GO Ahead Eagles vs FCSB – 25 Sep 2025

UEFA Europa League Matchday 1 Thu, Sep 25 · 17:45 De Adelaarshorst, Deventer

GO Ahead Eagles

0–1Full time

FCSB

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

FCSB were the stronger side on L90 Strength (36 vs 29). GO Ahead Eagles had 4.3 days of rest, FCSB ? and had to travel 1,695 km.

Away travel1,695 kmRest days4.3 · ?Matches / 14d2 · 0

GO Ahead Eagles39%

Draw27%

FCSB34%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.34

GO Ahead Eagles39%

Draw27%

FCSB34%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.29

GO Ahead Eagles39%

Draw27%

FCSB34%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.34

GO Ahead Eagles32%

Draw26%

FCSB42%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.50

GO Ahead Eagles39%

Draw27%

FCSB34%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.29

Over 2.5 53% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Deventer)

No weather data yet

Referee · EstoniaKristo Tohver

Cards per match 6.7
Penalties per match 0.57
Matches 14

Team strength

GO Ahead Eagles

FCSB

29 L90 StrengthIn forecast 36

24 Current StrengthIn forecast 33

29 AttackIn forecast 36

17 DefenceIn forecast 33

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack—

Defense risk—

FCSB

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GO Ahead Eagles

FCSB

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.57 xGVia Att/Def —

1.71 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.03 Goals minus xGContext —

80% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

14.40 ShotsContext 9.75

5.78 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

36% On target shareContext 41%

9.89 Shots in the boxContext —

64% Box shareContext —

11% ConversionContext 15%

1.67 OffsidesContext 1.33

19.30 Shots allowedContext 17.50

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

6.67 BlocksContext 7.67

4.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

68% Save rateContext 46%

53% PossessionIn forecast 46%

459 PassesContext —

385 Accurate passesContext —

84% Pass accuracyContext —

6.92 Team ratingContext —

8.00 FoulsContext 11.50

9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.75

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

GO Ahead Eagles

Rest4.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km58 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

FCSB

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,695 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	GO Ahead Eagles	FCSB
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.3Eredivisie 2025-2026, 21 Sep	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,695 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	58 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	2.9	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

GO Ahead Eagles Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

22J. De Busser(G)

5D. James 4J. Kramer 3G. Nauber 2M. Deijl

8H. Linthorst 21M. Meulensteen

17M. Suray 7J. Breum 24K. Goudmijn

16V. Edvardsen

FCSB Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

32Ș. Târnovanu(G)

12E. Kiki 17M. Popescu 30S. Ngezana 4D. Graovac

18M. Edjouma 42B. Alhassan

31Juri Cisotti 27D. Olaru 11D. Miculescu

7D. Alibec

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

GO Ahead Eagles Absences are shown before kick-off

FCSB Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

GO Ahead Eagles+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
FCSB+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

GO Ahead Eagles · Home No home games yet this season.

FCSB · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	GO Ahead Eagles	FCSB	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.78
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	53%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	57%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	GO Ahead Eagles	FCSB	Forecast
Scored per game	1.83	—
Conceded per game	1.50	—
Match goals	3.33	—	2.78
Over 1.5	100%	—
Over 2.5	83%	—	53%
Over 3.5	50%	—
Both teams scored	50%	—	57%
Clean sheets	33%	—
Failed to score	17%	—
Games	6	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	GO Ahead Eagles	FCSB	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	8.67
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.56
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	GO Ahead Eagles	FCSB	League
Corners
Corners won	6.50	3.50
Corners conceded	5.30	3.75
Match total	11.80	7.25	8.67
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	25% 1/4
Over 9.5	80% 8/10	25% 1/4
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	25% 1/4
Cards
Cards	1.40	1.80
Opponent cards	1.80	2.20
Match total	3.20	4.00	4.56
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Kristo Tohver Estonia · 14 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards6.43league 4.56

Red cards0.29league 0.00

Cards 5+71%league 56%

Fouls21.2league 26.1

Penalties0.57league 0.22

Home wins29%league 44%

GO Ahead Eagles

No previous matches with this referee.

FCSB

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.