Primeira Liga Gameweek 3 Sun, Aug 23 2026 · 15:30 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Guimaraes
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 3.14 – 0.42
Nacional
  • Gustavo Silva 4’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Silva goal decides it for Guimaraes

Guimaraes entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Silva goal. Guimaraes finished with the higher xG (3.14 vs 0.42).

Guimaraes ✓52%
Draw24%
Nacional24%

Model vs reality

Guimaraes goals
1
Model 1.70 · xG 3.14
Nacional goals
0
Model 1.07 · xG 0.42
Total goals
1
Model 2.77 · xG 3.56
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchGustavo SilvaGuimaraes · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereePedro Ramalho
  • CoachesTiago Margarido · Giao Joao
  • VenueEstádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Table before kick-offGuimaraes 17th · Nacional 6th

Timeline

  1. Gustavo Silva 1–0Assist M. Nogueira
    4’
  2. Gonçalo NogueiraYellow card · Foul
    28’
  3. M. NogueiraYellow card · Argument
    38’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ✕ SamuMissed penalty
    49’
  6. VAR SamuPenalty cancelled
    51’
  7. ⇄ D. de la Cruz de la CruzFor Wesley Gasolina
    56’
  8. ⇄ W. KokoloFor Miguel Baeza
    56’
  9. ⇄ BeniFor L. Doucet
    63’
  10. ⇄ O. CamaraFor M. Nogueira
    63’
  11. ⇄ S. GavrielFor Liziero
    68’
  12. ⇄ Matija MitrovićFor Gonçalo Nogueira
    72’
  13. ⇄ Telmo ArcanjoFor Gustavo Silva
    78’
  14. ⇄ A. ObandoFor M. Jensen
    80’
  15. ⇄ M. DjalóFor Matheus Dias
    80’
  16. Daniel JúniorYellow card · Argument
    90+5’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Guimaraes23 shots · 13 in box, 10 outside
Nacional7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
GuimaraesNacional
48% Possession 52%
3.14 Expected goals (xG) 0.42
2.76 Expected points (xPts) 0.16
23 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
13 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
13 Shots inside the box 3
10 Shots outside the box 4
382 Passes 423
81% Pass accuracy 78%
4 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
18 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

486.9 O. Zych(G)
137.0 J. Teixeira Mendes 287.0 Thiago Balieiro 47.5 Óscar Rivas 237.7 T. Strata
86.9 Gonçalo Nogueira ↓72’ 447.0 L. Doucet ↓63’
117.9★ Gustavo Silva ↓78’ 206.7 Samu 177.2 M. Nogueira A↓63’
246.7 A. Ndoye
  • 48O. Zych (G)6.9
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes7.0
  • 28Thiago Balieiro7.0
  • 4Óscar Rivas7.5
  • 23T. Strata7.7
  • 8Gonçalo Nogueira↓72’6.9
  • 44L. Doucet↓63’7.0
  • 11Gustavo Silva ★↓78’7.9
  • 20Samu6.7
  • 17M. NogueiraA↓63’7.2
  • 24A. Ndoye6.7

Substitutes used

  • 16Beni↑63’6.3
  • 6Matija Mitrović↑72’6.3
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↑78’6.7
  • 7O. Camara↑63’6.6

Unused: Juan Castillo, Lucas Furtado, Francisco Dias, A. Sidibé, Miguel Maga, S. Verdi, V. Ouotro

Coach: Tiago Margarido

Nacional 3-4-2-1

17.5 R. Bellucci(G)
387.0 Zé Vitor 66.3 Matheus Dias ↓80’ 347.3 Léo Santos
76.5 M. Jensen ↓80’ 227.2 Filipe Soares 286.5 Liziero ↓68’ 526.2 Wesley Gasolina ↓56’
107.2 Daniel Júnior 87.0 Miguel Baeza ↓56’
996.5 Pablo Ruan
  • 1R. Bellucci (G)7.5
  • 38Zé Vitor7.0
  • 6Matheus Dias↓80’6.3
  • 34Léo Santos7.3
  • 7M. Jensen↓80’6.5
  • 22Filipe Soares7.2
  • 28Liziero↓68’6.5
  • 52Wesley Gasolina↓56’6.2
  • 10Daniel Júnior7.2
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓56’7.0
  • 99Pablo Ruan6.5

Substitutes used

  • 2D. de la Cruz de la Cruz↑56’6.5
  • 21W. Kokolo↑56’6.9
  • 9A. Obando↑80’6.7
  • 11S. Gavriel↑68’6.3
  • 20M. Djaló↑80’6.7

Unused: João Gonçalves, Francisco Gonçalves, M. J. Iseppe, Deivison

Coach: Giao Joao

Player stats

Top rated
Gustavo SilvaGuimaraes7.9
2nd
T. StrataGuimaraes7.7
3rd
Óscar RivasGuimaraes7.5

Guimaraes

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Zych G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 74% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Teixeira Mendes D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 70% 37 1 1 0/1 1/0 7.0
Thiago Balieiro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 49 1 2 0/0 0/0 7.0
Óscar Rivas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 49 0 2 0/0 0/0 7.5
T. Strata D 90 0 0 3 (1) 2 87% 45 2 1 0/1 2/1 7.7
Gonçalo Nogueira M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 27 2 2 0/0 2/1 6.9
L. Doucet M 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 37 1 1 0/0 3/0 7.0
Gustavo Silva F 78 1 0 5 (3) 3 58% 12 1 1 1/5 2/0 7.9
Samu M 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 75% 36 3 0 1/1 3/1 6.7
M. Nogueira M 63 0 1 2 (0) 2 83% 18 1 0 1/2 1/2 7.2
A. Ndoye F 90 0 0 4 (0) 3 54% 13 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.7
Beni M 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
Matija Mitrović M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Telmo Arcanjo M 12 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
O. Camara F 27 0 0 1 (0) 1 67% 9 2 2 0/0 0/1 6.6

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Bellucci G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 67% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 69 2 1 0/0 3/2 7.0
Matheus Dias M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 50 1 3 0/0 2/0 6.3
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 76 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
M. Jensen M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 14 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
Filipe Soares M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 50 2 3 0/0 1/4 7.2
Liziero M 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 42 1 2 0/0 1/2 6.5
Wesley Gasolina D 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Daniel Júnior F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 22 2 1 1/1 0/6 7.2
Miguel Baeza M 56 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 15 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
Pablo Ruan M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 57% 7 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
D. de la Cruz de la Cruz D 34 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 8 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.5
W. Kokolo D 34 0 0 0 (0) 2 67% 6 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Obando F 10 0 0 0 (0) 1 25% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
S. Gavriel D 22 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 4 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
M. Djaló F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.