Bundesliga Gameweek 19 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 14:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
3–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 4.04 – 0.52
VfL Wolfsburg
  • P. Tietz 68’
  • S. Bell 73’
  • N. Amiri 83’ (P)
  • 3’ M. Amoura
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FSV Mainz 05 come from behind to beat VfL Wolfsburg

FSV Mainz 05 entered as narrow favourites, yet VfL Wolfsburg led 1–0 at half-time through a Amoura goal. But Tietz, Bell and Amiri scored to turn it around for FSV Mainz 05, who won 3–1. FSV Mainz 05 finished with the higher xG (4.04 vs 0.52).

FSV Mainz 05 ✓45%
Draw26%
VfL Wolfsburg29%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
3
Model 1.61 · xG 4.04
VfL Wolfsburg goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 0.52
Total goals
4
Model 2.86 · xG 4.56
Score 3–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. AmiriFSV Mainz 05 · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeDaniel Siebert
  • Coaches— · D. Bauer
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 18th · VfL Wolfsburg 12th

Timeline

  1. M. Amoura 0–1Assist S. Kumbedi
    3’
  2. ✕ P. TietzMissed penalty
    22’
  3. S. PoschYellow card · Roughing
    33’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. P. WimmerYellow card · Tripping
    60’
  6. ⇄ N. AmiriFor P. Nebel
    65’
  7. ⇄ P. MweneFor D. da Costa
    65’
  8. ⇄ A. DaghimFor M. Amoura
    67’
  9. P. Tietz 1–1Assist N. Amiri
    68’
  10. Vinicius SouzaYellow card · Roughing
    70’
  11. S. Bell 2–1Assist B. Hollerbach
    73’
  12. ⇄ J. LindstrømFor P. Wimmer
    75’
  13. ⇄ L. MajerFor Vinicius Souza
    75’
  14. N. Amiri (pen) 3–1
    83’
  15. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor C. Eriksen
    84’
  16. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor Y. Gerhardt
    84’
  17. D. KohrYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  18. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor B. Hollerbach
    90’
  19. ⇄ S. Katompa MvumpaFor P. Tietz
    90’
  20. S. BellYellow card · Tripping
    90+2’
  21. ⇄ W. BøvingFor J. Lee
    90+6’
  22. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0520 shots · 16 in box, 4 outside
VfL Wolfsburg7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
FSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
60% Possession 40%
4.04 Expected goals (xG) 0.52
2.85 Expected points (xPts) 0.10
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
16 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 3
409 Passes 287
79% Pass accuracy 66%
14 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

336.3 D. Batz(G)
317.2 D. Kohr 166.9 S. Bell 47.2 S. Posch
307.3 S. Widmer 77.2 J. Lee ↓90’ 66.6 K. Sano 86.6 P. Nebel ↓65’ 216.3 D. da Costa ↓65’
206.0 P. Tietz ↓90’ 176.9 B. Hollerbach A↓90’
  • 33D. Batz (G)6.3
  • 31D. Kohr7.2
  • 16S. Bell6.9
  • 4S. Posch7.2
  • 30S. Widmer7.3
  • 7J. Lee↓90’7.2
  • 6K. Sano6.6
  • 8P. Nebel↓65’6.6
  • 21D. da Costa↓65’6.3
  • 20P. Tietz↓90’6.0
  • 17B. HollerbachA↓90’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 15L. Maloney↑90’
  • 2P. Mwene↑65’6.3
  • 10N. Amiri ★A↑65’8.0
  • 26S. Katompa Mvumpa↑90’
  • 14W. Bøving↑90’

Unused: L. Rieß, K. Potulski, Sota Kawasaki, N. Weiper

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

17.9 K. Grabara(G)
255.6 A. Zehnter 156.3 M. Jenz 37.0 D. Vavro 267.0 S. Kumbedi A
56.9 Vinicius Souza ↓75’ 316.5 Y. Gerhardt ↓84’
96.6 M. Amoura ↓67’ 246.6 C. Eriksen ↓84’ 396.5 P. Wimmer ↓75’
176.3 D. Pejčinović
  • 1K. Grabara (G)7.9
  • 25A. Zehnter5.6
  • 15M. Jenz6.3
  • 3D. Vavro7.0
  • 26S. KumbediA7.0
  • 5Vinicius Souza↓75’6.9
  • 31Y. Gerhardt↓84’6.5
  • 9M. Amoura↓67’6.6
  • 24C. Eriksen↓84’6.6
  • 39P. Wimmer↓75’6.5
  • 17D. Pejčinović6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Majer↑75’6.5
  • 32M. Svanberg↑84’6.3
  • 19J. Lindstrøm↑75’6.2
  • 11A. Daghim↑67’6.7
  • 7K. Shiogai↑84’6.7

Unused: M. Müller, Jan Bürger, M. Angély, K. Fischer

Coach: D. Bauer

Player stats

Top rated
N. AmiriFSV Mainz 058.0
2nd
K. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg7.9
3rd
S. WidmerFSV Mainz 057.3

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 70% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Kohr M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 54 1 1 0/0 2/2 7.2
S. Bell D 90 1 0 5 (2) 1 71% 38 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
S. Posch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 69 4 2 3/3 1/1 7.2
S. Widmer D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 28 3 0 1/2 0/0 7.3
J. Lee M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 25 2 1 0/1 0/2 7.2
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 37 0 3 0/0 0/0 6.6
P. Nebel M 65 0 0 0 (0) 4 72% 32 4 0 2/3 0/1 6.6
D. da Costa D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 35 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
P. Tietz F 90 1 0 4 (4) 1 31% 16 0 0 1/1 1/3 6.0
B. Hollerbach F 90 0 1 4 (2) 1 85% 27 1 0 2/4 0/0 6.9
L. Maloney D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
P. Mwene D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Amiri M 25 1 1 1 (1) 2 100% 4 0 0 2/3 0/0 8.0
S. Katompa Mvumpa F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
W. Bøving M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 56% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
A. Zehnter M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 59% 34 1 0 0/1 0/0 5.6
M. Jenz D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 30 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Vavro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 32 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
S. Kumbedi D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 69% 29 1 0 0/1 0/1 7.0
Vinicius Souza M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 21 2 0 0/0 2/2 6.9
Y. Gerhardt M 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 23 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
M. Amoura F 67 1 0 2 (1) 0 60% 15 3 1 0/3 1/0 6.6
C. Eriksen M 84 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 26 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
P. Wimmer M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 45% 20 0 1 3/7 1/1 6.5
D. Pejčinović F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 74% 19 0 0 0/2 3/1 6.3
L. Majer M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
M. Svanberg M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 20% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Lindstrøm M 15 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.2
A. Daghim F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Shiogai F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.