Serie A Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 21 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.86 – 1.60
  • N. Leali 3’
  • 90+4’ I. Hien
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hien’s late goal settles it for Atalanta

Atalanta entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Hien goal. Genoa played with ten men from the 3rd minute after Leali was sent off. Atalanta finished with the higher xG (1.60 vs 0.86). On the chances created, Genoa deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Genoa24%
Draw26%
Atalanta ✓50%

Model vs reality

Genoa goals
0
Model 1.03 · xG 0.86
Atalanta goals
1
Model 1.59 · xG 1.60
Total goals
1
Model 2.61 · xG 2.46
Score 0–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. HienAtalanta · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeRosario Abisso
  • VenueStadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Table before kick-offGenoa 16th · Atalanta 13th

Timeline

  1. N. LealiRed card · Tripping
    3’
  2. ⇄ D. SommarivaFor Aarón Martín
    5’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ L. SamardžićFor D. Maldini
    57’
  5. L. SamardžićYellow card · Roughing
    60’
  6. ⇄ M. ThorsbyFor R. Malinovskyi
    67’
  7. ⇄ L. ColomboFor C. Ekuban
    67’
  8. ⇄ N. ZalewskiFor L. Bernasconi
    69’
  9. ⇄ K. SulemanaFor D. Zappacosta
    69’
  10. N. ZalewskiYellow card · Roughing
    79’
  11. ⇄ M. BrescianiniFor Éderson
    82’
  12. ⇄ N. KrstovićFor S. Kolašinac
    82’
  13. ⇄ P. MasiniFor Vítinha
    83’
  14. M. ThorsbyYellow card · Diving
    85’
  15. I. Hien 0–1Assist N. Zalewski
    90+4’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Genoa6 shots · 6 in box
Atalanta16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
GenoaAtalanta
29% Possession 71%
0.86 Expected goals (xG) 1.60
0.85 Expected points (xPts) 1.90
6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 9
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 12
0 Shots outside the box 4
220 Passes 542
73% Pass accuracy 90%
6 Corners 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Genoa 3-5-2

13.0 N. Leali(G)
226.9 J. Vásquez 347.3 S. Otoa 276.9 A. Marcandalli
3 Aarón Martín ↓5’ 777.3 M. Ellertsson 327.0 M. Frendrup 176.2 R. Malinovskyi ↓67’ 157.2 B. Norton-Cuffy
186.2 C. Ekuban ↓67’ 96.2 Vítinha ↓83’
  • 1N. Leali (G)3.0
  • 22J. Vásquez6.9
  • 34S. Otoa7.3
  • 27A. Marcandalli6.9
  • 3Aarón Martín↓5’
  • 77M. Ellertsson7.3
  • 32M. Frendrup7.0
  • 17R. Malinovskyi↓67’6.2
  • 15B. Norton-Cuffy7.2
  • 18C. Ekuban↓67’6.2
  • 9Vítinha↓83’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 39D. Sommariva (G)↑5’7.0
  • 73P. Masini↑83’6.7
  • 2M. Thorsby↑67’6.2
  • 29L. Colombo↑67’6.5

Unused: Ernestas Lysionok, L. Østigård, S. Sabelli, V. Carboni, N. Stanciu, S. Fini, L. Venturino, J. Ekhator

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

297.0 M. Carnesecchi(G)
237.0 S. Kolašinac ↓82’ 47.9★ I. Hien 157.2 M. de Roon
477.0 L. Bernasconi ↓69’ 136.2 Éderson ↓82’ 67.2 Y. Musah 777.5 D. Zappacosta ↓69’
707.2 D. Maldini ↓57’ 176.3 C. De Ketelaere
95.5 G. Scamacca
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)7.0
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓82’7.0
  • 4I. Hien ★7.9
  • 15M. de Roon7.2
  • 47L. Bernasconi↓69’7.0
  • 13Éderson↓82’6.2
  • 6Y. Musah7.2
  • 77D. Zappacosta↓69’7.5
  • 70D. Maldini↓57’7.2
  • 17C. De Ketelaere6.3
  • 9G. Scamacca5.5

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Samardžić↑57’6.6
  • 59N. ZalewskiA↑69’7.3
  • 44M. Brescianini↑82’6.7
  • 7K. Sulemana↑69’6.2
  • 90N. Krstović↑82’6.5

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, H. Ahanor, G. Scalvini

Player stats

Top rated
I. HienAtalanta7.9
2nd
D. ZappacostaAtalanta7.5
3rd
S. OtoaGenoa7.3

Genoa

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.