Getafe
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel296 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Getafe—%
Draw—%
Alaves—%
Weather (Getafe)
Forecast from 13 Feb
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Getafe and Alaves. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Getafe
Alaves
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
48
Current StrengthIn forecast
48
27
AttackIn forecast
48
59
DefenceIn forecast
55
42
Form indexContext
14
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAlaves
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
GetafeAlaves
0.56
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.44
1.22
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.11
0.62
xGVia Att/Def
1.24
1.49
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.22
-0.06
Goals minus xGContext
+0.20
56%
Scored inContext
78%
22%
Clean sheetsContext
33%
10.78
ShotsContext
12.78
2.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.38
25%
On target shareContext
37%
5.44
Shots in the boxContext
8.88
48%
Box shareContext
62%
5%
ConversionContext
11%
2.17
OffsidesContext
3.88
15.22
Shots allowedContext
12.33
4.89
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.33
4.78
BlocksContext
4.50
3.56
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.22
73%
Save rateContext
74%
37%
PossessionIn forecast
42%
292
PassesContext
340
217
Accurate passesContext
270
74%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.68
Team ratingContext
6.84
14.00
FoulsContext
13.67
12.78
Fouls sufferedContext
13.33
3.44
Yellow cardsContext
1.67
0.11
Red cardsContext
0.11
0.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
0.58
xGVia Att/Def
1.28
1.39
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.23
+0.02
Goals minus xGContext
+0.12
60%
Scored inContext
80%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.30
ShotsContext
13.40
2.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.00
26%
On target shareContext
40%
5.20
Shots in the boxContext
9.11
48%
Box shareContext
61%
6%
ConversionContext
10%
2.00
OffsidesContext
3.78
14.80
Shots allowedContext
12.60
4.90
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.60
4.50
BlocksContext
4.22
3.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.40
76%
Save rateContext
74%
38%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
289
PassesContext
341
214
Accurate passesContext
271
74%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.73
Team ratingContext
6.84
14.30
FoulsContext
13.60
13.50
Fouls sufferedContext
13.40
3.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Getafe
DLWLD
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km728 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
Alaves
LLDLL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel296 km843 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 14 · 1 pts vs 6.0 for an average club · -6.0 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Getafe |
Alaves |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Feb | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 296 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 728 km | 843 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Getafe
Last XI · not confirmed
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica
26J. Valou
2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano
6Mario Martín
8N. Gudelj
17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal
11Ramon Terrats
Alaves
Last XI · not confirmed
1Antonio Sivera(G)
21A. Rebbach
2N. Valentini
16V. Koski
17Jonny
14F. Tenaglia
10Carles Aleñá
8Antonio Blanco
19Pablo Ibáñez
15L. Boyé
11Toni Martínez
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Getafe
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Alaves
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Getafe · Home
1.80points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-3-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.60
Alaves · Away
0.50points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-2-2
- Scored
- 0.75
- Conceded
- 1.25
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Getafe | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | D 1–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Celta Vigo | D 1–1 H | L 1–2 A |
| Osasuna | L 0–1 A | W 5–2 H |
| Racing Santander | W 1–0 H | L 1–2 A |
| Points | 5 of 12 · 1.25 per game | 4 of 12 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings
4 Getafe wins4 draws2 Alaves wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.80
Over 2.520%
Both scored30%
Clean sheets50% · 30%
- 15 Aug 2026Alaves3–0Getafe
- 8 Feb 2026Alaves0–2Getafe
- 24 Sep 2025Getafe1–1Alaves
- 9 Feb 2025Alaves0–1Getafe
- 28 Sep 2024Getafe2–0Alaves
- 18 May 2024Alaves1–0Getafe
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Getafe | Alaves | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.56 | 1.44 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.22 | 1.11 | |
| Match goals | 1.78 | 2.56 | |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 67% | |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 56% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 11% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 56% | |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 33% | |
| Failed to score | 44% | 22% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Getafe | Alaves | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.60 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 1.70 | 2.60 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% | |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Getafe | Alaves | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.33 | 4.29 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | 5.14 | |
| Match total | 10.33 | 9.43 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 4/9 | 29% 2/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.89 | 1.78 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.56 | 2.33 | |
| Match total | 6.45 | 4.11 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 9/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 78% 7/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Getafe | Alaves | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.10 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.80 | 5.13 | |
| Match total | 9.90 | 10.13 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.60 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 6.10 | 4.30 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 90% 9/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 70% 7/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Alaves9 games · scored 13 · conceded 10
0-15
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
2
76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Alaves10 games · scored 14 · conceded 12
1
0-15
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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