Premier League Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 13 2025 · 15:00 Craven Cottage, London
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.85 – 0.79
  • G. Gudmundsson 90’ (OG)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Gudmundsson’s late goal settles it for Fulham

Fulham entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through an own goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.85 and 0.79. On the chances created, Leeds deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Fulham ✓44%
Draw26%
Leeds31%

Model vs reality

Fulham goals
1
Model 1.60 · xG 0.85
Leeds goals
0
Model 1.30 · xG 0.79
Total goals
1
Model 2.90 · xG 1.64
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. AndersenFulham
8.3
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • VenueCraven Cottage
  • Table before kick-offFulham 18th · Leeds 12th

Timeline

  1. A. StachYellow card · Foul
    11’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Adama TraoréFor H. Wilson
    60’
  4. ⇄ E. Smith RoweFor J. King
    60’
  5. N. OkaforYellow card · Foul
    64’
  6. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor N. Okafor
    68’
  7. ⇄ L. NmechaFor D. Calvert-Lewin
    69’
  8. ⇄ KevinFor A. Iwobi
    76’
  9. ⇄ D. JamesFor B. Aaronson
    77’
  10. S. BergeYellow card · Foul
    79’
  11. ⇄ T. CairneyFor S. Berge
    84’
  12. ⇄ R. JiménezFor Rodrigo Muniz
    84’
  13. G. Gudmundsson (own goal) 1–0
    90’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Fulham5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Leeds10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
FulhamLeeds
54% Possession 46%
0.85 Expected goals (xG) 0.79
1.38 Expected points (xPts) 1.28
5 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 3
451 Passes 388
85% Pass accuracy 81%
3 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
20 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

17.5 B. Leno(G)
307.5 K. Sessegnon 38.0 C. Bassey 58.3★ J. Andersen 27.5 K. Tete
167.0 S. Berge ↓84’ 206.2 S. Lukić
176.3 A. Iwobi ↓76’ 246.3 J. King ↓60’ 86.9 H. Wilson ↓60’
96.6 Rodrigo Muniz ↓84’
  • 1B. Leno (G)7.5
  • 30K. Sessegnon7.5
  • 3C. Bassey8.0
  • 5J. Andersen ★8.3
  • 2K. Tete7.5
  • 16S. Berge↓84’7.0
  • 20S. Lukić6.2
  • 17A. Iwobi↓76’6.3
  • 24J. King↓60’6.3
  • 8H. Wilson↓60’6.9
  • 9Rodrigo Muniz↓84’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 10T. Cairney↑84’6.7
  • 7R. Jiménez↑84’6.5
  • 11Adama Traoré↑60’6.3
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↑60’6.5
  • 22Kevin↑76’6.9

Unused: B. Lecomte, I. Diop, A. Robinson, T. Castagne

Leeds 4-3-3

268.0 K. Darlow(G)
35.9 G. Gudmundsson 56.3 P. Struijk 66.9 J. Rodon 26.3 J. Bogle
186.3 A. Stach 46.9 E. Ampadu 86.5 S. Longstaff
196.3 N. Okafor ↓68’ 96.9 D. Calvert-Lewin ↓69’ 117.3 B. Aaronson ↓77’
  • 26K. Darlow (G)8.0
  • 3G. Gudmundsson5.9
  • 5P. Struijk6.3
  • 6J. Rodon6.9
  • 2J. Bogle6.3
  • 18A. Stach6.3
  • 4E. Ampadu6.9
  • 8S. Longstaff6.5
  • 19N. Okafor↓68’6.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin↓69’6.9
  • 11B. Aaronson↓77’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 7D. James↑77’6.3
  • 14L. Nmecha↑69’6.2
  • 20J. Harrison↑68’6.7

Unused: I. Meslier, J. Justin, J. Bijol, I. Gruev, A. Tanaka, D. Gnonto

Player stats

Top rated
J. AndersenFulham8.3
2nd
C. BasseyFulham8.0
3rd
K. DarlowLeeds8.0

Fulham

Leeds

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.