Primeira Liga Gameweek 17 Fri, Jan 2 2026 · 20:45 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Guimaraes
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.87 – 1.50
Nacional
  • N. Saviolo 70’
  • R. Abascal 87’
  • 90+2’ C. Labidi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guimaraes beat Nacional

Guimaraes entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Saviolo and Abascal. Nacional replied through a Labidi goal. Guimaraes won despite the lower xG; Nacional created the better chances (1.50 vs 0.87). On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Guimaraes ✓56%
Draw25%
Nacional19%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
2
Model 1.72 · xG 0.87
Nacional goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 1.50
Total goals
3
Model 2.64 · xG 2.37
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. SavioloGuimaraes · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.0
  • RefereeAndre Filipe Domingues Narciso
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 7th · Nacional 13th

Timeline

  1. KaiqueYellow card
    25’
  2. Daniel JúniorYellow card
    36’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ Diogo SousaFor Samu
    46’
  5. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor Nélson Oliveira
    59’
  6. ⇄ O. CamaraFor Telmo Arcanjo
    59’
  7. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Daniel Júnior
    60’
  8. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Miguel Baeza
    60’
  9. ⇄ Francisco GonçalvesFor Léo Santos
    66’
  10. ⇄ T. StrataFor Miguel Maga
    67’
  11. N. Saviolo 1–0Assist T. Strata
    70’
  12. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor Liziero
    76’
  13. ⇄ Lenny VallierFor José Gomes
    76’
  14. R. Abascal 2–0Assist N. Saviolo
    87’
  15. ⇄ Fabio BlancoFor N. Saviolo
    90’
  16. C. Labidi 2–1Assist Lucas João
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Guimaraes9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Nacional14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
GuimaraesNacional
57% Possession 43%
0.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.50
0.92 Expected points (xPts) 1.82
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 5
389 Passes 297
83% Pass accuracy 75%
2 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
20 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.51

Line-ups

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

257.0 Juan Castillo(G)
136.6 J. Teixeira Mendes 268.0 R. Abascal 36.9 M. Nóbrega 26.7 Miguel Maga ↓67’
307.7 Gonçalo Nogueira 167.2 Beni
489.0★ N. Saviolo A↓90’ 206.2 Samu ↓46’ 186.6 Telmo Arcanjo ↓59’
76.3 Nélson Oliveira ↓59’
  • 25Juan Castillo (G)7.0
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes6.6
  • 26R. Abascal8.0
  • 3M. Nóbrega6.9
  • 2Miguel Maga↓67’6.7
  • 30Gonçalo Nogueira7.7
  • 16Beni7.2
  • 48N. Saviolo ★A↓90’9.0
  • 20Samu↓46’6.2
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↓59’6.6
  • 7Nélson Oliveira↓59’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 23Diogo Sousa↑46’6.2
  • 90A. Ndoye↑59’6.5
  • 19O. Camara↑59’6.2
  • 66T. StrataA↑67’6.3
  • 22Fabio Blanco↑90’

Unused: Charles, Thiago Balieiro, O. Lebedenko, Matija Mitrović

Nacional 4-2-3-1

15.9 Kaique(G)
56.3 José Gomes ↓76’ 386.3 Zé Vitor 346.9 Léo Santos ↓66’ 26.6 João Aurélio
86.5 Miguel Baeza ↓60’ 66.7 Matheus Dias
116.3 Paulinho Bóia 286.9 Liziero ↓76’ 106.3 Daniel Júnior ↓60’
96.9 J. Ramírez
  • 1Kaique (G)5.9
  • 5José Gomes↓76’6.3
  • 38Zé Vitor6.3
  • 34Léo Santos↓66’6.9
  • 2João Aurélio6.6
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓60’6.5
  • 6Matheus Dias6.7
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.3
  • 28Liziero↓76’6.9
  • 10Daniel Júnior↓60’6.3
  • 9J. Ramírez6.9

Substitutes used

  • 15C. Labidi↑60’7.3
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑60’6.3
  • 33Francisco Gonçalves↑66’6.0
  • 24Lenny Vallier↑76’6.3
  • 19Lucas JoãoA↑76’6.9

Unused: Lucas França, André Sousa, Deivison, Martim Watts

Player stats

Top rated
N. SavioloGuimaraes9.0
2nd
R. AbascalGuimaraes8.0
3rd
Gonçalo NogueiraGuimaraes7.7

Guimaraes

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Juan Castillo G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 75% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
J. Teixeira Mendes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 42 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.6
R. Abascal D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 87% 45 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
M. Nóbrega D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 44 1 2 0/0 1/2 6.9
Miguel Maga D 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.7
Gonçalo Nogueira M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 34 5 1 0/1 3/4 7.7
Beni M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 48 2 1 2/2 1/2 7.2
N. Saviolo M 90 1 1 2 (2) 5 84% 31 1 0 1/2 2/1 9.0
Samu M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 68% 19 2 0 0/1 3/2 6.2
Telmo Arcanjo M 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 24 1 0 1/1 0/2 6.6
Nélson Oliveira F 59 0 0 2 (0) 0 81% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Diogo Sousa M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 1 3 0/0 3/0 6.2
A. Ndoye F 31 0 0 2 (1) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
O. Camara F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.2
T. Strata D 23 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 5 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
Fabio Blanco F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 42% 38 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
José Gomes D 76 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 16 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 37 3 0 0/3 1/2 6.3
Léo Santos D 66 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 36 0 1 0/0 0/2 6.9
João Aurélio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 21 5 1 1/3 1/2 6.6
Miguel Baeza M 60 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 10 1 1 0/0 3/0 6.5
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 30 2 3 0/0 2/2 6.7
Paulinho Bóia F 90 0 0 2 (2) 3 81% 21 1 2 1/3 2/3 6.3
Liziero M 76 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 29 1 0 1/2 4/1 6.9
Daniel Júnior F 60 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 12 0 1 0/1 1/3 6.3
J. Ramírez F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 70% 23 1 0 1/2 3/2 6.9
C. Labidi M 30 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Pablo Ruan M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Francisco Gonçalves D 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
Lenny Vallier D 14 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Lucas João F 14 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.