Primeira Liga Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 15:30 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.43 – 1.61
  • Murilo 19’
  • Santi García 57’
  • 22’ Zé Vitor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

GIL Vicente beat Nacional

GIL Vicente entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Murilo and García. Nacional replied through a Vitor goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.43 and 1.61. On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

GIL Vicente ✓51%
Draw26%
Nacional23%

Model vs reality

GIL Vicente goals
2
Model 1.60 · xG 1.43
Nacional goals
1
Model 0.99 · xG 1.61
Total goals
3
Model 2.59 · xG 3.04
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchSanti GarcíaGIL Vicente · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeMiguel Nogueira
  • VenueEstádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Table before kick-offGIL Vicente 4th · Nacional 13th

Timeline

  1. Murilo 1–0
    19’
  2. Zé Vitor 1–1Assist Léo Santos
    22’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. Santi García 2–1
    57’
  5. Paulinho BóiaYellow card
    59’
  6. ⇄ Miguel BaezaFor C. Labidi
    64’
  7. ⇄ Gabriel VeronFor Paulinho Bóia
    64’
  8. Matheus DiasYellow card
    70’
  9. ⇄ M. BambaFor Zé Carlos
    71’
  10. ⇄ Joelson FernandesFor T. Touré
    72’
  11. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Matheus Dias
    74’
  12. ⇄ Alan NuñezFor João Aurélio
    75’
  13. ⇄ Martin FernándezFor Gustavo Varela
    76’
  14. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor Liziero
    81’
  15. ⇄ EspigaresFor Luís Esteves
    85’
  16. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

GIL Vicente16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
Nacional13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
GIL VicenteNacional
54% Possession 46%
1.43 Expected goals (xG) 1.61
1.26 Expected points (xPts) 1.50
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 7
360 Passes 298
76% Pass accuracy 76%
7 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1

996.3 Daniel Figueira(G)
36.6 G. Konan 396.2 Jonathan Buatu 46.2 M. Elimbi 26.6 Zé Carlos
106.6 Luís Esteves ↓85’ 66.6 Zé Carlos ↓71’
77.2 T. Touré ↓72’ 957.9★ Santi García 777.7 Murilo
896.9 Gustavo Varela ↓76’
  • 99Daniel Figueira (G)6.3
  • 3G. Konan6.6
  • 39Jonathan Buatu6.2
  • 4M. Elimbi6.2
  • 2Zé Carlos6.6
  • 10Luís Esteves↓85’6.6
  • 6Zé Carlos↓71’6.6
  • 7T. Touré↓72’7.2
  • 95Santi García ★7.9
  • 77Murilo7.7
  • 89Gustavo Varela↓76’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Bamba↑71’6.3
  • 11Joelson Fernandes↑72’6.6
  • 32Martin Fernández↑76’6.3
  • 48Espigares↑85’6.3

Unused: A. Picornell, Hevertton Santos, F. Cáseres, Sergio Bermejo, R. Rodrigues

Nacional 4-3-3

16.7 Kaique(G)
56.2 José Gomes 387.7 Zé Vitor 346.9 Léo Santos A 26.3 João Aurélio ↓75’
286.7 Liziero ↓81’ 66.3 Matheus Dias ↓74’ 157.0 C. Labidi ↓64’
116.7 Paulinho Bóia ↓64’ 96.3 J. Ramírez 106.7 Daniel Júnior
  • 1Kaique (G)6.7
  • 5José Gomes6.2
  • 38Zé Vitor7.7
  • 34Léo SantosA6.9
  • 2João Aurélio↓75’6.3
  • 28Liziero↓81’6.7
  • 6Matheus Dias↓74’6.3
  • 15C. Labidi↓64’7.0
  • 11Paulinho Bóia↓64’6.7
  • 9J. Ramírez6.3
  • 10Daniel Júnior6.7

Substitutes used

  • 8Miguel Baeza↑64’6.7
  • 27Gabriel Veron↑64’6.3
  • 16Alan Nuñez↑75’6.9
  • 26Joel Silva↑74’6.7
  • 19Lucas João↑81’6.2

Unused: Lucas França, Francisco Gonçalves, Witi, André Sousa

Player stats

Top rated
Santi GarcíaGIL Vicente7.9
2nd
MuriloGIL Vicente7.7
3rd
Zé VitorNacional7.7

GIL Vicente

Nacional

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.