Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Galatasaray – 8 Aug 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 1 Fri, Aug 8 · 19:30 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Gazişehir Gaziantep

0–3Full time

Galatasaray

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Galatasaray were clear favourites.

Galatasaray were the stronger side on L90 Strength (71 vs 20). Galatasaray usually keep the ball (59% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Gazişehir Gaziantep had ? days of rest, Galatasaray ? and had to travel 850 km.

Away travel850 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

Gazişehir Gaziantep15%

Draw21%

Galatasaray64%

Expected goals 0.90 – 2.06

Gazişehir Gaziantep15%

Draw22%

Galatasaray63%

Expected goals 0.89 – 2.02

Gazişehir Gaziantep15%

Draw21%

Galatasaray65%

Expected goals 0.90 – 2.10

Gazişehir Gaziantep11%

Draw18%

Galatasaray71%

Expected goals 0.80 – 2.31

Gazişehir Gaziantep16%

Draw22%

Galatasaray62%

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.98

Over 2.5 57% Both score 52% Likeliest score 0–2

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Gaziantep)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeAli Sansalan

Cards per match 5.3
Penalties per match 1.33
Matches 3

Team strength

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Galatasaray

20 L90 StrengthIn forecast 71

16 Current StrengthIn forecast 62

15 AttackIn forecast 57

18 DefenceIn forecast 55

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—

Defense risk—

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Galatasaray

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.70

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.40

1.25 xGVia Att/Def 2.28

1.70 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.80

-0.35 Goals minus xGContext +0.42

60% Scored inContext 100%

10% Clean sheetsContext 70%

12.50 ShotsContext 19.60

4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00

35% On target shareContext 36%

7.11 Shots in the boxContext 13.60

54% Box shareContext 68%

7% ConversionContext 14%

2.44 OffsidesContext 2.78

14.00 Shots allowedContext 8.70

5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.00

4.11 BlocksContext 2.89

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.86

71% Save rateContext 87%

48% PossessionIn forecast 61%

371 PassesContext 472

298 Accurate passesContext 406

80% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.93 Team ratingContext 7.37

13.20 FoulsContext 12.40

12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 10.80

2.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Galatasaray

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel850 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	850 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	8.9	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

71M. Bozan(G)

77K. Rodrigues 4A. Kızıldağ 14L. Abena 22S. M'Bakata

7J. Bacuna

11C. Lungoyi 44A. Maxim 18D. Sorescu 10K. Kozłowski

21E. Boateng

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Galatasaray Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

19G. Güvenç(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

99M. Lemina 34L. Torreira

10L. Sané 8Gabriel Sara 11Y. Akgün

53B. Yılmaz

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Gazişehir Gaziantep Absences are shown before kick-off

Galatasaray Scores -0.04 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.4 pp
Draw+0.4 pp
Galatasaray-0.8 pp

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home No home games yet this season.

Galatasaray · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

0 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins0 draws4 Galatasaray wins

Goals per game0.50 – 2.25 Over 2.575% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%

3 Feb 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep0–1Galatasaray
17 Sep 2024Galatasaray3–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
29 Jan 2024Galatasaray2–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
2 Sep 2023Gazişehir Gaziantep0–3Galatasaray

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Galatasaray	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.96
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	57%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	52%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Galatasaray	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.96
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	57%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	52%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Galatasaray
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Galatasaray
Corners
Corners won	2.89	6.88
Corners conceded	6.89	3.88
Match total	9.78	10.76
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	63% 5/8
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	50% 4/8
Cards
Cards	2.60	2.00
Opponent cards	2.80	1.90
Match total	5.40	3.90
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Ali Sansalan Türkiye · 3 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.33

Red cards0.00

Cards 5+100%

Fouls23.0

Penalties1.33

Home wins100%

Gazişehir Gaziantep

No previous matches with this referee.

Galatasaray1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against1 · 0

W18 May 25H · Kayserispor3–04

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.