Gazişehir Gaziantep
Attack—
Defense risk—
Gazişehir Gaziantep
9th · 24 pts · 18 played
LDLLD
1–1Full time
Konyaspor
13th · 18 pts · 18 played
LDLDD
Our take
Gazişehir Gaziantep were slight favourites.
Gazişehir Gaziantep were the stronger side on L90 Strength (22 vs 16). Absences weigh more on Gazişehir Gaziantep. Gazişehir Gaziantep had 7.8 days of rest, Konyaspor 5.9 and had to travel 442 km.
Away travel442 kmRest days7.8 · 5.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Gazişehir Gaziantep49%
Draw25%
Konyaspor26%
Gazişehir Gaziantep50%
Draw26%
Konyaspor25%
Gazişehir Gaziantep50%
Draw25%
Konyaspor25%
Gazişehir Gaziantep41%
Draw26%
Konyaspor33%
Gazişehir Gaziantep49%
Draw25%
Konyaspor26%
Over 2.5 56%
Both score 58%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Gaziantep)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeKadir Saglam
- Cards per match 4.4
- Penalties per match 0.17
- Matches 12
Team strength
Gazişehir GaziantepKonyaspor
22
L90 StrengthIn forecast
16
16
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
15
AttackIn forecast
13
18
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Gazişehir GaziantepKonyaspor
1.39
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.22
1.72
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.67
1.41
xGVia Att/Def
1.21
1.52
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.50
-0.02
Goals minus xGContext
+0.01
72%
Scored inContext
78%
22%
Clean sheetsContext
11%
13.56
ShotsContext
13.83
4.39
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.17
32%
On target shareContext
30%
8.11
Shots in the boxContext
8.22
58%
Box shareContext
59%
10%
ConversionContext
9%
1.83
OffsidesContext
2.14
14.00
Shots allowedContext
12.28
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.18
3.44
BlocksContext
3.00
3.28
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.50
66%
Save rateContext
59%
52%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
389
PassesContext
407
324
Accurate passesContext
337
83%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.81
Team ratingContext
6.80
12.89
FoulsContext
10.94
16.22
Fouls sufferedContext
12.72
3.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.89
0.11
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.70
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.42
xGVia Att/Def
1.16
1.57
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.59
-0.12
Goals minus xGContext
-0.46
70%
Scored inContext
60%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
12.50
ShotsContext
15.10
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.70
36%
On target shareContext
25%
7.70
Shots in the boxContext
8.60
61%
Box shareContext
57%
10%
ConversionContext
5%
1.50
OffsidesContext
2.13
14.80
Shots allowedContext
11.70
5.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.33
3.90
BlocksContext
3.10
3.80
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.11
68%
Save rateContext
49%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
56%
388
PassesContext
440
324
Accurate passesContext
369
84%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.75
Team ratingContext
6.70
12.30
FoulsContext
10.00
15.30
Fouls sufferedContext
12.20
2.60
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest7.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,700 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Konyaspor
Rest5.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel442 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Gazişehir Gaziantep |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.8Süper Lig 2025-2026, 17 Jan | 5.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 19 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 442 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,700 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 6.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Confirmed XI
20Z. Görgen(G)
5N. Mujakić
4A. Kızıldağ
30N. Sangaré
32Y. Kabadayı
3D. Camara
61O. Özçiçek
44A. Maxim
18D. Sorescu
9M. Bayo
70D. Drăguş
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
24A. Boşluk
4A. Demirbağ
5U. Yazğılı
21J. Jo
18B. Kutlu
42M. Bjørlo
40J. Muleka
32S. Svendsen
9D. Türüç
22M. Nayir
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Gazişehir Gaziantep
Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Gazişehir Gaziantep-1.6 pp
- Draw+0.2 pp
- Konyaspor+1.4 pp
Home / Away this season
Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home
1.22points per game · 9 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-2-4
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 1.89
Konyaspor · Away
1.00points per game · 8 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-4
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | D 1–1 AL 0–3 H | L 1–3 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | L 1–5 A | W 2–1 H |
| Goztepe | L 0–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Besiktas | D 2–2 A | L 0–2 H |
| Eyüpspor | L 1–2 H | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A |
| Kayserispor | W 3–0 A | D 1–1 H |
| Rizespor | D 2–2 H | D 1–1 H |
| Alanyaspor | D 0–0 A | L 1–2 H |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–4 H | L 0–4 A |
| Antalyaspor | W 3–2 H | D 0–0 H |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 2–0 A | L 0–2 A |
| Samsunspor | D 2–2 H | L 1–3 H |
| Trabzonspor | D 1–1 A | L 1–3 A |
| Kocaelispor | W 2–0 H | L 2–3 H |
| Kasimpasa | W 3–2 A | D 1–1 A |
| Genclerbirligi | W 2–1 H | W 2–1 A |
| Points | 24 of 51 · 1.41 per game | 15 of 51 · 0.88 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins1 draws3 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game0.80 – 1.60
Over 2.540%
Both scored40%
Clean sheets0% · 60%
- 17 Aug 2025Konyaspor3–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
- 28 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
- 27 Oct 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep3–1Konyaspor
- 24 Jan 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep1–1Konyaspor
- 25 Aug 2023Konyaspor2–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.39 | 1.22 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.72 | 1.67 | |
| Match goals | 3.11 | 2.89 | 2.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 94% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 72% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 11% | |
| Failed to score | 28% | 22% | |
| Games | 18 | 18 |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.30 | 0.70 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.90 | 1.80 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.29 | 5.39 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.82 | 4.22 | |
| Match total | 10.11 | 9.61 | 9.37 |
| Over 8.5 | 59% 10/17 | 44% 8/18 | |
| Over 9.5 | 41% 7/17 | 44% 8/18 | |
| Over 10.5 | 41% 7/17 | 39% 7/18 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.17 | 1.94 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.39 | 2.17 | |
| Match total | 6.56 | 4.11 | 4.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 89% 16/18 | 56% 10/18 | |
| Over 4.5 | 83% 15/18 | 22% 4/18 | |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.11 | 6.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.33 | 3.20 | |
| Match total | 10.44 | 9.40 | 9.37 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 6/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.80 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.30 | 2.10 | |
| Match total | 6.10 | 3.70 | 4.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 80% 8/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 70% 7/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Kadir Saglam Türkiye · 12 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.33league 4.34
Red cards0.08league 0.23
Cards 5+42%league 44%
Fouls28.3league 25.7
Penalties0.17league 0.25
Home wins33%league 36%
Gazişehir Gaziantep1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.5.0 · 4.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D8 Dec 25A · Besiktas2–25
Konyaspor1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.3.0 · 5.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
- L18 Oct 25H · Kocaelispor2–33
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Gazişehir Gaziantep18 games · scored 25 · conceded 31
4
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
6
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
8
5
61-75
3
9
76-90
Konyaspor18 games · scored 22 · conceded 30
1
2
0-15
5
6
16-30
3
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
3
76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 13 · conceded 19
3
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
1
7
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 7 · conceded 18
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
5
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
