UEFA Europa League Matchday 3 Thu, Oct 23 2025 · 17:45 De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.83 – 2.25
  • M. Suray 42’
  • M. Deijl 61’
  • 4’ E. Guessand
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

GO Ahead Eagles come from behind to beat Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 after 4 minutes through a Guessand goal. But Suray and Deijl scored to turn it around for GO Ahead Eagles, who won 2–1. GO Ahead Eagles won despite the lower xG; Aston Villa created the better chances (2.25 vs 0.83). On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

GO Ahead Eagles ✓13%
Draw20%
Aston Villa66%

Model vs reality

GO Ahead Eagles goals
2
Model 0.87 · xG 0.83
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 2.16 · xG 2.25
Total goals
3
Model 3.03 · xG 3.08
Score 2–1
4%
Most likely 0–2 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. SurayGO Ahead Eagles · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeFilip Glova
  • CoachesM. Boel · —
  • VenueDe Adelaarshorst
  • Table before kick-offGO Ahead Eagles 16th · Aston Villa 3rd

Timeline

  1. E. Guessand 0–1
    4’
  2. G. NauberYellow card · Tripping
    14’
  3. ⇄ C. TwigtFor G. Nauber
    15’
  4. ⇄ K. GoudmijnFor J. Breum
    39’
  5. M. Suray 1–1Assist C. Twigt
    42’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. M. Deijl 2–1Assist J. Kramer
    61’
  8. ⇄ M. CashFor A. Onana
    66’
  9. ⇄ M. RogersFor V. Lindelöf
    66’
  10. ⇄ D. MalenFor O. Watkins
    67’
  11. ⇄ B. KamaraFor J. Sancho
    67’
  12. ⇄ J. McGinnFor L. Bogarde
    76’
  13. ✕ E. BuendíaMissed penalty
    79’
  14. ⇄ R. WeijenbergFor M. Suray
    83’
  15. ⇄ A. AdelgaardFor R. Margaret
    83’
  16. ⇄ H. LinthorstFor Y. Rahmouni
    83’
  17. R. WeijenbergYellow card · Holding
    90’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

GO Ahead Eagles5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
Aston Villa17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
GO Ahead EaglesAston Villa
31% Possession 69%
0.83 Expected goals (xG) 2.25
0.55 Expected points (xPts) 2.27
5 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
2 Shots off target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Shots inside the box 12
1 Shots outside the box 5
223 Passes 488
78% Pass accuracy 90%
1 Corners 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
18 Fouls 0
5 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.55

Line-ups

GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1

227.6 J. De Busser(G)
56.5 D. James 46.9 J. Kramer A 36.0 G. Nauber ↓15’ 27.9 M. Deijl
347.0 Y. Rahmouni ↓83’ 217.2 M. Meulensteen
178.0★ M. Suray ↓83’ 76.6 J. Breum ↓39’ 186.2 R. Margaret ↓83’
96.0 M. Smit
  • 22J. De Busser (G)7.6
  • 5D. James6.5
  • 4J. KramerA6.9
  • 3G. Nauber↓15’6.0
  • 2M. Deijl7.9
  • 34Y. Rahmouni↓83’7.0
  • 21M. Meulensteen7.2
  • 17M. Suray ★↓83’8.0
  • 7J. Breum↓39’6.6
  • 18R. Margaret↓83’6.2
  • 9M. Smit6.0

Substitutes used

  • 6C. TwigtA↑15’7.5
  • 24K. Goudmijn↑39’6.9
  • 29A. Adelgaard↑83’
  • 8H. Linthorst↑83’
  • 15R. Weijenberg↑83’

Unused: L. Plogmann, N. Verdoni, G. van Zwam, J. Dirksen, O. Sivertsen, F. Stokkers, O. Boakye

Coach: M. Boel

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.5 E. Martínez(G)
227.3 I. Maatsen 146.2 Pau Torres 56.2 T. Mings 36.2 V. Lindelöf ↓66’
247.3 A. Onana ↓66’ 266.6 L. Bogarde ↓76’
196.2 J. Sancho ↓67’ 105.7 E. Buendía 297.5 E. Guessand
116.2 O. Watkins ↓67’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.5
  • 22I. Maatsen7.3
  • 14Pau Torres6.2
  • 5T. Mings6.2
  • 3V. Lindelöf↓66’6.2
  • 24A. Onana↓66’7.3
  • 26L. Bogarde↓76’6.6
  • 19J. Sancho↓67’6.2
  • 10E. Buendía5.7
  • 29E. Guessand7.5
  • 11O. Watkins↓67’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 2M. Cash↑66’6.7
  • 27M. Rogers↑66’6.7
  • 44B. Kamara↑67’6.9
  • 17D. Malen↑67’6.2
  • 7J. McGinn↑76’6.6

Unused: M. Bizot, S. Proctor, E. Konsa, H. Elliott, B. Burrows

Player stats

Top rated
M. SurayGO Ahead Eagles8.0
2nd
M. DeijlGO Ahead Eagles7.9
3rd
J. De BusserGO Ahead Eagles7.6

GO Ahead Eagles

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.