Primeira Liga Gameweek 33 Mon, May 11 2026 · 20:15 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Guimaraes
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.94 – 0.88
Casa Pia
  • 86’ Gaizka Larrazabal
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Larrazabal’s late goal settles it for Casa Pia

Guimaraes entered as favourites, but Casa Pia won 1–0 through a Larrazabal goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.94 and 0.88. On the chances created, Guimaraes deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Guimaraes57%
Draw25%
Casa Pia ✓18%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
0
Model 1.73 · xG 0.94
Casa Pia goals
1
Model 0.88 · xG 0.88
Total goals
1
Model 2.61 · xG 1.82
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchKalyCasa Pia
7.9
  • RefereeLuís Godinho
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 7th · Casa Pia 16th

Timeline

  1. Pedro RosasYellow card
    22’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Oluwakorede OsundinaFor L. Ofori
    46’
  4. ⇄ O. CamaraFor Gustavo Silva
    60’
  5. ⇄ Telmo ArcanjoFor M. Nogueira
    60’
  6. ⇄ Martim GuedesFor Gonçalo Nogueira
    60’
  7. ⇄ ClaudioFor Dailon Livramento
    69’
  8. ⇄ A. ContéFor Kevin Prieto
    74’
  9. R. AbascalYellow card
    76’
  10. BeniYellow card
    78’
  11. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor Samu
    81’
  12. Gaizka Larrazabal 0–1
    86’
  13. ⇄ Abdu DafeFor Claudio
    90+5’
  14. ⇄ José FonteFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    90+6’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Guimaraes15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Casa Pia11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
GuimaraesCasa Pia
71% Possession 29%
0.94 Expected goals (xG) 0.88
1.39 Expected points (xPts) 1.29
15 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 3
496 Passes 204
83% Pass accuracy 61%
6 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.80

Line-ups

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

277.2 Charles(G)
827.2 Francisco Dias 267.3 R. Abascal 46.9 Óscar Rivas 666.6 T. Strata
167.6 Beni 306.3 Gonçalo Nogueira ↓60’
487.3 N. Saviolo 207.0 Samu ↓81’ 886.6 M. Nogueira ↓60’
116.3 Gustavo Silva ↓60’
  • 27Charles (G)7.2
  • 82Francisco Dias7.2
  • 26R. Abascal7.3
  • 4Óscar Rivas6.9
  • 66T. Strata6.6
  • 16Beni7.6
  • 30Gonçalo Nogueira↓60’6.3
  • 48N. Saviolo7.3
  • 20Samu↓81’7.0
  • 88M. Nogueira↓60’6.6
  • 11Gustavo Silva↓60’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19O. Camara↑60’6.7
  • 50Martim Guedes↑60’6.5
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↑60’6.3
  • 90A. Ndoye↑81’6.2

Unused: Juan Castillo, M. Nóbrega, Miguel Maga, J. Teixeira Mendes, Rica Rocha

Casa Pia 3-4-3

16.3 P. Sequeira(G)
436.9 David Sousa 37.9★ Kaly 46.6 João Goulart
756.3 Pedro Rosas 426.9 S. Pérez 806.3 L. Ofori ↓46’ 196.6 Kevin Prieto ↓74’
116.9 João Marques 106.3 Dailon Livramento ↓69’ 727.6 Gaizka Larrazabal ↓90’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.3
  • 43David Sousa6.9
  • 3Kaly ★7.9
  • 4João Goulart6.6
  • 75Pedro Rosas6.3
  • 42S. Pérez6.9
  • 80L. Ofori↓46’6.3
  • 19Kevin Prieto↓74’6.6
  • 11João Marques6.9
  • 10Dailon Livramento↓69’6.3
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal↓90’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↑46’6.5
  • 6José Fonte↑90’
  • 5A. Conté↑74’6.7
  • 59Abdu Dafe↑90’
  • 99Claudio6.7

Unused: Ivan Mandić, K. Nsona, Tiago Morais, Kiki

Player stats

Top rated
KalyCasa Pia7.9
2nd
BeniGuimaraes7.6
3rd
Gaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia7.6

Guimaraes

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Charles G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 75% 28 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
Francisco Dias D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 54 2 1 0/0 0/2 7.2
R. Abascal D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 86% 65 1 2 0/0 1/0 7.3
Óscar Rivas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 63 2 2 0/0 0/3 6.9
T. Strata D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 52 1 1 2/2 1/0 6.6
Beni M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 77 5 1 0/0 1/0 7.6
Gonçalo Nogueira M 60 0 0 0 (0) 2 95% 22 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
N. Saviolo M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 65% 23 0 0 4/9 2/2 7.3
Samu M 81 0 0 2 (1) 1 81% 43 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
M. Nogueira M 60 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 20 0 0 0/1 0/4 6.6
Gustavo Silva F 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
O. Camara F 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
Martim Guedes M 30 0 0 2 (0) 0 75% 12 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
Telmo Arcanjo M 30 0 0 1 (0) 1 69% 13 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Ndoye F 9 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Sequeira G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 25% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
David Sousa D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 18 2 6 0/0 2/1 6.9
Kaly D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.9
João Goulart D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 20 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.6
Pedro Rosas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 16 1 1 0/0 4/0 6.3
S. Pérez M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 31 2 1 0/0 2/3 6.9
L. Ofori M 46 0 0 1 (1) 1 73% 11 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Kevin Prieto F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 13 3 1 0/1 2/2 6.6
João Marques M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 53% 19 2 1 0/3 2/1 6.9
Dailon Livramento F 69 0 0 3 (1) 0 46% 13 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.3
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 65% 20 0 0 1/2 1/0 7.6
Oluwakorede Osundina F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
José Fonte D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Conté D 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Abdu Dafe M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Claudio F 21 0 0 1 (1) 0 0% 2 0 1 0/1 1/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.