Süper Lig Gameweek 29 Sun, Apr 18 · 13:00 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel506 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Gazişehir Gaziantep—%
Draw—%
Genclerbirligi—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Gaziantep)

Forecast from 3 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Gazişehir Gaziantep and Genclerbirligi. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Gazişehir GaziantepGenclerbirligi
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
16 Current StrengthIn forecast 15
15 AttackIn forecast 13
18 DefenceIn forecast 16
20 Form indexContext 7
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—
Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir GaziantepGenclerbirligi
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.10 xGVia Att/Def 0.95
1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83
-0.10 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
63% Scored inContext 63%
25% Clean sheetsContext 13%
12.86 ShotsContext 11.88
3.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14
28% On target shareContext 31%
7.57 Shots in the boxContext 7.25
59% Box shareContext 58%
9% ConversionContext 7%
2.71 OffsidesContext 2.40
13.29 Shots allowedContext 17.25
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.88
3.57 BlocksContext 4.14
2.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.13
57% Save rateContext 75%
52% PossessionIn forecast 43%
431 PassesContext 327
358 Accurate passesContext 261
83% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.87 Team ratingContext 6.81
11.14 FoulsContext 11.63
17.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
2.25 Yellow cardsContext 1.75
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
0.99 xGVia Att/Def 1.13
1.55 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68
+0.01 Goals minus xGContext +0.17
70% Scored inContext 70%
20% Clean sheetsContext 20%
12.56 ShotsContext 12.10
3.56 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67
28% On target shareContext 35%
7.67 Shots in the boxContext 7.30
61% Box shareContext 58%
9% ConversionContext 11%
2.44 OffsidesContext 2.17
13.44 Shots allowedContext 15.80
4.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20
3.33 BlocksContext 3.78
2.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.70
61% Save rateContext 76%
53% PossessionIn forecast 44%
425 PassesContext 327
352 Accurate passesContext 260
83% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.84 Team ratingContext 6.84
11.00 FoulsContext 11.50
17.33 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.90
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,700 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 20 · 4 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Istanbul Basaksehir1–20.8 xPts
  • L11 OctH · Çorum FK0–31.4 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Kocaelispor0–21.1 xPts
  • D14 SepH · Fenerbahce0–00.8 xPts
  • W7 SepA · Goztepe4–21.0 xPts
Genclerbirligi
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel506 km765 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 7 · 1 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Galatasaray0–10.6 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Amed2–21.0 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–41.0 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Gazişehir Gaziantep Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 11 Apr7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 11 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km506 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,700 km765 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Istanbul Basaksehir (A) 1–2, 18 Oct
25K. Tobiasz(G)
21L. Sylla 14L. Abena 4A. Kızıldağ 2Luis Pérez
3D. Camara 61O. Özçiçek 8V. Gidado 18D. Sorescu
10K. Kozłowski 9T. Stewart
Genclerbirligi Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs Galatasaray (H) 0–1, 17 Oct
70İ. Eğribayat(G)
2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 90M. Baltacı 88F. Üzüm
42Ousmane Diabate
7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 48S. Uçan 83R. Luis
9Pedro Mendes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Gazişehir Gaziantep Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Genclerbirligi Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home 0.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
0-2-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
1.50
Genclerbirligi · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
0.33
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins0 draws1 Genclerbirligi wins
Goals per game1.50 – 1.50 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 1 Feb 2026Genclerbirligi2–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
  • 23 Aug 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep2–1Genclerbirligi

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Gazişehir Gaziantep8 games · scored 8 · conceded 12
2 2 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 3 46-60
2 61-75
1 4 76-90
Genclerbirligi8 games · scored 7 · conceded 16
4 0-15
1 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
1 4 76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
2 4 0-15
2 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 61-75
1 5 76-90
Genclerbirligi10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
6 0-15
1 2 16-30
4 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.