Getafe vs Sevilla – 22 Feb 2026

La Liga Gameweek 25 Sun, Feb 22 · 13:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

Getafe 11th · 29 pts · 24 played LDDWW

0–1Full time

Sevilla 13th · 26 pts · 24 played DWLDD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Getafe were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Getafe. Getafe had 7.9 days of rest, Sevilla 7.8 and had to travel 378 km.

Away travel378 kmRest days7.9 · 7.8Matches / 14d2 · 2

Getafe52%

Draw27%

Sevilla22%

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.92

Getafe47%

Draw26%

Sevilla27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

Getafe51%

Draw27%

Sevilla22%

Expected goals 1.54 – 0.91

Getafe45%

Draw28%

Sevilla27%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.03

Getafe54%

Draw25%

Sevilla21%

Expected goals 1.71 – 0.99

Over 2.5 45% Both score 48% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Getafe)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainMateo Busquets Ferrer

Cards per match 5.7
Penalties per match 0.29
Matches 34

Team strength

Getafe

Sevilla

47 L90 StrengthIn forecast 41

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

27 AttackIn forecast 48

59 DefenceIn forecast 57

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Sevilla

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Getafe

Sevilla

0.83 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.29

1.17 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63

0.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.08

0.91 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.58

+0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.21

58% Scored inContext 79%

25% Clean sheetsContext 17%

9.38 ShotsContext 11.17

2.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.88

28% On target shareContext 35%

5.45 Shots in the boxContext 7.42

56% Box shareContext 64%

9% ConversionContext 12%

2.64 OffsidesContext 3.37

9.96 Shots allowedContext 10.79

3.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.54

2.43 BlocksContext 3.53

3.04 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.38

77% Save rateContext 69%

41% PossessionIn forecast 53%

296 PassesContext 414

209 Accurate passesContext 339

71% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.76

13.75 FoulsContext 14.63

15.13 Fouls sufferedContext 13.21

2.75 Yellow cardsContext 2.88

0.08 Red cardsContext 0.08

This league season, per match · 24 and 24 games

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

0.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.27

1.05 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.51

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

50% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

9.80 ShotsContext 11.70

2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.60

25% On target shareContext 39%

6.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.60

64% Box shareContext 65%

7% ConversionContext 10%

2.56 OffsidesContext 2.89

9.90 Shots allowedContext 10.90

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.40

2.50 BlocksContext 3.13

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.11

69% Save rateContext 65%

43% PossessionIn forecast 52%

311 PassesContext 409

223 Accurate passesContext 336

72% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.70 Team ratingContext 6.73

14.30 FoulsContext 14.30

15.50 Fouls sufferedContext 12.40

3.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.80

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km593 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Sevilla

Rest7.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel378 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Getafe	Sevilla
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9La Liga 2025-2026, 14 Feb	7.8La Liga 2025-2026, 14 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	378 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	593 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 4	0 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	8.3	7.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Confirmed XI

5-3-2

13David Soria(G)

21Juan Iglesias 24Z. Romero 3A. Abqar 22Domingos Duarte 17Kiko Femenía

8M. Arambarri 2D. Dakonam 5Luis Milla

10M. Satriano 19L. Vázquez

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Sevilla Confirmed XI

5-3-2

1O. Vlachodimos(G)

12G. Suazo 4Kike Salas 6N. Gudelj 5T. Nianzou 3César Azpilicueta

20M. Sow 18L. Agoumé 19B. Mendy

9A. Adams 17N. Maupay

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Getafe Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Sevilla Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Getafe+0.4 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Sevilla-0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.25points per game · 12 home games

W-D-L: 4-3-5
Scored: 0.83
Conceded: 0.83

Sevilla · Away 1.00points per game · 11 away games

W-D-L: 3-2-6
Scored: 1.18
Conceded: 1.82

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Getafe	Sevilla
Villarreal	W 2–1 HL 0–2 A	L 1–2 H
Alaves	W 2–0 AD 1–1 H	D 1–1 HW 2–1 A
Celta Vigo	D 0–0 HW 2–0 A	L 0–1 H
Girona	D 1–1 AW 2–1 H	D 1–1 HW 2–0 A
Valencia	L 0–1 HL 0–3 A	D 1–1 A
Real Sociedad	L 1–2 H	L 1–2 A
Rayo Vallecano	D 1–1 A	W 1–0 A
Real Betis	L 0–4 A	L 0–2 H
Espanyol	L 0–1 H	L 1–2 A
Elche	W 1–0 H	D 2–2 AD 2–2 H
Atletico Madrid	L 0–1 H	L 0–3 A
Mallorca	L 0–1 A	L 1–4 AL 1–3 H
Athletic Club	W 1–0 A	W 2–1 HL 2–3 A
Real Madrid	L 0–1 H	L 0–2 A
Osasuna	L 1–2 A	W 1–0 H
Levante	D 1–1 H	L 0–3 H
Barcelona	L 0–3 A	W 4–1 H
Oviedo	W 2–0 H	W 4–0 H
Points	26 of 69 · 1.13 per game	26 of 69 · 1.13 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

3 Getafe wins1 draws6 Sevilla wins

Goals per game0.80 – 1.00 Over 2.540% Both scored20% Clean sheets30% · 60%

25 Aug 2025Sevilla1–2Getafe
1 Feb 2025Getafe0–0Sevilla
14 Sep 2024Sevilla1–0Getafe
30 Mar 2024Getafe0–1Sevilla
16 Dec 2023Sevilla0–3Getafe
19 Mar 2023Getafe2–0Sevilla

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Getafe	Sevilla	Forecast
Scored per game	0.83	1.29
Conceded per game	1.17	1.63
Match goals	2.00	2.92	2.48
Over 1.5	67%	88%
Over 2.5	33%	63%	45%
Over 3.5	4%	29%
Both teams scored	38%	63%	48%
Clean sheets	25%	17%
Failed to score	42%	21%
Games	24	24

	Getafe	Sevilla	Forecast
Scored per game	0.70	1.20
Conceded per game	1.30	1.60
Match goals	2.00	2.80	2.48
Over 1.5	70%	90%
Over 2.5	30%	50%	45%
Over 3.5	10%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	60%	48%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	50%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Getafe	Sevilla	League
Corners
Corners won	4.38	5.26
Corners conceded	3.96	4.83
Match total	8.34	10.09	9.52
Over 8.5	42% 10/24	65% 15/23
Over 9.5	29% 7/24	65% 15/23
Over 10.5	21% 5/24	43% 10/23
Cards
Cards	2.88	3.04
Opponent cards	2.21	2.13
Match total	5.09	5.17	4.43
Over 3.5	75% 18/24	71% 17/24
Over 4.5	63% 15/24	63% 15/24

	Getafe	Sevilla	League
Corners
Corners won	3.80	5.22
Corners conceded	3.90	4.00
Match total	7.70	9.22	9.52
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	10% 1/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	3.10	3.10
Opponent cards	2.20	2.10
Match total	5.30	5.20	4.43
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Mateo Busquets Ferrer Spain · 34 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.35league 4.17

Red cards0.35league 0.27

Cards 5+71%league 46%

Fouls24.1league 24.6

Penalties0.29league 0.38

Home wins47%league 47%

Getafe4 with this referee

Record0-2-2 Cards · opp.4.5 · 2.5 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds2

L6 Dec 25A · Villarreal0–26
D27 Sep 25H · Levante1–14
L1 Dec 23A · Las Palmas0–26
D30 Sep 23H · Villarreal0–02

Sevilla4 with this referee

Record3-0-1 Cards · opp.1.5 · 1.8 Pens for · against0 · 1 Reds2

L18 May 25H · Real Madrid0–22
W5 May 24H · Granada CF3–02
W2 Mar 24H · Real Sociedad3–21
W19 Dec 23A · Granada CF3–01

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.