Bundesliga Gameweek 17 Wed, Mar 4 2026 · 19:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.46 – 1.91
  • 73’ Christian Kofane
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kofane goal decides it for Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Kofane goal. Bayer Leverkusen finished with the higher xG (1.91 vs 0.46).

Hamburger SV23%
Draw26%
Bayer Leverkusen ✓51%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
0
Model 1.05 · xG 0.46
Bayer Leverkusen goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 1.91
Total goals
1
Model 2.71 · xG 2.37
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. MazaBayer Leverkusen · 1 assist
8.9
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 11th · Bayer Leverkusen 6th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ W. MikelbrencisFor B. Jatta
    29’
  2. Aleix GarcíaYellow card · Foul
    40’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ Jean-Luc DompeFor D. Downs
    65’
  5. ⇄ J. TorunarighaFor W. Omari
    65’
  6. ⇄ Otto StangeFor Rayan Philippe
    65’
  7. ⇄ M. TillmanFor M. Terrier
    71’
  8. Christian Kofane 0–1Assist I. Maza
    73’
  9. ⇄ E. PokuFor Montrell Amare Culbreath
    80’
  10. ⇄ A. Sambi LokongaFor R. Königsdörffer
    80’
  11. ⇄ E. FernándezFor I. Maza
    89’
  12. E. PalaciosYellow card · Holding
    90+5’
  13. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Hamburger SV7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Bayer Leverkusen14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Hamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
37% Possession 63%
0.46 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
0.44 Expected points (xPts) 2.37
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 11
2 Shots outside the box 3
333 Passes 568
75% Pass accuracy 84%
2 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.70 Team rating 7.06

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

16.9 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
86.9 Daniel Elfadli 446.6 L. Vušković 176.7 W. Omari ↓65’
166.9 G. Gocholeishvili 206.6 Fábio Vieira 216.9 N. Remberg 186.3 B. Jatta ↓29’
146.2 Rayan Philippe ↓65’ 116.7 R. Königsdörffer ↓80’
196.7 D. Downs ↓65’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.9
  • 8Daniel Elfadli6.9
  • 44L. Vušković6.6
  • 17W. Omari↓65’6.7
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili6.9
  • 20Fábio Vieira6.6
  • 21N. Remberg6.9
  • 18B. Jatta↓29’6.3
  • 14Rayan Philippe↓65’6.2
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓80’6.7
  • 19D. Downs↓65’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↑29’6.7
  • 25J. Torunarigha↑65’6.5
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↑65’6.5
  • 49Otto Stange↑65’6.9
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↑80’6.6

Unused: S. Tangvik, N. Katterbach, R. Glatzel, F. Balde

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

286.7 J. Blaswich(G)
126.9 E. Tapsoba 87.3 R. Andrich 46.9 J. Quansah
206.6 Álex Grimaldo 247.0 Aleix García 257.2 E. Palacios 426.7 Montrell Amare Culbreath ↓80’
308.9★ I. Maza A↓89’ 116.3 M. Terrier ↓71’
357.2 Christian Kofane
  • 28J. Blaswich (G)6.7
  • 12E. Tapsoba6.9
  • 8R. Andrich7.3
  • 4J. Quansah6.9
  • 20Álex Grimaldo6.6
  • 24Aleix García7.0
  • 25E. Palacios7.2
  • 42Montrell Amare Culbreath↓80’6.7
  • 30I. Maza ★A↓89’8.9
  • 11M. Terrier↓71’6.3
  • 35Christian Kofane7.2

Substitutes used

  • 10M. Tillman↑71’6.5
  • 6E. Fernández↑89’
  • 19E. Poku↑80’6.2

Unused: J. Omlin, N. Lomb, A. Tape, T. Oermann, J. Hofmann

Player stats

Top rated
I. MazaBayer Leverkusen8.9
2nd
R. AndrichBayer Leverkusen7.3
3rd
E. PalaciosBayer Leverkusen7.2

Hamburger SV

Bayer Leverkusen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.