Fulham vs Liverpool – 20 Mar 2027

Premier League Gameweek 30 Sat, Mar 20 · 15:00 Craven Cottage, London

Fulham 18th · 5 pts · 7 played LDDLW

VS— Compare

Liverpool 5th · 12 pts · 7 played WDWLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel286 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Fulham—%

Draw—%

Liverpool—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (London)

Forecast from 5 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Insight Liverpool 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Fulham

Liverpool

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 84

66 AttackIn forecast 85

68 DefenceIn forecast 84

42 Form indexContext 87

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Fulham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Liverpool

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Fulham

Liverpool

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.29

1.43 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.14

1.62 xGVia Att/Def 1.55

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.20

-0.62 Goals minus xGContext -0.26

71% Scored inContext 71%

29% Clean sheetsContext 43%

14.71 ShotsContext 15.71

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

32% On target shareContext 32%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.71

74% Box shareContext 55%

7% ConversionContext 8%

1.00 OffsidesContext 2.14

14.14 Shots allowedContext 11.86

4.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.43

4.43 BlocksContext 3.86

3.17 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.29

66% Save rateContext 67%

57% PossessionIn forecast 56%

564 PassesContext 482

486 Accurate passesContext 408

86% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.90

10.43 FoulsContext 13.86

8.43 Fouls sufferedContext 10.29

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.57

0.14 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

1.61 xGVia Att/Def 1.89

1.30 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.29

-0.61 Goals minus xGContext -0.09

70% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

15.10 ShotsContext 17.40

5.11 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.70

31% On target shareContext 33%

10.60 Shots in the boxContext 11.00

70% Box shareContext 62%

7% ConversionContext 10%

1.11 OffsidesContext 2.50

12.70 Shots allowedContext 11.50

4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.40

3.89 BlocksContext 3.20

2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.10

67% Save rateContext 62%

57% PossessionIn forecast 56%

548 PassesContext 487

472 Accurate passesContext 417

86% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.99

10.60 FoulsContext 12.10

10.60 Fouls sufferedContext 9.80

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.10

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Fulham LDDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -2.1 vs expected

W17 OctH · Hull City1–02.0 xPts
L10 OctA · Ipswich1–21.4 xPts
D20 SepH · Manchester United1–11.2 xPts
D12 SepA · Liverpool0–00.8 xPts
L5 SepH · Crystal Palace2–31.6 xPts

Liverpool DWLWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel286 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 87 · 10 pts vs 4.7 for an average club · +2.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Brentford2–11.3 xPts
W14 OctA · Lask Linz6–31.8 xPts
L11 OctH · Manchester City0–31.3 xPts
W20 SepA · Bournemouth1–01.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Fulham0–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Fulham	Liverpool
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Premier League 2026-2027, 13 Mar	7Premier League 2026-2027, 13 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	286 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	1 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	21	21

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Fulham Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Hull City (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

1B. Leno(G)

33A. Robinson 3C. Bassey 22D. Affengruber 21T. Castagne

19S. Charles 16S. Berge

17A. Iwobi 24J. King 14O. Bobb

7Gonzalo García

Liverpool Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Brentford (A) 2–1, 17 Oct

1A. Becker(G)

6M. Kerkez 4V. van Dijk 5J. Jacquet 33R. Araujo

8D. Szoboszlai 10A. Mac Allister

29B. Barcola 7F. Wirtz 23Víctor Muñoz

9A. Isak

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Fulham Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Liverpool Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Fulham · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.75

Liverpool · Away 2.50points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 1.75
Conceded: 0.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Fulham	Liverpool
Ipswich	L 1–2 A	W 2–0 A
Points	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

2 Fulham wins4 draws4 Liverpool wins

Goals per game1.40 – 1.80 Over 2.560% Both scored60% Clean sheets20% · 30%

12 Sep 2026Liverpool0–0Fulham
11 Apr 2026Liverpool2–0Fulham
4 Jan 2026Fulham2–2Liverpool
6 Apr 2025Fulham3–2Liverpool
14 Dec 2024Liverpool2–2Fulham
21 Apr 2024Fulham1–3Liverpool

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Fulham	Liverpool
Scored per game	1.00	1.29
Conceded per game	1.43	1.14
Match goals	2.43	2.43
Over 1.5	57%	71%
Over 2.5	43%	57%
Over 3.5	29%	29%
Both teams scored	57%	43%
Clean sheets	29%	43%
Failed to score	29%	29%
Games	7	7

	Fulham	Liverpool
Scored per game	1.00	1.80
Conceded per game	1.20	1.30
Match goals	2.20	3.10
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	30%	60%
Over 3.5	20%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	30%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Fulham	Liverpool	League
Corners
Corners won	6.43	4.86
Corners conceded	4.29	4.43
Match total	10.72	9.29	9.49
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.14	2.71
Opponent cards	0.86	2.43
Match total	3.00	5.14	4.17
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	71% 5/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	57% 4/7

	Fulham	Liverpool	League
Corners
Corners won	6.80	6.60
Corners conceded	4.10	4.10
Match total	10.90	10.70	9.49
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.20
Opponent cards	1.20	2.20
Match total	3.40	4.40	4.17
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.