Getafe vs Osasuna – 23 May 2026

La Liga Gameweek 38 Sat, May 23 · 20:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

Getafe 7th · 48 pts · 37 played LLDWL

1–0Full time

Osasuna 15th · 42 pts · 37 played WLLLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Getafe were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Getafe. Getafe had 6.1 days of rest, Osasuna 6.1 and had to travel 329 km.

Away travel329 kmRest days6.1 · 6.1Matches / 14d3 · 2

Getafe42%

Draw29%

Osasuna29%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.02

Getafe44%

Draw27%

Osasuna29%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.19

Getafe43%

Draw29%

Osasuna28%

Expected goals 1.30 – 0.99

Getafe35%

Draw30%

Osasuna35%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.14

Getafe44%

Draw28%

Osasuna29%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.11

Over 2.5 40% Both score 47% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Getafe)

No weather data yet

RefereeAlejandro Quintero

Cards per match 4.3
Penalties per match 0.38
Matches 16

Team strength

Getafe

Osasuna

50 L90 StrengthIn forecast 50

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 46

27 AttackIn forecast 50

59 DefenceIn forecast 50

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Osasuna

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Getafe

Osasuna

0.84 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.19

1.03 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.32

0.79 xGVia Att/Def 1.16

0.97 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.25

+0.05 Goals minus xGContext +0.03

54% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 19%

8.81 ShotsContext 11.59

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.26

29% On target shareContext 34%

5.43 Shots in the boxContext 8.40

60% Box shareContext 69%

10% ConversionContext 10%

2.70 OffsidesContext 2.23

10.57 Shots allowedContext 12.35

3.92 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.67

2.50 BlocksContext 3.38

3.15 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.40

77% Save rateContext 71%

40% PossessionIn forecast 47%

280 PassesContext 384

194 Accurate passesContext 311

69% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.72 Team ratingContext 6.81

13.95 FoulsContext 13.00

14.08 Fouls sufferedContext 11.22

2.95 Yellow cardsContext 2.27

0.16 Red cardsContext 0.16

This league season, per match · 37 and 37 games

0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

0.96 xGVia Att/Def 1.23

1.14 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.24

-0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.03

40% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

7.90 ShotsContext 13.00

3.43 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.40

30% On target shareContext 42%

5.50 Shots in the boxContext 9.20

67% Box shareContext 67%

10% ConversionContext 9%

2.78 OffsidesContext 3.00

11.50 Shots allowedContext 11.90

4.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

2.80 BlocksContext 3.13

2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

70% Save rateContext 63%

39% PossessionIn forecast 52%

262 PassesContext 427

176 Accurate passesContext 355

67% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.67 Team ratingContext 6.73

14.50 FoulsContext 12.60

12.30 Fouls sufferedContext 11.20

3.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.10

0.30 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km1,456 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Osasuna

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel329 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Getafe	Osasuna
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.1La Liga 2025-2026, 17 May	6.1La Liga 2025-2026, 17 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	329 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,456 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 4	1 / 2 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	83.9	92.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Confirmed XI

5-3-2

13David Soria(G)

21Juan Iglesias 24Z. Romero 22Domingos Duarte 3A. Abqar 12A. Nyom

8M. Arambarri 5Luis Milla 6Mario Martín

19L. Vázquez 23Adrian Liso

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Osasuna Confirmed XI

5-3-2

1Sergio Herrera(G)

20Javi Galán 5Jorge Herrando 24Catena 22F. Boyomo 19V. Rosier

10Aimar Oroz 6Lucas Torró 7Moncayola

17A. Budimir 9Raúl García

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Getafe Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Osasuna Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Getafe-1.1 pp
Draw+0.1 pp
Osasuna+1.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.33points per game · 18 home games

W-D-L: 7-3-8
Scored: 0.94
Conceded: 0.89

Osasuna · Away 0.56points per game · 18 away games

W-D-L: 2-4-12
Scored: 0.72
Conceded: 1.39

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Getafe	Osasuna
Elche	L 0–1 AW 1–0 H	D 0–0 AD 1–1 H
Mallorca	W 3–1 HL 0–1 A	D 2–2 HD 2–2 A
Oviedo	D 0–0 AW 2–0 H	W 3–2 HD 0–0 A
Rayo Vallecano	L 0–2 HD 1–1 A	W 3–1 AW 2–0 H
Barcelona	L 0–2 HL 0–3 A	L 1–2 HL 0–2 A
Real Sociedad	W 1–0 AL 1–2 H	L 1–3 AL 1–3 H
Levante	L 0–1 AD 1–1 H	L 2–3 AW 2–0 H
Athletic Club	W 2–0 HW 1–0 A	L 0–1 AD 1–1 H
Espanyol	W 2–1 AL 0–1 H	L 1–2 HL 0–1 A
Atletico Madrid	L 0–1 AL 0–1 H	L 1–2 HL 0–1 A
Real Betis	W 2–0 HL 0–4 A	D 1–1 HL 0–2 A
Real Madrid	W 1–0 AL 0–1 H	W 2–1 HL 0–1 A
Sevilla	L 0–1 HW 2–1 A	W 2–1 HL 0–1 A
Villarreal	W 2–1 HL 0–2 A	D 2–2 HL 1–2 A
Alaves	W 2–0 AD 1–1 H	D 2–2 AW 3–0 H
Celta Vigo	D 0–0 HW 2–0 A	W 2–1 AL 2–3 H
Girona	D 1–1 AW 2–1 H	W 1–0 HL 0–1 A
Valencia	L 0–1 HL 0–3 A	L 0–1 AW 1–0 H
Points	48 of 108 · 1.33 per game	39 of 108 · 1.08 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

5 Getafe wins3 draws2 Osasuna wins

Goals per game1.50 – 1.10 Over 2.550% Both scored70% Clean sheets30% · 10%

3 Oct 2025Osasuna2–1Getafe
16 Mar 2025Osasuna1–2Getafe
5 Oct 2024Getafe1–1Osasuna
21 Jan 2024Osasuna3–2Getafe
17 Sep 2023Getafe3–2Osasuna
28 May 2023Getafe2–1Osasuna

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Getafe	Osasuna	Forecast
Scored per game	0.84	1.19
Conceded per game	1.03	1.32
Match goals	1.86	2.51	2.30
Over 1.5	59%	70%
Over 2.5	27%	51%	40%
Over 3.5	5%	27%
Both teams scored	30%	57%	47%
Clean sheets	30%	19%
Failed to score	46%	30%
Games	37	37

	Getafe	Osasuna	Forecast
Scored per game	0.80	1.20
Conceded per game	0.90	1.70
Match goals	1.70	2.90	2.30
Over 1.5	50%	80%
Over 2.5	20%	70%	40%
Over 3.5	10%	30%
Both teams scored	20%	80%	47%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	60%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Getafe	Osasuna	League
Corners
Corners won	4.33	3.52
Corners conceded	4.44	4.97
Match total	8.77	8.49	9.57
Over 8.5	47% 17/36	48% 16/33
Over 9.5	33% 12/36	27% 9/33
Over 10.5	25% 9/36	12% 4/33
Cards
Cards	3.19	2.46
Opponent cards	2.43	2.49
Match total	5.62	4.95	4.52
Over 3.5	81% 30/37	76% 28/37
Over 4.5	65% 24/37	54% 20/37

	Getafe	Osasuna	League
Corners
Corners won	4.89	4.40
Corners conceded	5.00	5.20
Match total	9.89	9.60	9.57
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	3.70	2.30
Opponent cards	2.90	2.70
Match total	6.60	5.00	4.52
Over 3.5	100% 10/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Alejandro Quintero 16 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.94league 4.25

Red cards0.38league 0.28

Cards 5+44%league 46%

Fouls26.8league 24.5

Penalties0.38league 0.35

Home wins50%league 48%

Getafe2 with this referee

Record2-0-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.5 Pens for · against0 · 0

W6 Apr 25A · Valladolid4–01
W14 Feb 25A · Girona2–13

Osasuna2 with this referee

Record0-0-2 Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L21 Dec 24H · Athletic Club1–20
L16 Sep 24A · Rayo Vallecano1–32

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.