz 05 ✓46%
Draw28%
Eintracht Frankfurt26%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
2
Model 1.45 · xG 1.55
Eintracht Frankfurt goals
1
Model 1.01 · xG 1.26
Total goals
3
Model 2.46 · xG 2.81
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. NebelFSV Mainz 05 · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 14th · Eintracht Frankfurt 7th

Timeline

  1. P. TietzYellow card · Roughing
    1’
  2. P. Nebel 1–0Assist S. Becker
    6’
  3. N. Brown 1–1Assist J. Bahoya
    20’
  4. R. DoanYellow card · Tripping
    27’
  5. P. MweneYellow card · Handling
    45’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. ⇄ E. SkhiriFor N. Brown
    46’
  8. ⇄ Ayoube Amaimouni-EchghouyabFor J. Bahoya
    58’
  9. ⇄ E. BaumFor P. Collins
    65’
  10. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor P. Mwene
    69’
  11. ⇄ N. WeiperFor P. Tietz
    69’
  12. ⇄ C. UzunFor R. Doan
    79’
  13. ⇄ A. KnauffFor F. Chaïbi
    79’
  14. ⇄ Sota KawasakiFor J. Lee
    81’
  15. P. Nebel 2–1
    89’
  16. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor S. Becker
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

FSV Mainz 058 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
Eintracht Frankfurt11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
30% Possession 70%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 1.26
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.18
8 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 9
1 Shots outside the box 2
228 Passes 575
75% Pass accuracy 90%
5 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.01 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

337.0 D. Batz(G)
317.0 D. Kohr 47.3 S. Posch 216.7 D. da Costa
26.7 P. Mwene ↓69’ 76.3 J. Lee ↓81’ 67.2 K. Sano 88.3★ P. Nebel 307.3 S. Widmer
206.3 P. Tietz ↓69’ 237.0 S. Becker A↓90’
  • 33D. Batz (G)7.0
  • 31D. Kohr7.0
  • 4S. Posch7.3
  • 21D. da Costa6.7
  • 2P. Mwene↓69’6.7
  • 7J. Lee↓81’6.3
  • 6K. Sano7.2
  • 8P. Nebel ★8.3
  • 30S. Widmer7.3
  • 20P. Tietz↓69’6.3
  • 23S. BeckerA↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 22N. Veratschnig↑69’6.7
  • 15L. Maloney↑90’
  • 24Sota Kawasaki↑81’6.5
  • 44N. Weiper↑69’6.2

Unused: L. Rieß, K. Potulski, M. Leitsch, A. Sieb, W. Bøving

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-3-3

237.2 M. Zetterer(G)
217.5 N. Brown ↓46’ 36.9 A. Theate 56.9 A. Amenda 346.5 P. Collins ↓65’
86.9 F. Chaïbi ↓79’ 166.6 H. Larsson 206.3 R. Doan ↓79’
197.0 J. Bahoya A↓58’ 96.5 J. Burkardt 256.2 A. Kalimuendo
  • 23M. Zetterer (G)7.2
  • 21N. Brown↓46’7.5
  • 3A. Theate6.9
  • 5A. Amenda6.9
  • 34P. Collins↓65’6.5
  • 8F. Chaïbi↓79’6.9
  • 16H. Larsson6.6
  • 20R. Doan↓79’6.3
  • 19J. BahoyaA↓58’7.0
  • 9J. Burkardt6.5
  • 25A. Kalimuendo6.2

Substitutes used

  • 2E. Baum↑65’6.3
  • 15E. Skhiri↑46’6.3
  • 42C. Uzun↑79’6.3
  • 7A. Knauff↑79’6.5
  • 29Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab↑58’6.2

Unused: J. Grahl, O. Højlund, L. Arrhov, Y. Ebnoutalib

Player stats

Top rated
P. NebelFSV Mainz 058.3
2nd
N. BrownEintracht Frankfurt7.5
3rd
S. PoschFSV Mainz 057.3

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 86% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
D. Kohr M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 31 6 2 0/0 4/1 7.0
S. Posch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 40 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 21 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
P. Mwene D 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Lee M 81 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 25 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
K. Sano M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 84% 19 1 2 0/1 0/0 7.2
P. Nebel M 90 2 0 2 (2) 0 82% 11 4 1 1/1 3/1 8.3
S. Widmer D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 56% 9 2 0 0/1 1/0 7.3
P. Tietz F 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 30% 10 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
S. Becker F 90 0 1 3 (2) 2 78% 9 0 0 0/1 0/3 7.0
N. Veratschnig D 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Maloney D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Sota Kawasaki M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
N. Weiper F 21 0 0 1 (1) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Zetterer G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 84% 31 0 0 0/0 0/3 7.2
N. Brown D 46 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 17 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
A. Theate D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 95% 91 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
A. Amenda D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 120 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
P. Collins D 65 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 57 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
F. Chaïbi M 79 0 0 1 (0) 2 92% 24 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
H. Larsson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 52 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
R. Doan M 79 0 0 1 (1) 2 89% 18 0 0 0/4 1/2 6.3
J. Bahoya F 58 0 1 0 (0) 4 70% 27 2 0 1/2 0/1 7.0
J. Burkardt F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 8 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
A. Kalimuendo F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 15 0 1 1/3 0/2 6.2
E. Baum D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 33 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.3
E. Skhiri M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 45 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
C. Uzun M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
A. Knauff M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab F 32 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 8 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.