Süper Lig Gameweek 27 Sun, Apr 4 · 13:00 Rams Global Stadium, İstanbul
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel463 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Galatasaray—%
Draw—%
Konyaspor—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 20 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Galatasaray and Konyaspor. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

GalatasarayKonyaspor
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
62 Current StrengthIn forecast 18
57 AttackIn forecast 13
55 DefenceIn forecast 31
59 Form indexContext 23
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Galatasaray

Attack—
Defense risk—

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GalatasarayKonyaspor
2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50
1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13
2.29 xGVia Att/Def 0.91
0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.12
-0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.41
88% Scored inContext 38%
38% Clean sheetsContext 38%
22.13 ShotsContext 10.38
7.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.71
33% On target shareContext 31%
15.13 Shots in the boxContext 6.75
69% Box shareContext 64%
10% ConversionContext 5%
2.83 OffsidesContext 2.80
10.75 Shots allowedContext 12.88
3.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
3.71 BlocksContext 3.50
2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00
78% Save rateContext 80%
60% PossessionIn forecast 49%
475 PassesContext 396
411 Accurate passesContext 325
87% Pass accuracyContext 82%
7.02 Team ratingContext 6.75
11.75 FoulsContext 11.88
11.63 Fouls sufferedContext 12.38
1.63 Yellow cardsContext 2.38
0.25 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.97 xGVia Att/Def 0.91
1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.33
-0.07 Goals minus xGContext -0.41
90% Scored inContext 40%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
19.20 ShotsContext 10.80
6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.44
34% On target shareContext 29%
13.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.10
69% Box shareContext 65%
10% ConversionContext 5%
3.43 OffsidesContext 2.43
11.50 Shots allowedContext 13.80
4.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.11
3.56 BlocksContext 3.40
2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.78
64% Save rateContext 78%
57% PossessionIn forecast 49%
460 PassesContext 391
397 Accurate passesContext 322
86% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.86 Team ratingContext 6.73
11.60 FoulsContext 12.30
11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Galatasaray
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
  • L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
  • W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts
Konyaspor
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel463 km460 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
  • D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Galatasaray Konyaspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Süper Lig 2026-2027, 21 Mar14Süper Lig 2026-2027, 21 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km460 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct
1U. Çakır(G)
17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai
8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina
53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané
45V. Osimhen
Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana
8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu
7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Konyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Galatasaray · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
3-1-0
Scored
2.25
Conceded
1.25
Konyaspor · Away 0.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-1-3
Scored
0.50
Conceded
1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

5 Galatasaray wins0 draws1 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game2.00 – 0.83 Over 2.567% Both scored50% Clean sheets33% · 17%
  • 21 Feb 2026Konyaspor2–0Galatasaray
  • 22 Sep 2025Galatasaray3–1Konyaspor
  • 25 Jan 2025Galatasaray1–0Konyaspor
  • 16 Aug 2024Konyaspor1–2Galatasaray
  • 26 May 2024Konyaspor1–3Galatasaray
  • 7 Jan 2024Galatasaray3–0Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Galatasaray8 games · scored 17 · conceded 11
1 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 4 61-75
6 2 76-90
Konyaspor8 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Galatasaray10 games · scored 19 · conceded 18
2 1 0-15
3 2 16-30
3 3 31-45
2 4 46-60
3 6 61-75
6 2 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 61-75
1 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.